Markt snapshot Wall Street 22 februari
Markt snapshot Wall Street 22 februari
TOP NEWS
• Boeing recommends airlines suspend use of some 777s after United incident
Boeing urged airlines to suspend the use of 777 jets with the same type of engine that shed debris over Denver at the weekend after U.S. regulators announced extra inspections and Japan suspended their use while considering further action.
• OPEC, U.S. oil firms expect subdued shale rebound even as crude prices rise
OPEC and U.S. oil companies see a limited rebound in shale oil supply this year as top U.S. producers freeze output despite rising prices, a decision that would help OPEC and its allies.
• Biden to revise small business loans to reach smaller, minority firms, says official
U.S. President Joe Biden will launch changes on Monday to the main U.S. coronavirus aid program for small businesses to try to reach smaller, minority-owned firms and sole proprietors left behind in previous rounds of aid.
• Australia says no further Facebook, Google amendments as final vote nears
Australia will not alter legislation that would make Facebook and Alphabet's Google pay news outlets for content, a senior lawmaker said , as Canberra neared a final vote on whether to pass the bill into law.
• Texas utilities can't stick customers with huge bills after storm -Abbott
Texas utility regulators will temporarily ban power companies from billing customers or disconnecting them for non-payment, after the deadly winter storm that caused widespread blackouts, Governor Greg Abbott said.
BEFORE THE BELL
U.S. stock index futures slipped, mirroring global equities, as investors were cautious over higher treasury yields and prospects of rising inflation due to vaccine-led global economic recovery. Japanese shares jumped, snapping a three-day losing streak, as hopes of recovery lifted cheap cyclical stocks. The dollar inched down, while gold prices gained. Oil prices rose as concerns remained over the return of storm-hit U.S. crude output.
STOCKS TO WATCH
Results
• AngloGold Ashanti Ltd: The company joined gold mining peers in boosting payouts to shareholders after reporting a leap in annual earnings thanks to surging gold prices. The Johannesburg-listed miner declared a full-year dividend of 7.05 rand per share, more than five times the 2019 dividend when translated into U.S. cents. AngloGold Ashanti reported headline earnings for the full-year 2020 were 238 U.S. cents per share, more than double the 91 U.S. cents per share reported in 2019. All-in sustaining costs increased 6.1%, from $998 per ounce to $1059 per ounce, AngloGold said, with most of that increase due to the pandemic. AngloGold would be interested in acquiring the remaining 30% of Australia's Tropicana from its joint venture partner IGO "at the right value," Christine Ramon said. "We're keeping a watching brief on that," she said, adding that AngloGold has a pre-emptive right to the stake which IGO has been reviewing since September.
• Sasol Ltd: The South African petrochemical firm said it has decided not to pursue a rights issue of up to $2 billion after significant progress in its turnaround strategy. "A decision was made not to pursue a rights issue given the current macro-economic outlook, and the significant progress made on our response plan initiatives," the company said. The company said it was able to repay around 28 billion rand of debt in the six months ended December 2020, despite low crude oil prices, softer chemical prices, plant downtime and the COVID-19 crisis impacting cash flow. Sasol also reported half-year core headline earnings per share (HEPS), which takes into account its black empowerment transaction and losses from the ramp-up phase of its U.S LCCP Base Chemicals business, down 15% at 7.86 rand, compared with 9.25 rand a year earlier. While adjusted EBITDA fell 6% to 18.608 billion rand, weighed down by a 23% decrease in the rand-per-barrel oil price during the period.
In Other News
• Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp: The company said that some of its wind farms in Texas were hit by the deep freeze that has engulfed parts of the United States, causing power outages in the biggest energy-producing state. Algonquin said it expects the potential hit from the deep freeze on the company's adjusted core earnings for this year to be between $45 million and $55 million, or about 5% to 6% of 2019's earnings. The company said it has declared force majeure on contracts and is assessing other potential mitigating options
• Alphabet Inc: The company’s Google fired staff scientist Margaret Mitchell, they both said, a move that fanned company divisions on academic freedom and diversity that were on display since its December dismissal of AI ethics researcher Timnit Gebru. Google said in a statement Mitchell violated the company's code of conduct and security policies by moving electronic files outside the company. Mitchell, who announced her firing on Twitter, did not respond to a request for comment. Gebru said Google fired her after she questioned an order not to publish a study saying AI that mimics language could hurt marginalized populations. Mitchell, a co-author of the paper, publicly criticized the company for firing Gebru and undermining the credibility of her work. The company said Mitchell's firing followed disciplinary recommendations by investigators and a review committee. Separately, Google will evaluate the performance of its vice presidents and above on team diversity and inclusion starting this year, the company said in one of several responses to concerns about its treatment of a Black scientist.
