Liveblog

Vrijdag dan toch nog een matige sessie na een sterk begin van de week, we hebben ook deze week nieuwe records kunnen zien, bij de AEX de hoogste stand sinds september 2000. Vrijdag kwam er wel wat positief nieuws maar aan de andere kant zien we ook weer wat angst de markt insluipen rondom de nieuwe varianten van het virus dat volop aan het muteren is. Dat zet de indices vrijdag op verlies, vooral Europa moest een stap terug doen en Wall Street volgde later op de avond richting het slot. De Dow moest 177 punten inleveren terwijl de Nasdaq 114 punten lager afsloot, de SP 500 verloor 27 punten.

Op weekbasis was er dan niet zoveel aan de hand want de Dow Jones verloor 283 punten (-0,9%) terwijl de S&P 500 met 56 punten terug moest (-1,45%). De Nasdaq verloor 203 punten (-1,54%) terwijl de Nasdaq 100 met 301 punten terug moest (-2,3%). Wel was er winst bij de Semi-Conductor index, na een sterke week binnen deze sector zien we een plus van 1,92%, de Dow Transport won 70 punten (+0,55%).

Europa kende een wisselend verloop want de AEX index won 6 punten (+0,95%) terwijl de DAX een verlies moet toestaan van 262 punten (-1,85%) en de afgelopen week geen nieuw record neer wist te zetten. De AEX deed dat dus wel maar dan een nieuwe hoogste stand sinds september 2000. De Franse CAC 40 verloor 95 punten (-1,67%).

We zien per regio dat er indices zijn die de week met winst weten af te sluiten maar aan de andere kant iets meer indices die verlies moeten toestaan. Maandag is Wall Street wel dicht door een feestdag, de MLK dag.

Dat de indices in hun WIG blijven, en de onderkant opzoeken is te zien op de grafieken, de komende week maar eens kijken of die steun het ook nu kan houden. Waar het kan zal ik er nog een positie bij zien te kopen voor de signaaldiensten. Hieronder voor wie het nog niet had gelezen de uitleg van een oplopende WIG waar we nu mee te maken hebben ...

Wat is een WIG?
Zie de grafiek hieronder, in de meeste gevallen valt een prijs na een tijdje uit de WIG en dan in de negatieve richting. Let wel, ik zeg in de meeste gevallen want er zijn natuurlijk ook uitzonderingen maar dan zet ik het procentueel op 25-30% dat het andersom gaat. Wat er ook mogelijk is, de markt gaat gestaag door omhoog en breekt uit om daarna een nieuwe WIG op te bouwen, iets wat we tussen 2010 en 2012 hebben gezien. Maar er komt hoe dan ook een eind aan deze beweging, die is niet eindeloos. Bij vrijwel alle indices zien we een WIG zoals u bij de eerste figuur hieronder ziet. Dat bij de AEX, de DAX, de Dow Jones, de SP 500 en de Nasdaq ...

U kunt mij en dus @USMarkets uiteraard ook volgen via onze Twitter account, ga naar ... https://twitter.com/USMarkets waar ik tussentijds wat charts over de markt en sentiment plaats, ook opvallende beursfeiten komen er vaak langs !

Euro, olie en goud:
De euro zien we nu rond de 1.208 dollar, de prijs van een vat Brent olie komt uit op 54,85 dollar terwijl een troy ounce goud nu op 1828 dollar staat. De Bitcoin herpakt zich na enkele dolle dagen, nu moet je 37.900 dollar neertellen voor 1 Bitcoin ...

Strategische posities:
Zodra u lid wordt ontvangt u de signalen en kunt u meteen de lopende posities inzien via onze Tradershop op de website. Ik probeer in ieder geval zo goed als dat kan om met de markt mee te gaan, wel is het zo dat de markt volatiel blijft voorlopig en die kan zelfs nog wat gaan toenemen. Wat ik moet doen is in ieder geval blijven schakelen tussen long en short.

Maak nu gebruik van de proef aanbieding:
Mis in ieder geval de start van 2021 niet want er komen hoe dan ook hele mooie kansen ... Via deze aanbieding ... €39 tot 1 MAART 2021 ... Polleke €49 tot 1 MAART 2021 !!!

Systeem Trading (€39 tot 1 MAART)

Index Trading (€39 tot 1 MAART)

Guy Trading (€39 tot 1 MAART)

Polleke Trading (€49 tot 1 MAART)

Aandelen portefeuille (€30 tot 1 MAART)

COMBI TRADING (€79 tot 1 MAART)

Tussenstand deze maand januari 2021:

Resultaat afgelopen maand december 2020:

Met vriendelijke groet,
Guy Boscart

TOP NEWS
• JPMorgan profit jumps on trading, investment banking strength
JPMorgan Chase reported a higher fourth-quarter profit, as strength in trading and investment banking offset the drag of low borrowing rates on interest income at the largest U.S. bank's lending business.

• Trump administration takes final swipes at China and its companies
The Trump administration took another swipe at China and its biggest firms on Thursday, imposing sanctions on officials and companies for alleged misdeeds in the South China Sea and imposing an investment ban on nine more firms.

• Germany surpasses 2 million coronavirus cases, death rate up
Germany surpassed 2 million coronavirus infections and the death toll from the pandemic reached almost 45,000, experts said, a day after Chancellor Angela Merkel demanded "very fast action" to curb the deadly virus.

• Eyes on Pelosi as Trump impeachment trial timing up in the air
The timing of President Donald Trump's impeachment trial could come into clearer focus on Friday when House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is expected to take questions about her next steps at a morning news conference at the U.S. Capitol.

FOCUS-Some big U.S. pharmacies will not check ID before administering COVID-19 vaccines
Many U.S. pharmacies, including those inside Kroger supermarkets and the drugstore chain of CVS Health, say they will not be checking IDs before administering COVID-19 vaccines, leaving the door open to those who do not meet states' guidelines to jump the line.


