Liveblog Archief dinsdag 6 oktober 2020

TOP NEWS
• Trump faces backlash for removing mask on return to White House
U.S. President Donald Trump faced a fresh backlash for removing his mask when he returned to the White House and urging Americans not to fear the COVID-19 disease that has killed more than 209,000 people in the country and put him in hospital.
• U.S. House's antitrust report hints at break-up of Big Tech firms -lawmaker
The U.S. House of Representatives antitrust report on Big Tech firms contains a "thinly veiled call to break up" the companies, Republican Congressman Ken Buck said in a draft response seen by Reuters.
• EU reviewing Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine in real time
The European health regulator is reviewing a COVID-19 vaccine being developed by Pfizer and BioNTech in real time, days after launching a similar assessment process for AstraZeneca's vaccine.
• Mid-recovery, coronavirus spreading, global central bankers take stock
The world's top central bankers have opened the taps with trillions of dollars in promised credit to prevent a global pandemic from causing a global economic depression.
• Black hole discoveries win 2020 Nobel Prize for Physics
Britain's Roger Penrose, Reinhard Genzel of Germany and U.S. scientist Andrea Ghez won the 2020 Nobel Prize for Physics for their discoveries about one of the most exotic phenomena in the universe, the black hole, the award-giving body said.

BEFORE THE BELLU.S. stock index futures were subdued as investors awaited signs Washington was close to agreeing on more fiscal stimulus. Most European stocks eased as a slide in technology and healthcare stocks along with mixed corporate updates tempered optimism. Japan’s Nikkei ended higher, as investors took cues from Wall Street's positive finish overnight. Gold held steady, while the dollar was little changed. Oil prices gained amid supply disruptions in Norway and a new hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. U.S. trade and JOLTS data are due later in the day.

STOCKS TO WATCH
Deals Of The Day
• BHP Group Ltd (BHP) & Hess Corp (HES). BHP said it had signed an agreement to acquire Hess's entire stake in Shenzi oil and gas field in the Gulf of Mexico for $505 million. BHP said the deal would take its ownership in the oil platform to 72%, with Spain's Repsol owning the rest. With the acquisition, BHP said it would be able to add about 11,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day of production to its portfolio and also grow high-margin barrels.

In Other News
• Amazon.com Inc (AMZN), Apple Inc (AAPL), Facebook Inc (FB) & Alphabet Inc (GOOGL). The U.S. House of Representatives antitrust report on Big Tech firms contains a "thinly veiled call to break up" the companies, Republican Congressman Ken Buck said in a draft response seen by Reuters. The House antitrust subcommittee is expected to publish its report this week on Amazon.com, Apple, Facebook and Google owner Alphabet. A Buck representative confirmed to Reuters the authenticity of the draft response, which was first reported by Politico. In the draft, Buck said he shared Democratic concerns about the power of Big Tech firms, with their penchant for "killer acquisitions" to eliminate rivals and self-preferencing in guiding customers to their other products.
• Alphabet Inc (GOOGL). Google announced Google Workspace as the new name for its package of business tools including email and document editing, replacing the G Suite brand introduced in 2016. The rebranding coincides with the launch of features that integrate the various services, such as the ability to have a video chat with co-workers display in a small box at the corner of a document-editing window.
• Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR). The company said on Monday it planned to hire more than 25,000 workers at its stores and distribution centers this holiday season, as it prepares for what is typically a period of higher sales. The U.S. dollar-store chain, which also owns Family Dollar, is looking to fill full-time and part-time positions, including store managers, cashiers and seasonal holiday help as part of its yearly hiring event.
• KKR & Co Inc (KKR) & Morgan Stanley (MS). AppLovin Corp, the U.S. mobile app and gaming company backed by private equity firm KKR & Co, has hired Morgan Stanley to lead preparations for an initial public offering (IPO) which could come early in 2021, according to people familiar with the matter. The sources requested anonymity because the IPO preparations are confidential and cautioned that the plans are subject to market conditions.• Moderna Inc (MRNA). Private contractors hired by Moderna to recruit volunteers for its coronavirus vaccine trial failed to enroll enough Black, Latino and Native American participants to determine how well the vaccine works in these populations, company executives and vaccine researchers told Reuters. To make up for the shortfall, Moderna slowed enrollment of its late-stage trial and instructed research centers to focus on increasing participation among minority volunteers, the company said. The effort is being bolstered by academic researchers who have longstanding relationships with organizations in Black and other minority communities. Five investigators working on the Moderna trial said in interviews that commercial site investigators quickly filled a large portion of the 30,000-person study with mostly white volunteers.• Pfizer Inc (PFE) & BioNTech SE (BNTX). The European health regulator has started a real-time review of the COVID-19 vaccine being developed by Pfizer and BioNTech, days after launching a similar assessment process for AstraZeneca's vaccine. The European Medicines Agency (EMA) said its human medicines committee was evaluating the first batch of non-clinical data on the vaccine from laboratory studies, and will continue to do so until enough data is available for a final decision.
• Southwest Airlines Co (LUV). The company said on Monday it is asking unions to agree to pay cuts in order to prevent furloughs and layoffs through 2021 as the industry struggles to stem losses from the coronavirus pandemic in the absence of more federal aid. Unions represent about 83% of roughly 61,000 Southwest employees. Non-union staff salaries will be cut by 10% until Jan. 1, 2022, when they will return to the current level. The union representing Southwest pilots said it had tentatively agreed to meet and discuss cost savings if a second COVID-19 relief package does not pass in Washington.