• Alphabet Inc & Facebook Inc: Australia will not alter legislation that would make Facebook and Alphabet's Google pay news outlets for content, a senior lawmaker said, as Canberra neared a final vote on whether to pass the bill into law. Australia and the tech giants have been in a stand-off over the legislation widely seen as setting a global precedent. Talks between Australia and Facebook over the weekend yielded no breakthrough. "The bill as it stands ... meets the right balance," Simon Birmingham, Australia's Minister for Finance, told Australian Broadcasting Corp Radio. The bill in its present form ensures "Australian-generated news content by Australian-generated news organisations can and should be paid for and done so in a fair and legitimate way". The laws would give the government the right to appoint an arbitrator to set content licencing fees if private negotiations fail. A Facebook representative declined to comment on the legislation, which passed the lower house last week and has majority support in the Senate.
• Alibaba Group Holding Ltd: China's bank regulator on Saturday tightened requirements on the internet loan business of commercial banks, amid heightened scrutiny of online lending by internet giants such as Ant Group Co, the finance arm of Alibaba Group. Commercial banks must jointly contribute funds to issue internet loans with a partner, and the proportion of capital from the partner in a loan should not be less than 30%, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission said in a notice. The balance of internet loans issued by a bank with one partner, including its related parties, must not exceed 25% of the bank's net tier-one capital, it said. In addition, the balance of internet loans issued jointly by commercial banks and cooperative institutions may not exceed 50% of the bank's total balance, the guidelines state.
• Amazon.com Inc: India's Supreme Court barred a final ruling by a tribunal reviewing Future Group's $3.4 billion sale of retail assets until the top court hears objections from aggrieved partner Amazon.com, three sources said. Amazon appealed to the Supreme Court this month against Future Group's sale to market leader Reliance Industries, accusing its partner of violating contracts by agreeing to the sale. Three people familiar with the proceedings said the Supreme Court ordered that while the tribunal can continue to review the deal and oversee the approval process, it could not pass a final order while the court hears Amazon's concerns. Amazon declined to comment, while Future Group and Reliance did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
• AT&T Inc, Comcast Corp, Microsoft Corp & Walmart Inc: Ten U.S. corporations slashed donations to candidates seeking federal office by more than 90% in January, after pledging to cut off giving to the Republicans who supported former President Donald Trump's attempt to overturn his election defeat. None of the political action committees of 10 major companies reviewed by Reuters, including Microsoft, Walmart, AT&T and Comcast, donated to any of the 147 congressional Republicans who voted to support Trump's claims just hours after his supporters launched a deadly assault on the U.S. Capitol. Disclosures to the Federal Election Commission ahead of a Saturday filing deadline showed the group of corporate PACs affiliated with those 10 companies made $13,000 in new donations to candidates in January. The reports were the first by the PACs to detail contributions made since the Jan. 6 Capitol attack.
• Baidu Inc: The Chinese search engine giant and automaker Geely hired Mobike co-founder and former chief technology officer Xia Yiping as chief executive of their new electric vehicle venture, Baidu said. "Xia has extensive management experience in the field of smart cars and mobility services," Baidu said. "We welcome Xia Yiping to join Baidu's auto company and look forward to his contribution to Baidu and the automobile industry." Xia served as Mobike's chief technology officer until the company was acquired by food delivery giant Meituan in 2018. Prior to Mobike, he worked at Ford Motor and Fiat Chrysler.
• BlackRock Inc: The company will beef up its process to investigate workers' concerns and expand training after former employees shared accounts on social media of racial and sexual harassment. Manish Mehta, BlackRock's global head of human resources, outlined the changes in a note sent firmwide on Thursday and shared by a company spokesman on Friday. Mehta wrote that "While we strive for a culture of respect and belonging, some of our people have experienced the firm in a way that is not inclusive. Whether the behaviors that cause this are intended or not, they are not acceptable and impact our colleagues and culture." In a statement sent by a spokesman BlackRock said it reviewed the claims byformer BlackRock analyst Essma Bengabsia "but did not find she had been the subject of discrimination or harassment."