BEFORE THE BELL
U.S. stock futures fell, in line with world equity markets, as stricter lockdowns in France and Germany and a resurgence of COVID-19 cases in China dented hopes of a global economic recovery. Risk aversion bets pushed the dollar higher against a basket of currencies. Oil prices dropped as surging virus cases fuelled demand concerns. Gold prices edged up on dovish policy cues from the U.S. Fed. Retail sales, industrial production, producer prices are among the slew of economic data scheduled for release later in the day.


STOCKS TO WATCH
Results
JPMorgan Chase & Co: The company reported a higher fourth-quarter profit, as strength in trading and investment banking offset the drag of low borrowing rates on interest income at the largest U.S. bank's lending business. Net income rose to $12.1 billion, or $3.79 per share, in the quarter, from $8.5 billion, or $2.57 per share, a year earlier. Revenue rose 3% to $30.2 billion. Analysts on average had expected earnings of $2.62 per share, according to Refinitiv. In the fourth quarter, JPMorgan's profit was boosted by lower loss provisions, while revenue from capital markets and investment banking also propped up its numbers.

IPOs
• Playtika Holding Corp: The mobile gaming company said on Thursday it had sold shares in its U.S. initial public offering above its target range at $27 each, the latest in a string of highly priced IPOs. Playtika had set a target price of between $22 and $24 apiece. The Israel-based company, which is owned by a Chinese investor group, sold around 18.5 million shares, compared to an original plan of 21.7 million shares, and a further 50.98 million shares by existing investors, up from 47.8 million originally. The total offering was worth around $1.88 billion at $27 per share. The IPO, the biggest U.S. listing in 2021 so far, values Playtika at $11.1 billion. Playtika did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The source requested anonymity as the price was not yet public.

Deals Of The Day
• Accolade Inc: The healthcare services provider said on Thursday it would buy telehealth startup 2nd.MD for about $460 million to double its addressable market and tap into growing demand for virtual services. The unrelenting surge in coronavirus cases and social distancing measures implemented to control the pandemic have prompted people to turn to virtual consultation and treatment offerings. The deal, expected to close by the end of February, will consist of $230 million in cash, $130 million in Accolade common stock and up to $100 million of Accolade's common stock payable upon the achievement of defined revenue milestones. The deal will expand Accolade's addressable market by an estimated $22 billion, it said, adding that the transaction will add to its revenue growth in fiscal 2022 at a similar gross margin profile.

In Other News
• Alphabet Inc & Facebook Inc & Twitter Inc: Pension fund managers and religious investors asked top social media companies to step up their content control efforts to reduce the threat of violence ahead of the inauguration of U.S. President-elect Joe Biden next week. The effort is the latest pressure on Facebook, Twitter and Alphabet over extreme rhetoric after the storming of the U.S. Capitol last week by supporters of President Donald Trump. In letters sent on Thursday, the investors - including New York State Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli, the Service Employees International Union and the Unitarian Universalist Association - asked for steps including disabling the coding they said tends to elevate conspiracy theories and radicalizing content, and for the companies to continue to flag content with hashtags like #Stopthesteal.

• Amazon.com Inc: The company was slapped with a class-action lawsuit on Thursday accusing the e-commerce giant of inflating the prices of ebooks in collusion with some publishers. The lawsuit alleges that Amazon and the five largest U.S. publishers, collectively called the 'Big Five', agreed to price restraints that cause consumers to overpay for eBooks purchased from them through a retail platform other than Amazon.com. The lawsuit comes a day after Connecticut said it was investigating Amazon for potential anti-competitive behavior in its business selling digital books. About 90% of eBooks are sold through Amazon, the largest U.S. eBooks seller, the lawsuit claimed.

• AstraZeneca Plc: Nepal granted approval for AstraZeneca's COVISHIELD vaccine against the coronavirus, the government said, following a meeting with neighbouring India, a major manufacturer of the shot. "Conditional permission has been granted for emergency use authorization of COVISHIELD vaccine against COVID-19 in Nepal," the Department of Drug Administration said. The announcement follows a meeting between India's foreign minister S. Jaishankar and his Nepali counterpart Pradeep Kumar Gyawali where "close cooperation" on the pandemic was discussed, according to a statement by India's foreign ministry.​

• Blackrock Inc: The asset manager has sold almost all its stake in China Telecom, a company subject to a new ban on U.S. investment, a stock market filing showed. China Telecom is one of 44 companies subject to a new ban on U.S. investment. BlackRock sold 818 million shares at an average of HK$1.92 each on Tuesday, according to a Hong Kong exchange filing. That is 12% below Tuesday's closing price. The filing gave no reason for the HK$1.6 billion sale, which reduced BlackRock's stake in China Telecom from 6.1% to 0.2%, and BlackRock had no immediate comment.​

• CVR Energy Inc & Delek US Holdings Inc: U.S. refiner CVR Energy, majority owned by billionaire-investor Carl Icahn, said on Thursday it was not interested in buying peer Delek and proposed to replace three Delek board nominees with its own. CVR, which owns about 15% of Delek and is its largest stockholder, said it would instead focus on devoting capital to internal higher-return projects, according to a regulatory filing, which cited a letter to Delek from CVR Energy Chief Executive Officer David Lamp. Lamp cited the dramatic changes in the industry since it started buying shares of Delek as one of the reasons it was not pursuing an acquisition.

• General Electric Co: The company accused a Siemens Energy subsidiary of using stolen trade secrets to rig bids for lucrative contracts supplying gas turbines to public utilities, and cover up improper business gains totaling more than $1 billion, according to a lawsuit filed on Thursday. GE sued the rival company, Siemens Energy, in a U.S. district court in Virginia, alleging the theft traces back to May 2019, when the industrial conglomerates bid to provide gas turbine equipment and servicing to Dominion Energy. Siemens identified the receipt of GE's trade secrets "through its own robust compliance processes," a spokesman said. Following an internal investigation, Siemens "implemented extensive remedial measures in response," the spokesman added, such as "swift and appropriate discipline of the involved employees, including separation from the company."