ANALYSIS
As U.S. job growth stalls, some workers face long-term unemployment
More than six months after the pandemic ravaged the U.S. labor market, millions of Americans who are still unemployed are bracing for the possibility that the jobs they held before the crisis may not come back for years, if at all.


ANALYSTS' RECOMMENDATION
• Beyond Meat Inc (BYND). Piper Sandler raises target price to $178 from $130, reflecting a survey that suggested plant-based eating is more on-trend with younger consumers, which could drive growth over time as consumers age and that Impossible Foods and Beyond Meat are the early leaders in plant-based meat brand awareness.
• Nvidia Corp (NVDA). JPMorgan raises target price to $605 from $510, expecting solid demand in PC gaming to be a strong revenue driver for the company.
• Pinterest Inc (PINS). Zephirin Group raises target price to $20 from $18, citing growth in MAU (Monthy Active Users) due to better user engagement and the resurrection of idle user accounts.​


ECONOMIC EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0830 International trade for Aug: Expected -$66.1 bln; Prior -$63.6 bln
0830 Goods trade balance (R) for Aug: Prior -$82.94 bln
1000 JOLTS job openings for Aug: Expected 6.685 mln; Prior 6.618 mln


COMPANIES REPORTING RESULTS
Paychex Inc (PAYX). Expected Q1 earnings of 55 cents per share


CORPORATE EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0930 Paychex Inc (PAYX). Q1 earnings conference call
1700 Levi Strauss & Co (LEVI). Q3 earnings conference call


EX-DIVIDENDS
Comcast Corp (CMCSA). Amount $0.23
CVB Financial Corp (CVBF). Amount $0.18
New York Times Co (NYT). Amount $0.06
Progressive Corp (PGR). Amount $0.10
Rent-A-Center Inc (RCII). Amount $0.29

Goedemorgen
Een sterke maandag op Wall Street met Europa waar we opnieuw een sterke sessie zien bij de AEX, vrijdag stond de index nog even op 543 punten, vandaag met de indicatie rond de 560 punten. De weerstand van midden september wordt dus weer opgezocht, de index geraakt opnieuw tot boven het 50-daags gemiddelde.