• Boeing Co, Raytheon Technologies Corp & Unites Airlines Holdings Inc: Boeing urged airlines to suspend the use of 777 jets with the same type of engine that shed debris over Denver at the weekend after U.S. regulators announced extra inspections and Japan suspended their use while considering further action. The moves involving Pratt & Whitney PW4000 engines came after a United Airlines 777's right engine failed on Saturday, scattering its protective outer casing over a residential area. United said the next day it would voluntarily and temporarily remove its 24 active planes, hours before Boeing's announcement. Boeing said 69 of the 777 planes with PW4000 engines were in service and 59 were stored, at a time when airlines have grounded planes due to a plunge in demand associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. The manufacturer recommended airlines suspend operating them until U.S. regulators identified the appropriate inspection protocol. Pratt & Whitney, owned by Raytheon, said it was coordinating with operators and regulators to support a revised inspection interval for the engines. Separately, an incident involving a Boeing 747-400 cargo plane that dropped engine parts after a mid-air explosion and fire over the southern Netherlands on Saturday is under investigation, the Dutch Safety Board said.
• Citigroup Inc: The bank is considering divesting some international consumer units, Bloomberg Law reported, citing people familiar with the matter. "As our incoming CEO Jane Fraser said in January, we are undertaking a dispassionate and thorough review of our strategy," a Citigroup spokesperson told Reuters. "Many different options are being considered and we will take the right amount of time before making any decisions." The move, part of Fraser's attempt to simplify the bank, can see units in South Korea, Thailand, the Philippines and Australia being divested, the Bloomberg report said. However, no decision has been made, according to the report.
• Chesapeake Energy Corp & Pioneer Natural Resources Co: OPEC and U.S. oil companies see a limited rebound in shale oil supply this year as top U.S. producers freeze output despite rising prices, a decision that would help OPEC and its allies. OPEC this month cut its 2021 forecast for U.S. tight crude, another term for shale, and expects production to decline by 140,000 barrels per day to 7.16 million bpd. The U.S. government expects shale output in March to fall about 78,000 bpd to 7.5 million bpd. "In this new era, (shale) requires a different mindset," Doug Lawler, chief executive of shale pioneer Chesapeake Energy, said in an interview. "It requires more discipline and responsibility with respect to generating cash for our stakeholders and shareholders." The chief executive of shale producer Pioneer Natural Resources, Scott Sheffield, said he expects small companies to increase output but in the aggregate U.S. output will remain flat to 1% higher even at $60 per barrel.
• Chevron Corp: Singapore's Pavilion Energy Trading & Supply said it signed a six-year sale and purchase agreement with company for about 0.5 million tonnes per year of LNG supplies from 2023. Pavilion Energy, owned by Singapore state-owned investment company Temasek Holdings, struck the deal with Chevron's Singapore branch. Each cargo supplied to Singapore under the agreement will be accompanied by a statement of its greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) measured from wellhead to discharge port, Pavilion Energy said in a statement.
• Ebix Inc: The software supplier said RSM US had resigned as the company's registered public accounting firm, sending shares down in extended trade. RSM told Ebix's audit committee chairman it was resigning as a result of being unable to obtain sufficient evidence to evaluate the business purpose of "significant unusual transactions" in the fourth quarter of 2020, according to a regulatory filing. The auditor informed Ebix that there was a disagreement with respect to the classification of $30 million and flagged unusual transactions concerning Ebix's gift card business in India. Internal control over financial reporting was not effective as of Dec. 31, 2020 due to the identification of a material weakness, RSM said in its resignation letter on Feb. 15. "The Company intends to move as quickly as possible to replace RSM and to complete its 2020 financial audit," Ebix added.