• Goldman Sachs Group Inc: The company is considering acquisitions to bulk up its consumer banking unit Marcus, after the Wall Street firm slowed loan and deposit growth at its fledgling business last year in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic, three bank sources said. Goldman management has put an "extremely high" bar for any deal to be large and transformational, the sources cautioned. One of the sources said the bank had M&A bankers crunching numbers on "different ideas." Digital banking is one area of interest. The pandemic has strengthened management's belief that online activity will be central to future growth within the industry and branches will continue to have a diminished role, the source said.


ANALYSIS
Biden's $1.9 trillion rescue package offers bridge for hard-hit economy
U.S. President-elect Joe Biden's proposal to pour $1.9 trillion into a hobbled economy could lay the foundation for a surge in jobs and spending that many economists say is needed to avoid long-term damage from a record-breaking pandemic recession.


ANALYSTS' RECOMMENDATION
• 3D Systems Corp: JPMorgan cuts rating to underweight from neutral, citing the skepticism around requirement of a large assortment of printer material combinations for diverse end-markets along with price, quality and speed factors.

• Delta Air Lines Inc: JPMorgan cuts target price to $49 from $51, saying the impact of COVID-19 is more severe than anticipated, jet fuel prices have rapidly escalated and Delta is unable to offset higher input costs with stronger fare.

• Ralph Lauren Corp: RBC raises rating to outperform from sector perform, following enhancing activities including lean inventories, pivoting the brand towards direct and expense management along with pent-up demand for apparel.

• Mosaic Co: RBC raises target price to $35 from $32, noting the company provides strong leverage to the potash and phosphate markets along with acquisition of production and distribution assets in Brazil further enhancing the company’s exposure to the fastest-growing agriculture market.


ECONOMIC EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0830 NY Fed Manufacturing for Jan: Expected 6.00; Prior 4.90
0830 (approx.) PPI final demand yy for Dec: Expected 0.8%; Prior 0.8%
0830 (approx.) PPI final demand mm for Dec: Expected 0.4%; Prior 0.1%
0830 (approx.) PPI ex food/energy yy for Dec: Expected 1.3%; Prior 1.4%
0830 (approx.) PPI ex food/energy mm for Dec: Expected 0.2%; Prior 0.1%
0830 (approx.) PPI ex food/energy/transport yy for Dec: Prior 0.9%
0830 (approx.) PPI ex food/energy/transport mm for Dec: Prior 0.1%
0830 (approx.) Retail sales ex-autos mm for Dec: Expected -0.1%; Prior -0.9%
0830 (approx.) Retail sales mm for Dec: Expected 0.0%; Prior -1.1%
0830 (approx.) Retail ex gas/autos for Dec: Prior -0.8%
0830 (approx.) Retail control for Dec: Expected 0.1%; Prior -0.5%
0830 (approx.) Retail sales YoY for Dec: Prior 4.10%
0915 (approx.) Industrial production mm for Dec: Expected 0.5%; Prior 0.4%
0915 (approx.) Capacity utilization SA for Dec: Expected 73.6%; Prior 73.3%
0915 (approx.) Manufacturing output mm for Dec: Expected 0.5%; Prior 0.8%
0915 (approx.) Industrial production YoY for Dec: Prior -5.50%
1000 (approx.) Business inventories mm for Nov: Expected 0.5%; Prior 0.7%
1000 (approx.) Retail inventories ex-auto revised for Nov: Prior 0.3%
1000 U Mich Sentiment Preliminary for Jan: Expected 80.0; Prior 80.7
1000 U Mich Conditions Preliminary for Jan: Prior 90.0
1000 U Mich Expectations Preliminary for Jan: Prior 74.6
1000 U Mich 1 year inflation preliminary for Jan: Prior 2.5%
1000 U Mich 5-year inflation preliminary for Jan: Prior 2.5%


COMPANIES REPORTING RESULTS
Citigroup Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of $1.34 per share
Wells Fargo & Co: Expected Q4 earnings of 60 cents per share


CORPORATE EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0830 JPMorgan Chase & Co: Q4 earnings conference call
1000 Concho Resources Inc: Shareholders Meeting
1000 Wells Fargo & Co: Q4 earnings conference call
1100 PNC Financial Services Group Inc: Q4 earnings conference call​
1130 Citigroup Inc: Q4 earnings conference call


EX-DIVIDENDS
Alamo Group Inc: Amount $0.14
EMCOR Group Inc: Amount $0.13
Graco Inc: Amount $0.18

Goedemorgen
De indicatie voor de beurzen vanmorgen is dat er een lagere opening komt, Wall Street verloor gisteren ook wat op slotbasis na een redelijke start rond de record niveau's. Zelfs nu de nieuwe president vanaf volgende week Joe Biden aankondigde dat er een nieuw steunprogramma komt van 1,9 biljoen dollar. Europa wist gisteren wel met een plus de sessie af te sluiten waarbij vooral de AEX opviel met een stijging van ruim 12 punten. Bij de AEX trok vooral ASML de kar want het aandeel kende een van zijn beste dagen zelfs.

We zien vanmorgen wat daling, via de futures op Wall Street ook maar het blijft beperkt. De volatiliteit valt wat stil momenteel want we zitten in een fase waar beleggers wachten op kwartaalcijfers, de wisseling van de wacht in de VS met de vraag of dat kalm zal verlopen en natuurlijk de pandemie en de steun die eraan zit te komen in de VS. Na de middag verwacht ik wel weer wat meer beweging en zeker zodra de cijfers van de grote zakenbanken in de VS naar buiten komen. Dat zal kort na de middag worden. Hou er ook rekening mee dat Wall Street maandag dicht is door Martin Luther King Day, de futures zullen wel meelopen maandag ...