Bij de DAX is dat nog niet zo, de index blijft wat achter op de AEX index momenteel. Toch iets om in de gaten te houden de komende sessies want de opleving maandag kwam alleen op nieuws en hoop. Vandaag waarschijnlijk een hogere start, dan zien wat Wall Street na de opening gaat doen en dan kan het zijn dat er een signaal volgt.

Wall Street dus hoger, de Nasdaq verloor vrijdag nog fors maar kon vrijwel alles terug pakken, de Dow en de SP 500 gingen ook fors omhoog op het snelle herstel van Trump en de hoop op de goedkeuring van het steunpakket. Dat is er nog niet maar de markt danst al een tijdje op de JA of de NEE indicaties.

Donald Trump verliet op eigen verzoek het Walter Reed-ziekenhuis afgelopen nacht na 3 dagen, hij is nog niet genezen volgens zijn artsen maar hij mocht terug naar het Witte Huis. Blijft vreemd allemaal, kan zoals ik eerder al aangaf aan mij liggen maar wat is-was er nu allemaal aan de hand? Ofwel haalt hij een stunt van jewelste uit, of heeft hij toch een ernstig probleem? Wat opviel was dat hij gelijk bij het aankomen zijn mondkapje afdeed en iedereen choqueerde meteen met de uitspraak “Wees niet bang voor het COVID-19 virus, je verslaat het makkelijk want ik voel me nu beter dan 20 jaar geleden.” Snapt u het nog? ...

Goed, de markten veren op na dat bleek dat Trump weer zo gezond als een vis blijkt te zijn (zegt hij zelf) en men zich geen zorgen meer hoeft te maken over een lang ziektebed voor Trump (dat wisten we allemaal al natuurlijk). De vraag is nu wat gaat de kiezer daarvan denken?

Europa kon dus in het kielzog meelopen met Wall Street, de indices herwinnen het 50-daags gemiddelde met gemak, het is nu de vraag hoe de markt zich verder zal gedragen richting de verkiezingen van 3 november. Alles zal hoe dan ook volatiel blijven, grote uitslagen in beide richtingen zullen aanhouden, we moeten met kleine posities blijven handelen. Dat 50-MA zal ook de komende dagen een punt blijven waar we op moeten letten. Ook het 20-MA is zo'n lijn die we in de gaten moeten houden. De AEX ging er wel voor het eerst sinds augustus ruim boven en het slot lag er boven, zowel boven het 20- als boven het 50-daags gemiddelde. De AEX staat plots ook weer boven het 200-daags gemiddeld na er een tijd onder te hebben gestaan. Ook probeert de AEX de lijn over de recente toppen te doorbreken, ook hier opletten dus. De index zal het moeten doen nu om alles achter zich te laten en dus verder op te klimmen. Zo niet dan krijgen we een groot verkoopsignaal door dat het niet lukt.

Maar goed, Trump, nieuw geld richting de burgers, hoop en een moeilijk technisch punt bij de indices ... Er kan veel gebeuren deze week ... We zoeken hoe dan ook weer naar kansen deze week, wordt via de aanbieding lid, hieronder ziet u de aanbieding en het overzicht van september (afgerond) en deze maand oktober waar we al wat winst hebben staan. Er lopen nu geen index posities meer, dus we hebben alle mogelijkheden om wat te doen en een keuze te maken ...

Trading-handelen: Deze week weer mogelijkheden
De maand oktober is gestart en na september positief te hebben afgerond zoals u in de tabel onderaan deze mail kunt zien hebben we ook vrijdag wat kunnen sluiten met winst. Voor het weekend wou ik even uit de markt door de situatie rondom Trump, het kon teveel risico met zich meebrengen mijn inziens. Het voelt allemaal wat te toevallig aan en vertrouw het niet helemaal, dat gaf ik al aan in de weekend-update ...

Het doet er in feite weinig toe, er komen hoe dan ook kansen in deze volatiele markt, mogelijk zal ik wat sneller met de posities handelen en dan heb ik het over een dag tot een paar dagen in deze volatiele markt. Hoe dan ook, van de volatiliteit wat meer gebruik maken kan en dat is hetgeen ik ga proberen, zowel long als short want de laatste positie die werd gesloten was een LONG positie op de Nasdaq.