• Exxon Mobil Corp & Valero Energy Corp: The largest U.S. oil refiners released tons of air pollutants into the skies over Texas this past week, according to figures provided to the state, as refineries and petrochemical plants in the region scrambled to shut production during frigid weather. An arctic air mass that spread into an area unused to such low temperatures killed at least two dozen people in Texas and knocked out power to more than 4 million at its peak. It also hit natural gas and electric generation, cutting supplies needed to run the plants along the U.S. Gulf Coast. Valero Energy said in a filing with the TCEQ that it released 78,000 pounds over 24 hours beginning last Monday from its Port Arthur, Texas, refinery, citing the frigid cold and interruptions in utility services. Exxon Mobil said its Baytown Olefins Plant emitted nearly a ton of benzene and 68,000 tons of carbon monoxide, citing in its disclosure the halting of "multiple process units and safe utilization of the flare system." Meanwhile, Valero Energy began restarting the East Plant of its 290,000 barrel-per-day (bpd) Corpus Christi, Texas, oil refinery on Sunday, according to a notice filed with the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ).
• HSBC Holdings PLC: The bank is set to withdraw from U.S. retail banking, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters, as Europe's biggest bank seeks to dispose of a business that has long underperformed. The exit from the U.S. consumer business will form part of the lender's strategy update due on Tuesday, as Chief Executive Noel Quinn seeks to cut costs, boost fee income and continue the lender's shift towards Asia. The sale or closure of its around 150 remaining branches in the United States would mark the end of HSBC's struggle to turn around a business which has struggled to make inroads against incumbent domestic rivals. Ahead of the strategy update Quinn reshuffled several of his senior lieutenants. HSBC appointed Nuno Matos as chief executive of its wealth and personal banking business, while chief compliance officer Colin Bell became head of HSBC's European business. Michael Roberts was appointed CEO for the United States and Americas, while Stephen Moss will move to Dubai as head of the Middle East, North Africa and Turkey business, the bank said.
• Kohl's Corp: A group of activist investors with about 9.5% stake in the company is attempting to take control of the department store chain's board, The Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday. Investors including Macellum Advisors, Ancora Holdings, Legion Partners Asset Management, and 4010 Capital had earlier this year nominated nine people to its now-12-person board, the newspaper said, citing people familiar with the matter. These activist investors are calling on Kohl's to take a range of actions, including adding directors with retail experience who can work with Michelle Gass, the company's CEO. They are also asking Kohl's to consider a sale-leaseback of some of its more than $7 billion in noncore real estate, the Journal said, citing people familiar with the matter and a letter viewed by the outlet, which the group plans to send to shareholders. A Kohl's representative told Reuters that the company's board and management team have been engaged in discussions with the investor group since early December and "remain open to hearing new ideas."
• Lockheed Martin Corp: Saudi Arabian Military Industries (SAMI) has signed an agreement to set up a joint venture with U.S. firm Lockheed Martin to enhance the kingdom's defence and manufacturing capabilities, the state-owned Saudi company said on Sunday. SAMI, which is owned by the Saudi state's Public Investment Fund (PIF), will own 51% of the venture. "The new agreement will develop localised capabilities by transferring technology and knowledge, and by training a Saudi workforce in manufacturing products for, and providing services to, the Saudi armed forces," the statement said. Saudi is one of the world's largest buyers of foreign arms.
• M&T Bank Corp & People's United Financial Inc: M&T Bank is nearing an agreement to merge with People's United Financial, with the two companies discussing an all-stock deal that could be finalized as soon as this week, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter. The banks will have more than $200 billion in assets combined, according to the report. People's United has a market value of about $6.6 billion, while M&T's is over $19 billion. The combined company is likely to be led by M&T Chief Executive René Jones and maintain a significant corporate presence in Bridgeport, the newspaper said.
• Orange SA: The chief executive of the company’ Spain division has called on the Spanish government to cut the price of 5G frequencies that are to be auctioned in March, El Pais newspaper reported on Sunday. Jean-François Fallacher, head of the French telecoms firm in Spain, said if the government reduced the current asking price of $1.42 billion for 5G frequencies it could encourage investment in the sector. "Recently, the Secretary of State for Telecommunications, Roberto Sánchez, suggested (the government) may review that price," he told El Pais newspaper. He added: "We have always said that this auction should not have an objective that could compromise the investments necessary for the 5G deployment." Fallacher said the telecoms sector was "excessively taxed" in Spain, citing a report by Ernst & Young which said the country levied one of highest number of taxes on operators in Europe.