Dan nog maar een keer, de indices blijven in de WIG bewegen, gisteren werd de bovenkant weer aangetikt, de vraag is nu of na de terugval er weer wordt gekocht zoals dat de afgelopen periode telkens gebeurde. Wel valt de AEX nu op, deze index is aan de bovenkant uitgebroken na de sessie van gisteren en dus volledig door het aandeel ASML dat gisteren de helft van de punten bij de index wist te dragen. Nu maar eens zien of ASML deze niveau's kan vasthouden en de AEX is nu behoorlijk afhankelijk van het verloop van ASML dat zo zwaar meeweegt (al meer dan 20%). Zie hieronder nog een keer de uitleg van een WIG ...

Wat is een WIG?
Zie de grafiek hieronder, in de meeste gevallen valt een prijs na een tijdje uit de WIG en dan in de negatieve richting. Let wel, ik zeg in de meeste gevallen want er zijn natuurlijk ook uitzonderingen maar dan zet ik het procentueel op 25-30% dat het andersom gaat. Wat er ook mogelijk is, de markt gaat gestaag door omhoog en breekt uit om daarna een nieuwe WIG op te bouwen, iets wat we tussen 2010 en 2012 hebben gezien. Maar er komt hoe dan ook een eind aan deze beweging, die is niet eindeloos. Bij vrijwel alle indices zien we een WIG zoals u bij de eerste figuur hieronder ziet. Dat bij de AEX, de DAX, de Dow Jones, de SP 500 en de Nasdaq ...

U kunt mij en dus @USMarkets uiteraard ook volgen via onze Twitter account, ga naar ... https://twitter.com/USMarkets waar ik tussentijds wat charts over de markt en sentiment plaats, ook opvallende beursfeiten komen er vaak langs !

Euro, olie en goud:
De euro zien we nu rond de 1.213 dollar, de prijs van een vat Brent olie komt uit op 55,7 dollar terwijl een troy ounce goud nu op 1847 dollar staat. De Bitcoin herpakt zich na enkele dolle dagen, nu moet je 37.900 dollar neertellen voor 1 Bitcoin ...

Strategische posities:
Wat betreft de posities heb ik gisteren in ieder geval weer 2 nieuwe posities opgenomen, vanmorgen werd de positie op de AEX die nog openstond gesloten maar dat was slechts met een klein aantal. Ik wissel tussen long en short in deze fase, we zien trouwens wel dat de volatiliteit wat aan het afnemen is nu men wacht op cijfers en steun. Denk er wel aan dat de volatiliteit snel weer terug kan komen hetgeen ik ook verwacht. Voorlopig lijkt het erop dat de markten nog records neer willen zetten.

Zodra u lid wordt ontvangt u de signalen en kunt u meteen de lopende posities inzien via onze Tradershop op de website. Ik probeer in ieder geval zo goed als dat kan om met de markt mee te gaan, wel is het zo dat de markt volatiel blijft voorlopig en die kan zelfs nog wat gaan toenemen. Wat ik moet doen is in ieder geval blijven schakelen tussen long en short.

In de loop van de dag krijgen de leden weer een update over de strategie en mijn bevindingen over de markt kort samengevat. Ook zou het kunnen dat er een positie bij komt via een signaal dat ik in de loop van de sessie verstuur ...

Maak nu gebruik van de proef aanbieding:
Mis in ieder geval de start van 2021 niet want er komen hoe dan ook hele mooie kansen ... Via deze aanbieding ... €39 tot 1 MAART 2021 ... Polleke €49 tot 1 MAART 2021 !!!

Systeem Trading (€39 tot 1 MAART)

Index Trading (€39 tot 1 MAART)

Guy Trading (€39 tot 1 MAART)

Polleke Trading (€49 tot 1 MAART)

Aandelen portefeuille (€30 tot 1 MAART)

COMBI TRADING (€79 tot 1 MAART)

Tussenstand deze maand januari 2021:

Resultaat afgelopen maand december 2020:

Met vriendelijke groet,
Guy Boscart

GLOBAL TOP NEWS
President-elect Joe Biden outlined a $1.9 trillion stimulus package proposal on Thursday, saying bold investment was needed to jump-start the economy and accelerate the distribution of vaccines to bring the coronavirus under control.

America will be in uncharted territory when the U.S. Senate meets as soon as next week for the second impeachment trial of Donald Trump, a case against the outgoing president that one Democrat preparing for arguments called "shockingly evident."

Swiss trading house Gunvor will resume trading in large volumes of Russian oil products this year after winning a big tender from Russia's largest oil firm Rosneft for the first time in eight years, five industry sources told Reuters.


EUROPEAN COMPANY NEWS
France on Thursday took a tough line against any takeover of retailer Carrefour by a foreign company, dealing a major blow to a near $20 billion bid approach by Canada's Alimentation Couche-Tard.

General Electric accused a Siemens Energy subsidiary of using stolen trade secrets to rig bids for lucrative contracts supplying gas turbines to public utilities, and cover up improper business gains totaling more than $1 billion, according to a lawsuit filed on Thursday.

Business software group SAP forecast flat revenue and a decline in operating profit in 2021, as it released preliminary annual results that came at the high end of guidance slashed last autumn.