Op naar de volgende mogelijkheden, ik zal hoe dan ook de maand oktober positief proberen af te ronden, dat moet kunnen naar mijn mening en dan zijn we vertrokken voor een langere reeks omdat het in november duidelijker zal worden. U weet wel, de verkiezingen in de VS want we weten dan in ieder geval wie er wint ...

Zorg dat u erbij bent in ieder geval want zodra u lid bent ontvangt u ook de signalen per mail en SMS want er loopt vanaf nu een NIEUWE aanbieding tot 1 DECEMBER voor €39 ...

Schrijf u meteen in via de volgende link en u staat op de lijst ... https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop

Zie hieronder het resultaat voor oktober en september ...

Met vriendelijke groet,
Guy Boscart

GLOBAL TOP NEWS
President Donald Trump told Americans "to get out there" and not fear COVID-19 as he returned to the White House on Monday after a three-night hospital stay to be treated for the virus and removed his white surgical mask to pose for pictures.

U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin spoke by phone for about an hour on Monday on coronavirus economic relief and were preparing to talk again Tuesday, continuing their recent flurry of activity working towards a deal on legislation.

British finance minister Rishi Sunak warned of the damage higher interest rates could do to the country's debt mountain as he promised on Monday to "balance the books" following his surge in emergency spending to counter the coronavirus crisis.​


EUROPEAN COMPANY NEWS
France's Veolia succeeded in its bid to buy a 29.9% stake in waste and water management rival Suez on Monday, paving the way for a full takeover offer despite an attempt by the French government to stall the deal.

Cineworld, the world's second-biggest cinema chain, will close its UK and U.S. movie theaters this week, leaving as many as 45,000 workers unemployed for the foreseeable future as it fights to survive a coronavirus collapse in film-making and cinema-going.

SAP will try to allocate 5% of its procurement spending to social enterprises and diverse businesses by 2025 to encourage greater social and environmental responsibility.


TODAY'S COMPANY ANNOUNCEMENTS
Aquila European Renewables Income Fund PLC Shareholders Meeting
Cake Box Holdings PLC Annual Shareholders Meeting
Cewe Stiftung & Co KGaA Annual Shareholders Meeting (German)
Industrivarden AB Q3 2020 Earnings Release
Weng Fine Art AG Annual Shareholders Meeting


ECONOMIC EVENTS (All times GMT)
0600 (approx.) Germany industrial orders mm for Aug: Expected 2.6%; Prior 2.8%
0600 (approx.) Germany manufacturing output current prices SA for Aug: Prior -7.5%
0600 Germany consumer goods SA for Aug: Prior 102.3
0730 Germany IHS Markit Construction PMI for Sep: Prior 48.0
0730 France IHS Markit Construction PMI for Sep: Prior 46.0
0730 Italy IHS Markit Construction PMI for Sep: Prior 50.6
0730 (approx.) Sweden new orders manufacturing yy for Aug: Prior -6.4%
0730 (approx.) Sweden private production yy for Aug: Prior -4.1%
0730 (approx.) Sweden private production mm for Aug: Prior 3.2%
0730 (approx.) Sweden industrial production value yy for Aug: Prior -6.5%
0730 (approx.) Sweden industrial production value mm for Aug: Prior 3.4%
0730 (approx.) Sweden services production yy for Aug: Prior -3.5%
0730 (approx.) Sweden construction production yy for Aug: Prior -1.2%
0730 (approx.) Sweden construction production mm for Aug: Prior -0.8%
0730 Euro Zone IHS Markit Construction PMI for Sep: Prior 47.8
0830 United Kingdom Markit/CIPS Construction PMI for Sep: Expected 54.0; Prior 54.6
0830 United Kingdom All-Sector PMI for Sep: Prior 58.7​