• Petroleo Brasileiro SA: Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro moved to replace the head of state-run oil company Petrobras, naming a retired army general with no oil and gas experience as CEO after weeks of clashes with the current chief executive over fuel price hikes. In a late Friday statement from the Mines and Energy Ministry, first shared on Bolsonaro's Facebook page, the government said it had decided to appoint former Defense Minister Joaquim Silva e Luna to run Petroleo Brasileiro SA, as the firm is known formally. The company's senior management is considering resigning en masse to protest the CEO's replacement, three people close to the executives told Reuters on Friday evening. Petrobras said in a statement that it had received notice from the Mines and Energy Ministry about the proposed CEO change, adding that the ministry had requested an extraordinary shareholders' meeting.
• Principal Financial Group Inc: Activist investor Elliott Management has taken a stake in the company and plans to push for changes at the life Insurance company, Bloomberg reported late on Sunday, citing sources. The New York-based hedge fund is nearing a deal that will grant it seats on Principal Financial's board and plans to launch a strategic review of the insurer's portfolio that could include a sale of part of the business, the report said. The companies did not immediately respond to requests for comment on the news.
• Starboard Value Acquisition Corp: Private equity-backed data center provider Cyxtera Technologies said it has agreed to go public through a merger with a blank-check firm backed by shareholder activist Starboard Value, in a deal valuing the combined entity at $3.4 billion. As part of the deal with Starboard Value Acquisition, Cyxtera will receive $654 million, including $250 million from private investors such as Fidelity Management & Research Company and clients of Starboard. Cyxtera will be listed on the Nasdaq under the new ticker symbol "CYXT" after the merger.
• TC PipeLines LP: The company’s largest independent unitholder, Energy Income Partners, said it plans to vote against the $1.68 billion merger with Keystone pipeline owner TC Energy, saying the deal undervalues the company's assets. Energy Income Partners has more than 10% stake, which makes it the largest 'non-affiliated' unitholder. It said the deal is "inadequate" and "significantly undervalues" TCP's organic growth opportunities. Calgary-based TC Energy owns about 24% stake in TC PipeLines through the Master Limited Partnership's (MLP) general partner. The deal, which is expected to close late in the current quarter, will require approval by unitholders at a special meeting set by TC PipeLines for Feb. 26.
ANALYSIS
Fed's Powell set table for Biden economy, but will he stay for dessert?
Over the past year Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has engineered the largest economic rescue in U.S. history, thrown a controversial lifeline to companies hard hit by the coronavirus pandemic and steered a sweeping labor-friendly revamp of monetary policy that any presidential administration would welcome.
ANALYSTS' RECOMMENDATION
• Aptargroup Inc: Jefferies raises target price to $135 from $128, stating that the company’s productivity initiatives and new product launches will trigger a rebound in growth.
• CVR Energy Inc: JPMorgan raises target price to $27 from $17, citing the company’s higher EBITDA forecast as its forays into renewable diesel to drive growth.
• Deere & Co: Credit Suisse raises target price to $403 from $343, following the company’s better-than-expected first-quarter results and a strong order book.
• Ecolab Inc: Jefferies raises target price to $220 from $200, saying the company higher margin forecast following its ongoing restructuring activities.
ECONOMIC EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0830 (approx.) National Activity Index for Jan: Prior 0.52
1000 (approx.) Leading index change mm for Jan : Expected 0.4%; Prior 0.3%
1030 (approx.) Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index for Feb: Prior 7.00
COMPANIES REPORTING RESULTS
Cadence Design Systems Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 74 cents per share
Diamondback Energy Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 81 cents per share
Extra Space Storage Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 90 cents per share
Ingersoll Rand Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 45 cents per share
Marathon Oil Corp: Expected Q4 loss of 20 cents per share
Occidental Petroleum Corp: Expected Q4 loss of 59 cents per share
ONEOK Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 73 cents per share
Realty Income Corp: Expected Q4 earnings of 34 cents per share
Republic Services Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 82 cents per share
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd: Expected Q4 loss of $5.20 per share
SBA Communications Corp: Expected Q4 earnings of 52 cents per share
Williams Companies Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 31 cents per share
CORPORATE EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0800 Discovery Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
0800 Viatris Inc: Q1 earnings conference call
0830 KBR Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1000 Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd: Q4 earnings conference call
1200 DISH Network Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Air Lease Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Five9 Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Freshpet Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Palo Alto Networks Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 ZoomInfo Technologies Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Bigcommerce Holdings Inc.: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Cadence Design Systems Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Republic Services Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 SBA Communications Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Trex Company Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
2000 Agora Inc: FY earnings conference call
EX-DIVIDENDS
Brunswick Corp: Amount $0.27
Johnson & Johnson: Amount $1.01
Snap-On Inc: Amount $1.23
Liveblog feed
Schrijf je nu in want er komen nieuwe posities volgende week
Beste belegger,
De afgelopen weken hebben onze leden van 'Guy Systeem Trading' weer mooie resultaten geboekt. Ook in deze volatiele maand doen we volop mee, maar wel met beleid.