TODAY'S COMPANY ANNOUNCEMENTS
Atari SA HY 2021 Earnings Release
Katoro Gold PLC Shareholders Meeting
Tasty PLC Shareholders Meeting​


ECONOMIC EVENTS (All times GMT)0700 (approx.) United Kingdom GDP Estimate 3M/3M for Nov: Expected 3.4%; Prior 10.2%0700 (approx.) United Kingdom GDP Estimate mm for Nov: Expected -5.7%; Prior 0.4%0700 (approx.) United Kingdom GDP Estimate yy for Nov: Expected -12.1%; Prior -8.2%0700 (approx.) United Kingdom Services mm for Nov: Expected -6.7%; Prior 0.2%0700 (approx.) United Kingdom Services yy for Nov: Expected -14.4%; Prior -8.8%0700 (approx.) United Kingdom Industrial Output mm for Nov: Expected 0.5%; Prior 1.3%0700 (approx.) United Kingdom Industrial Output yy for Nov: Expected -4.2%; Prior -5.5%0700 (approx.) United Kingdom Manufacturing Output mm for Nov: Expected 0.9%; Prior 1.7%0700 (approx.) United Kingdom Manufacturing Output yy for Nov: Expected -4.8%; Prior -7.1%0700 (approx.) United Kingdom Construction Output Volume mm for Nov: Expected 0.5%; Prior 1.0%0700 (approx.) United Kingdom Construction Output Volume yy for Nov: Expected -8.1%; Prior -7.5%0700 (approx.) United Kingdom Goods Trade Balance for Nov: Expected -10.175 bln GBP; Prior -11.999 bln GBP0700 (approx.) United Kingdom Goods Trade Balance Non-EU for Nov: Prior -4.544 bln GBP0745 France Budget Balance for Nov: Prior -159.85 bln EUR0745 France CPI (EU Norm) Final mm for Dec: Expected 0.2%; Prior 0.2%0745 France CPI (EU Norm) Final yy for Dec: Expected 0.0%; Prior 0.0%0745 France Inflation Ex-Tobacco mm for Dec: Prior 0.1%0745 (approx.) France Inflation Ex-Tobacco Index for Dec: Prior 103.860745 (approx.) France CPI yy NSA for Dec: Expected 0.0%; Prior 0.0%0745 (approx.) France CPI mm NSA for Dec: Expected 0.2%; Prior 0.2%0745 (approx.) France CPI NSA for Dec: Prior 104.730800 Spain CPI mm Final NSA for Dec: Expected 0.2%; Prior 0.2%0800 Spain CPI yy Final NSA for Dec: Expected -0.5%; Prior -0.5%0800 Spain HICP Final mm for Dec: Expected 0.1%; Prior 0.1%0800 Spain HICP Final yy for Dec: Expected -0.6%; Prior -0.6%0800 Spain Core CPI yy for Dec: Prior 0.2%0800 (approx.) Spain CPI Final NSA for Dec: Prior 104.6790830 (approx.) Sweden CPI mm for Dec: Expected 0.6%; Prior 0.0%0830 (approx.) Sweden CPI yy for Dec: Expected 0.4%; Prior 0.2%0830 (approx.) Sweden CPI Final mm for Dec: Expected 0.6%; Prior 0.0%0830 (approx.) Sweden CPI Final yy for Dec: Expected 0.2%; Prior 0.2%0830 (approx.) Sweden CPI NSA for Dec: Prior 337.000830 (approx.) Sweden CPI Final Ex-Energy mm for Dec: Expected 0.5%; Prior 0.0%0830 (approx.) Sweden CPI Final Ex-Energy yy for Dec: Expected 1.1%; Prior 1.1%1000 Euro Zone Eurostat Trade NSA for Nov: Expected 26.0 bln EUR; Prior 30.0 bln EUR1000 (approx.) Euro Zone Total Trade Balance SA for Nov: Prior 25.90 bln EUR1100 (approx.) Euro Zone Reserve Assets Total for Dec: Prior 859.43 bln EUR

TOP NEWS
• Biden to unveil plan to pump $1.5 trillion into pandemic-hit economy
President-elect Joe Biden will unveil a stimulus package proposal designed to jump-start the economy during the coronavirus pandemic with an economic lifeline that could exceed $1.5 trillion and help minority communities.

• BlackRock profit beats expectations as assets reach record high
BlackRock reported a better-than-expected quarterly profit, as increased activity in financial markets resulted in higher fees and pushed its assets under management to record highs.

• Bitter Senate impeachment trial of Trump could bog down Biden's first days
The second impeachment of President Donald Trump by the U.S. House of Representatives, for inciting last week's deadly rampage at the Capitol, could set off a bitter Senate fight that entangles the early days of President-elect Joe Biden's term.

• Trump administration shelves planned investment ban on Alibaba, Tencent, Baidu -sources
The Trump administration has scrapped plans to blacklist Chinese tech giants Alibaba, Tencent and Baidu, four people familiar with the matter said, providing a brief reprieve to Beijing's top corporates amid a broader crackdown by Washington.

• Chesapeake Energy to emerge from bankruptcy court as a $5.13 billion enterprise
U.S. oil and gas producer Chesapeake Energy's Chapter 11 bankruptcy plan was approved by a U.S. judge on Wednesday, giving lenders control of the firm and ending a contentious trial.


BEFORE THE BELL
Futures tracking the S&P 500 and Dow inched higher as investors looked forward to President-elect Joe Biden's new coronavirus fiscal package plan to support the pandemic-battered economy, while also awaiting a reading on weekly jobless claims data. European shares rose as hopes of a large U.S. stimulus under incoming U.S. President Joe Biden and upbeat Chinese export data boosted sentiment. Japan's Nikkei closed higher helped by a rally in tech shares and better-than-expected core machinery orders. The dollar index was flat and gold prices edged lower. Oil prices dipped on demand concerns. Import and export prices numbers are also due on the U.S. economic calendar later in the day. ​


STOCKS TO WATCH
IPOs
• Affirm Holdings Inc: Shares of the company, founded by PayPal’s co-founder Max Levchin, almost doubled in their Nasdaq debut on Wednesday, valuing the U.S. provider of installment loans to online shoppers at over $23 billion. Affirm's shares ended their first day of trade at $97.24 apiece, a 98% pop from its IPO price of $49. It raised $1.2 billion in the offering, with its pricing coming in above the target range Affirm had set. "We have gotten to the point of the journey where we’re on the precipice of becoming a known brand among both the investor community, and consumers and merchants. Being publicly traded is helpful in that regard," Levchin said in a telephone interview.