Wat gaan we de komende dagen doen?
Op dit moment bouwen we bewust een pas op de plaats in. De indices vragen om voorzichtigheid: er komen belangrijke inflatiecijfers aan (PCE) die doorgaans de richting voor de dagen erna bepalen. Daarnaast moeten we rekening houden met de spanningen tussen Amerika en Iran. Een escalatie in het weekend is niet ondenkbaar, en dat kan voor stevige volatiliteit zorgen op de markten maandag.
Wij nemen geen onnodige risico's en wachten rustig af tot het juiste momentum zich aandient. Daarom lijkt het mij verstandiger om tot maandag of dinsdag te wachten voordat we nieuwe posities innemen.
En dat moment komt er zeker. Zodra er meer duidelijkheid komt bij de indices, dan liggen er mooie instappunten klaar. Wij willen er dan klaar voor zijn, en jij natuurlijk ook.
Probeer Guy Systeem Trading nu voor slechts €29 en ontdek hoe systematisch en gedisciplineerd we kunnen handelen in elke marktfase. Rustig als het moet, kordaat zodra zich een kans voordoet.
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Guy Boscart
Voor de Week Contest kunnen we voor de AEX niet hoger inzetten dan 999.99...
Is hier technisch wat aan te doen (?????)
Merci
Afwachtende markt: Technisch bekeken gevoelig en vooral volatiel
Goedemorgen!
Het was donderdag weer een dag met twee gezichten wat betreft de beurzen. Walmart leverde keurige cijfers af, maar de markt wilde er niet van weten door dat de vooruitzichten voor het komende jaar tegen vielen en dat was genoeg om de stemming te doen draaien. Ondertussen tikt de geopolitieke klok verder door: de spanningen rondom Iran jagen de Brent olieprijs ($72) naar het hoogste niveau van 2026 en dat voelt als een sluimerend risico onder de oppervlakte. Europa gaf een deel winst van deze week weer prijs, Wall Street onderbrak een driedaagse winst reeks. In deze update nemen we alles rustig door: de cijfers, de techniek, de psychologie en natuurlijk de kansen die er zich nu kunnen voordoen.
Doe mee met onze service Guy Systeem Trading: Nu tot 1 mei 2026 voor slechts €29. Na 1 mei bepaal je zelf of je doorgaat als volledig lid want we blijven soepel met de inschrijvingen omgaan. Jij bepaalt zelf of je lid blijft, en niet wij. Meld je aan via onze TradersShop! https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop
Marktupdate 20 februari 2026:
Walmart drukt het sentiment, Iran jaagt de olie omhoog
Wall Street sloot donderdag in het rood na een sessie die werd gedomineerd door twee thema's, dat waren de teleurstellende vooruitzichten van Walmart en de oplopende geopolitieke spanningen rondom Iran.
Wall Street:
De drie grote indices leverden hun winst van de drie voorgaande sessies gedeeltelijk weer in. De Dow Jones verloor 267 punten (0,54%) naar 49.395, de S&P 500 daalde 0,28% naar 6.862 en de Nasdaq Composite gleed 0,31% af naar 22.683. De Nasdaq 100 (-0,4%) sloot rond de 24.797, terwijl de SOX (halfgeleiderindex) op circa 8.173 punten (-0,5%) uitkwam.
Europa:
De Europese beurzen gaven donderdag ook terrein prijs na dat enkele indices woensdag records hadden neergezet. De DAX sloot 0,93% lager op 25.044 punten, de AEX verloor 0,28% en sloot rond de 1.008 punten terwijl de CAC 40 met 0,36% daalde tot 8.399 punten. De FTSE 100 gaf 0,55% prijs naar 10.627 punten.

Walmart: de consument kraakt?
Het grote verhaal van de dag was deze keer Walmart. De retailgigant versloeg weliswaar de verwachtingen voor omzet en winst over het vierde kwartaal, maar de vooruitzichten voor het lopende boekjaar vielen tegen. Walmart verwacht nu een winst per aandeel van $2,75 tot $2,85, terwijl analisten op meer rekenden. De e-commerce groeide 27% en de advertentietak Walmart Connect zette 41% meer om, maar de markt luisterde vooral naar de voorzichtige woorden over de laagste inkomensgroep. CFO John David Rainey gaf aan dat er "druk zichtbaar is op het laagste inkomenssegment". Uiteindelijk verloor het aandeel 1,4% om op $124,87 te sluiten. Voor de markt was dit een signaal: als Walmart, de thermometer van de Amerikaanse consument, voorzichtig is, wat zegt dat dan over de bredere economie?
Geopolitiek en olie
Het tweede thema dat het sentiment drukte was de escalerende spanning tussen de VS en Iran. De VS bouwt militaire aanwezigheid op in het Midden-Oosten en waarschuwde schepen met de Amerikaanse vlag om uit Iraanse wateren te blijven. De Brent oil steeg verder naar $72 per vat, het hoogste niveau van 2026. Eenderde van alle zeevervoerde ruwe olie passeert door de Straat van Hormuz, wat de olieprijs extra gevoelig maakt voor escalatie. Trump verklaarde dat er "goede gesprekken gaande zijn", maar de markt nam daar zeker geen genoegen mee.
Opvallende bewegingen
Het was niet allemaal negatief. Enkele individuele aandelen lieten opvallende bewegingen zien. Deere & Company (+11,5%) was de uitblinker van de dag na sterke kwartaalcijfers en een verhoging van de jaarwinstverwachting naar $4,5 tot $5,0 miljard. Etsy sprong 9% omhoog nadat eBay aankondigde het tweedehands kledingplatform Depop over te nemen voor $1,2 miljard. Occidental Petroleum (+9,4%) profiteerde van de hoge olieprijs en sterke kwartaalresultaten.
Booking Holdings daalde 6% ondanks winstcijfers die boven de verwachting lagen, door zorgen over concurrentie van AI-gestuurde reisplatforms. Carvana leverde 8% in na een tegenvallend winstcijfer per auto. Airbus viel in Europa 6,7% terug na lagere leveringsprognoses.
Europa: winstnemingen na recordhoogtes
De druk kwam van meerdere kanten. De Fed-notulen van woensdag maakten duidelijk dat veel beleidsmakers het risico zien dat inflatie langer hoog blijft dan verwacht, wat bankenaandelen onder druk zette. UniCredit, Santander en BBVA verloren meer dan 2%. Airbus zakte fors na het missen van leveringsdoelen, Renault verloor 4% door een enorm nettoverlies door afschrijvingen op Nissan. Positieve uitschieters waren Nestle (+3% na meevallende kwartaalomzet) en Vonovia (+1,5% na een upgrade door Morgan Stanley).
De euro verzwakte naar $1,176, onder meer door geruchten dat ECB-president Christine Lagarde mogelijk vervroegd afscheid neemt. De rente op 10-jaars Treasuries steeg naar 4,08%.
Technische Analyse
**Nasdaq 100**: De Nasdaq 100 bevindt zich in een kwetsbare positie. De index noteert onder de EMA-20 en de SMA-50, met een RSI van 43 die richting oversold neigt. De MACD is negatief en laat geen tekenen van omkeer zien. De steunlijn rond 24.800 is cruciaal. Een doorbraak daaronder opent de weg naar 24.500 en naar 24.035 waar het 200-daags gemiddelde wacht. Opletten geblazen.
Chart Nasdaq 100

**S&P 500**: De S&P 500 consolideert rond 6.862, net onder de EMA-20 (6.895) en SMA-50 (6.895). Opvallend zijn de divergenties bij de RSI: terwijl de koers hogere toppen probeert te vormen, maakt de RSI lagere toppen. Dat is een klassiek waarschuwingssignaal. De steun ligt bij 6.775, gevolgd door de stevige vloer bij 6.535. De rode pijl op de grafiek spreekt boekdelen.
Chart S&P 500

**Dow Jones**: De Dow bereikte recent de top van het stijgende kanaal maar draait nu af. De index noteert rond 49.395, net onder de EMA-20 (49.457). De RSI staat neutraal op 50,75 en de MACD is licht negatief. De weerstandslijn boven de markt en de dalende hoogtepunten suggereren dat we voorzichtig moeten zijn met longposities richting de bovengrens van het kanaal.