• Petco Health and Wellness Company Inc: The pet retailer said on Wednesday it sold shares in its initial public offering at $18 apiece, above its target range, to raise about $816.5 million. Petco, which is owned by the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPP Investments) and private equity firm CVC Capital Partners, had aimed to sell 48 million shares at a target range of $14 to $17 per share. The IPO, which values Petco at almost $4 billion, signals that investor appetite for new stocks remains robust following a stellar 2020, which was the strongest IPO market in two decades.

Results
• BlackRock Inc: The asset manager reported a better-than-expected quarterly profit, as increased activity in financial markets resulted in higher fees and pushed its assets under management to record highs. The company's adjusted net income of $10.18 per share in the fourth quarter topped Wall Street estimates of $9.14, according to Refinitiv IBES data. Assets under management grew to $8.68 trillion at the end of the quarter, from $7.43 trillion a year earlier. The company's total net inflows through the quarter were $126.93 billion, slightly lower than the $128.84 billion last year.

In Other News
• Alibaba Group Holding Ltd & Baidu Inc: The Trump administration has scrapped plans to blacklist Chinese tech giants Alibaba, Tencent and Baidu, four people familiar with the matter said, providing a brief reprieve to Beijing's top corporates amid a broader crackdown by Washington. Washington nonetheless plans to move forward this week with a bid to add as many as nine other Chinese companies to the list, one of the people said. The abrupt decision throws into stark relief the deep divisions within the Trump administration on China policy, even as Trump seeks to lock President-elect Joe Biden into aggressive postures against the world's second-largest economy.

• Alphabet Inc: Google has removed lending apps aimed at consumers in India from Play Store in an attempt to safeguard users, it said in a blog post. "We have reviewed hundreds of personal loan apps in India, based on flags submitted by users and government agencies," Suzanne Frey, Vice President, Product, Android Security and Privacy said in the post. A recent investigation by Reuters found at least 10 lending apps on Play Store breached Google's rules on loan repayment lengths aimed at protecting vulnerable borrowers. It also found that a number of the lending apps also flouted central bank regulations aimed at protecting borrowers. Google did not elaborate on the number of apps that had been taken down.

• Amazon.com Inc: Connecticut is investigating Amazon.com for potential anti-competitive behavior in its business selling digital books, the state's attorney general said on Wednesday. The probe is one of many into the e-commerce platform's business practices. Amazon is also under investigation by the attorneys general in New York, California and Washington state and the Federal Trade Commission. In other news, Parler, a social media outlet favored by some supporters of U.S. President Donald Trump, urged a court Wednesday to order Amazon.com to put it back online. • Chesapeake Energy Corp: The U.S. oil and gas producer’s Chapter 11 bankruptcy plan was approved by a U.S. judge on Wednesday, giving lenders control of the firm and ending a contentious trial. Chesapeake will emerge from bankruptcy with about $3 billion in new financing, a $7 billion reduction in debt, and $1.7 billion cut from gas processing and pipeline costs. Investors who committed last spring to back the restructuring as energy tumbled stand to benefit enormously. A rebound in energy prices raised Chesapeake's value to about $5.13 billion, the judge hearing the case said.

• Citigroup Inc: The company said on Wednesday it has created a single wealth management business, Citi global wealth, to deliver products and services to clients from the affluent segment, as well as ultra-high net worth individuals. The new unit, formed by combining wealth management teams in global consumer banking and the institutional clients group, will be led by Jim O'Donnell and will include the Citi private bank and Citi personal wealth management. Citi, which reshuffled the leadership for its U.S. consumer bank on Tuesday, will also get a new chief executive officer in February when Jane Fraser will take over from Michael Corbat.

• Facebook Inc: WhatsApp is battling mistrust globally after it updated its privacy policy to let it share some user data with parent Facebook and other group firms, and the backlash risks thwarting its ambitions in its biggest market, India. Though WhatsApp has yet to see mass uninstalls of its app in India, users concerned about privacy are increasingly downloading rival apps such as Signal and Telegram, research firms say, propelling them higher on the download charts and putting those apps ahead of their ubiquitous rival in India for the first time. The company said its privacy policy update "does not affect the privacy of your messages with your friends and family in any way". WhatsApp has also said that the changes to the privacy policy are only related to users' interactions with businesses. When asked for comment, WhatsApp referred Reuters to its published statements on privacy.

• KKR & Co: The investment firm said it had closed its first fund targeting real estate investments in Asia Pacific at $1.7 billion. The announcement comes days after KKR closed its inaugural Asia infrastructure fund, as the private equity powerhouse expands its platforms in the region. John Pattar, KKR head of real estate Asia, told Reuters the new fund would focus on Asia's urbanization trends, corporate carve-outs of non-core real estate assets in Japan and also take-private opportunities in markets including Australia, Singapore and Japan.

• PayPal Holding Inc: The company has become the first foreign operator with 100% control of a payment platform in China, according to Chinese government data, as the U.S. fintech giant eyes a bigger foothold in a booming market for online payments. PayPal acquired the 30% stake it doesn't already own in China's GoPay, formally known as Guofubao Information Technology Co., on Dec. 31, 2020, according to shareholder data from the National Enterprise Credit Information Publicity System. Financial details weren't disclosed in the data. The stake purchase came a year after PayPal bought a 70% stake in GoPay for an undisclosed amount,then becoming the first foreign company licensed to provide online payment services in China.