Chart Dow Jones

**SOX (halfgeleiders)**: De SOX index noteert rond 8.173, boven de EMA-20 (8.024) maar onder de weerstand van 8.411. De RSI op 57 is neutraal en de MACD is licht negatief. De index beweegt in een stijgend kanaal, maar de bovenkant is voorlopig buiten bereik. De steunlijn van het kanaal loopt rond 8.000. Met de NVIDIA-cijfers volgende week woensdag op het programma wordt dit een belangrijk ijkpunt voor deze sector.
Chart SOX

**AEX**: De AEX noteert rond 1.008, mooi boven de belangrijke steunlijn (oude top) van 986. De index heeft de uitbraak boven dit niveau voorlopig bevestigd, maar de cirkel op de grafiek laat zien dat er hier veel activiteit is geweest. De RSI staat op 58 wat gezond is, maar de dalende trendlijn in de RSI verdient aandacht. De EMA-20 (997) en SMA-50 (980) bieden steun. Steun op 940 is het 200-daags gemiddelde.
Chart AEX

**DAX**: De DAX sloot op 25.044 na een daling van bijna 1% en bevindt zich daarmee nog ruim boven het steun niveau van 24.700. De RSI staat op 55 en de MACD is positief maar afvlakkend. De stijgende trend biedt steun rond 22.980 punten. Op korte termijn is de zone 24.700-25.000 bepalend.
Chart DAX

Goud, zilver en olie
Goud consolideert rondom $5.000 per ounce, vastgeklemd tussen kopers en verkopers in afwachting van duidelijkere signalen. De PCE-inflatie (verwacht: 2,8%) die vandaag uitkomt, wordt cruciaal. Zilver handelt rond de $79 wat op een mogelijke doorbraak kan duiden als de prijst tot boven de $80 uitbreekt. De Brent Olie steeg naar $72, het hoogste punt van 2026, gedreven door de Iran-spanningen.
Chart goud:

Psychologisch blokje: de paradox van goede cijfers
Wij zien het keer op keer: een bedrijf levert cijfers die boven de verwachting liggen, en toch daalt het aandeel. Walmart is daar opnieuw een perfecte voorbeeld van. De markt kijkt altijd vooruit, nooit achteruit. Het kwartaal was prima, maar de toekomst blijft onzeker. En het is precies die onzekerheid waar beleggers moeilijk mee om kunnen gaan. We willen zeker weten dat alles goed komt, maar de markt geeft die zekerheid nooit. Dat maakt het juist zo uitdagend.
Waar beleggers nu op wachten is een combinatie van macro-angst (Fed die de rente niet snel verlaagt, Iran, inflatie die niet snel genoeg daalt) en micro-teleurstelling (Walmart's voorzichtige outlook). Bij dat soort momenten is het belangrijk om je aan je plan te houden. Niet in paniek raken, niet achter de markt aan lopen. Kijk naar de grafiek, respecteer de niveaus en handel met discipline.
De markt heeft altijd hoe dan ook altijd gelijk, maar geeft zelden een rechte lijn. Het zijn vooral de bochten die het verschil kunnen maken voor wie ze kan aanvoelen.
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Vooruitblik
Vandaag (20 februari) staat het PCE-inflatierapport van december op de agenda (consensus: 2,9% jaar-op-jaar), samen met de inkoopmanagersindices voor februari (Manufacturing en Services PMI). Ook de economische groei wordt bekendgemaakt vanmiddag: het gaat om de groei over het vierde kwartaal van 2025. De markt verwacht 2,8%. Volgende week woensdag 25 februari publiceert NVIDIA de kwartaalcijfers, het meest verwachte earnings-event van het seizoen.
Quote van de dag
*"The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." Stock Trader's Almanac / Warren Buffett
Guy Boscart
US Markets
**Disclaimer:**
Beleggen brengt risico's met zich mee. De waarde van uw belegging kan fluctueren en in het verleden behaalde resultaten bieden geen garantie voor de toekomst. De informatie op USMarkets.nl is geen persoonlijk beleggingsadvies. Handel alleen met geld dat u kunt missen en wees u bewust van het risico op verlies van uw volledige inleg, met name bij het gebruik van hefboomproducten zoals turbo's. Deze publicatie is uitsluitend bedoeld ter informatie en educatie.