• Pfizer Inc: The Philippines' Food and Drug Administration has authorised for emergency use the COVID-19 vaccine developed by Pfizer and BioNTech, the first to be approved in the country, which has among the most coronavirus cases in Asia. FDA head Rolando Enrique Domingo said the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine, which has shown a 95% success rate, could be effective in preventing COVID-19, with which nearly half a million people in the Philippines have been infected. "The benefit of using vaccine outweighs the known and potential risks," he told a briefing, adding "no specific safety concerns were identified."

• Tesla Inc: The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) on Wednesday asked Tesla to recall 158,000 Model S and Model X vehicles over media control unit (MCU) failures that could pose safety risks by leading to touchscreen displays not working. The auto safety agency made the unusual request in a formal letter to Tesla after upgrading a safety probe in November, saying it had tentatively concluded the 2012-2018 Model S and 2016-2018 Model X vehicles "contain a defect related to motor vehicle safety." Tesla did not immediately respond to a request for comment but it must respond to NHTSA by Jan. 27. If it does not agree it must provide the agency "with a full explanation of its decision."

• Twitter Inc: The company’s Chief Executive Jack Dorsey said on Wednesday that banning President Donald Trump from its social media platform after last week's violence at the U.S. Capitol was the "right decision," but said it sets a dangerous precedent. San Francisco-based Twitter last week removed Trump's account, which had 88 million followers, citing the risk of further violence following the storming of the Capitol by supporters of the president. "Having to take these actions fragment the public conversation," Dorsey said on Twitter. "They divide us. They limit the potential for clarification, redemption, and learning. And sets a precedent I feel is dangerous: the power an individual or corporation has over a part of the global public conversation."

• Vipshop Holdings Ltd: China's markets regulator said it has launched a probe into companies linked to online discount retailer Vipshop over possible unfair competition. The entities targeted are Vipshop (China) Co Ltd and Guangzhou Vipshop E-Commerce Co Ltd, the regulator said in a statement, without elaborating on the probe. Vipshop will cooperate with the regulators' investigation, the company said on its official Weibo account. The State Administration of Market Regulation (SAMR) said at the time it had taken the decision after it received consumer complaints over the companies' pricing strategies related to Nov. 11 shopping events.

• Wells Fargo & Co: The company’s Chief Executive Charlie Scharf will give investors more details on his long-awaited turnaround plan for the scandal-plagued bank this week. Although Wall Street expects Wells Fargo to report a 38% profit decline on Friday against the backdrop of the coronavirus pandemic, investors have become more bullish in anticipation of details about expansive cost-cutting plans. Wells Fargo shares have jumped 45% since Scharf teased a strategic update in October, outperforming JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America.


ANALYSIS
Sanctions-hit Chinese firms surge as global buyers swoop in
Asian and European investors are snatching up discounted Chinese stocks hit by a U.S. investment ban, finding bargains as giant American funds bail out and shrugging off concerns that the sanctions could hurt the companies' prospects.


ANALYSTS' RECOMMENDATION
• Aligos Therapeutics Inc: Jefferies raises target price to $42 from $30, based on higher probabilities of success for Aligos Hepatitis B Combination Therapy.

• American Eagle Outfitters Inc: Jefferies raises target price to $27 from $22, reflecting accelerated growth from its brand Aerie and growing e-commerce business.

• Antero Resources Corp: JPMorgan raises target price to $8 from $6, citing robust export trends and recovering domestic demand along with improving Natural Gas Liquids fundamentals.

• DuPont Inc: JPMorgan cuts rating to neutral from overweight, citing a questionable growth story and limited balance sheet optionality.


ECONOMIC EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0830 (approx.) Import prices mm for Dec: Expected 0.7%; Prior 0.1%
0830 (approx.) Export prices mm for Dec: Expected 0.4%; Prior 0.6%
0830 (approx.) Import prices yy for Dec: Prior -1.0%
0830 Initial jobless claims: Expected 795,000; Prior 787,000
0830 Jobless claims 4-week average: Prior 818,750
0830 Continued jobless claims: Expected 5.061 mln; Prior 5.072 mln


COMPANIES REPORTING RESULTS
Delta Air Lines Inc: Expected Q4 loss of $2.50 per share
First Republic Bank: Expected Q4 earnings of $1.52 per share


CORPORATE EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
1000 Delta Air Lines Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1000 Endurance International Group Holdings Inc: Shareholders Meeting
1000 First Republic Bank: Q4 earnings conference call
1200 Micron Technology Inc: Annual Shareholders Meeting
1700 Progress Software Corp: Q4 earnings conference call


EX-DIVIDENDS
Abbott Laboratories: Amount $0.45
Abbvie Inc: Amount $1.30
American Financial Group Inc: Amount $0.50
Arcosa: Amount $0.05
Bank Ozk: Amount $0.27
City Holding Co: Amount $0.58
Compass Diversified Holdings: Amount $0.36
EOG Resources Inc: Amount $0.37
Foot Locker Inc: Amount $0.15
General Dynamics Corp: Amount $1.10
Life Storage Inc: Amount $1.11
McGrath RentCorp: Amount $0.42
Methode Electronics Inc: Amount $0.11
Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc: Amount $1.02
Oxford Industries Inc: Amount $0.25
Patterson Companies Inc: Amount $0.26
Quaker Chemical Corp: Amount $0.39
RPM International Inc: Amount $0.38
Science Applications International Corp: Amount $0.37
Trinity Industries Inc: Amount $0.21
Watsco Inc: Amount $1.77
WD-40 Co: Amount $0.67

Goedemorgen
De verwachting van de markt vanmorgen, een blik op de WIG die we zien en de komende kwartaalcijfers. De markt blijft in ieder geval sterk liggen, vrijwel alle indices komen weer bij de bovenkant uit hetgeen we zien op de grafieken. Het is wachten op een grotere beweging nu, het is moeilijk om aan te geven welke kant die op zal gaan. Technisch bekeken zou je uitgaan van een correctie maar het kan ook vanaf een hoger niveau ...

De DAX laat via de futures een plus van 40 punten zien terwijl de CAC 40 een punt of 15 hoger kan openen. Woensdag eindigden de beurzen in Europa overwegend iets in de plus na een vrij rustige sessie waar beleggers vooral wachten op de kwartaalcijfers en nieuws over nieuwe overheidssteun in de VS zodra Trump het Witte Huis moet verlaten. Gisteren kreeg Trump zelfs een 2e afzettingsprocedure aan zijn broek, nooit eerder kreeg een president daar mee te maken ...

Waar men ook steeds op let is dat we nog lang niet van het virus af zijn, het is nogal wat om het vaccin bij iedereen te krijgen en dan moeten er geen tegenslagen bij komen aangezien er nu al tal van mutaties opduiken. Men beseft dat de weg naar een wereld zonder COVID-19 nog lang kan zijn.

Verder lijkt het erop dat de markt vooral wacht op de plannen van de nieuwe president Joe Biden, hij wil biljoenen dollars uitgeven om de pandemie in te dammen en zo meteen ook een impuls te geven aan de economie. Wat Biden van plan is weten we nog niet exact, pas als hij het Witte Huis betreed komt er meer nieuws daarover maar zijn plannen zijn in ieder geval groot volgens de verwachtingen.

We zitten met de meeste beurzen nog altijd in de bekende WIG omhoog, niet met overdreven stijgingen en ook de dalingen blijven binnen de lijnen zodat men vaak iets hoger winst neemt en wat eerder de DIP opkoopt. Momenteel kijkt men niet zo naar de prijs van een aandeel, het is eerder het sentiment dat men volgt en dus tegen elke prijs mee wil doen met de markt. Dat komt omdat we met een vreemde MIX zitten momenteel, je hebt de nieuwe intredende belegger/speculant die nog nooit iets heeft meegemaakt wat lijkt op hetgeen we nu zien terwijl je aan de andere kant de ervaren belegger/speculant hebt die wel weet hoe dit kan aflopen met een markt als deze. De nieuwe groep koopt zich tot over de nek vol met aandelen en leent er zelfs massaal voor, de oude garde blijft voorzichtig en doet in feite amper mee met de huidige gekte.

Zelf behoor ik ook tot die laatste groep, ik blijf hoe dan ook voorzichtig ook al beperkt me dat bij het vangen van een grote vis. Met mijn lange termijn beleggingen zit ik al een tijdje op CASH, ik win niets maar als de markt een grote schuiver maakt verlies ik ook niks. Om nu te kopen lijkt me niet het moment, dat is mijn mening en dus ook mijn visie ...

Wat is een WIG?
Zie de grafiek hieronder, in de meeste gevallen valt een prijs na een tijdje uit de WIG en dan in de negatieve richting. Let wel, ik zeg in de meeste gevallen want er zijn natuurlijk ook uitzonderingen maar dan zet ik het procentueel op 25-30% dat het andersom gaat. Wat er ook mogelijk is, de markt gaat gestaag door omhoog en breekt uit om daarna een nieuwe WIG op te bouwen, iets wat we tussen 2010 en 2012 hebben gezien. Maar er komt hoe dan ook een eind aan deze beweging, die is niet eindeloos. Bij vrijwel alle indices zien we een WIG zoals u bij de eerste figuur hieronder ziet. Dat bij de AEX, de DAX, de Dow Jones, de SP 500 en de Nasdaq ...

Dan nog even wat Semi-conductor nieuws:
Taiwan Semi-conductor Manufacturing Company kwam met goeie cijfers vanmorgen, TSMC zag in Q4 de resultaten verder aantrekken. Binnen deze sector doet ASML het ook nogal goed hetgeen de AEX verder vooruit helpt, ASML won gisteren weer €4 en sluit op €422,8. Ook Intel viel weer eens op gisteren, het aandeel won 7% na het bericht dat de CEO Bob Swan vertrekt. Dat was een van de eisen van een grote aandeelhouder (Third Point) die grote veranderingen wil zien. Intel liet meteen ook weten dat de verwachtingen goed zijn voor dit jaar.

U kunt mij en dus @USMarkets uiteraard ook volgen via onze Twitter account, ga naar ... https://twitter.com/USMarkets waar ik tussentijds wat charts over de markt en sentiment plaats, ook opvallende beursfeiten komen er vaak langs !

Euro, olie en goud:
De euro zien we nu rond de 1.215 dollar, de prijs van een vat Brent olie komt uit op 55,95 dollar terwijl een troy ounce goud nu op 1840 dollar staat. De Bitcoin herpakt zich na enkele dolle dagen, nu moet je 38.000 dollar neertellen voor 1 Bitcoin ...

Strategische posities:
Wat betreft de posities waar ik tussendoor koop en verkoop blijft er wat betreft de indices nog 1 kleine positie open als een soort rode draad. Dinsdag werd er winst genomen op de Nasdaq positie, gisteren werd er nog een positie met een minimaal verlies gesloten (DAX). Wat ik wil is weer uitbouwen zodra een index weer de bovenkant van de WIG opzoekt, dan stuur ik uiteraard een mail en een SMS naar de leden.

Zodra u lid wordt ontvangt u de signalen en kunt u meteen de lopende posities inzien via onze Tradershop op de website. Ik probeer in ieder geval zo goed als dat kan om met de markt mee te gaan, wel is het zo dat de markt volatiel blijft voorlopig en die kan zelfs nog wat gaan toenemen. Wat ik moet doen is in ieder geval blijven schakelen tussen long en short.

In de loop van de dag krijgen de leden weer een update over de strategie en mijn bevindingen over de markt kort samengevat. Ook zou het kunnen dat er een positie bij komt via een signaal dat ik in de loop van de sessie verstuur ...

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Tussenstand deze maand januari 2021:

Resultaat afgelopen maand december 2020:

Met vriendelijke groet,
Guy Boscart