Ma 22 feb. 2021, 13:47

Markt snapshot Wall Street 22 februari

TOP NEWS
• Boeing recommends airlines suspend use of some 777s after United incident
Boeing urged airlines to suspend the use of 777 jets with the same type of engine that shed debris over Denver at the weekend after U.S. regulators announced extra inspections and Japan suspended their use while considering further action.

• OPEC, U.S. oil firms expect subdued shale rebound even as crude prices rise
OPEC and U.S. oil companies see a limited rebound in shale oil supply this year as top U.S. producers freeze output despite rising prices, a decision that would help OPEC and its allies.

• Biden to revise small business loans to reach smaller, minority firms, says official
U.S. President Joe Biden will launch changes on Monday to the main U.S. coronavirus aid program for small businesses to try to reach smaller, minority-owned firms and sole proprietors left behind in previous rounds of aid.

• Australia says no further Facebook, Google amendments as final vote nears
Australia will not alter legislation that would make Facebook and Alphabet's Google pay news outlets for content, a senior lawmaker said , as Canberra neared a final vote on whether to pass the bill into law.

• Texas utilities can't stick customers with huge bills after storm -Abbott
Texas utility regulators will temporarily ban power companies from billing customers or disconnecting them for non-payment, after the deadly winter storm that caused widespread blackouts, Governor Greg Abbott said.


BEFORE THE BELL
U.S. stock index futures slipped, mirroring global equities, as investors were cautious over higher treasury yields and prospects of rising inflation due to vaccine-led global economic recovery. Japanese shares jumped, snapping a three-day losing streak, as hopes of recovery lifted cheap cyclical stocks. The dollar inched down, while gold prices gained. Oil prices rose as concerns remained over the return of storm-hit U.S. crude output.


STOCKS TO WATCH
Results
AngloGold Ashanti Ltd: The company joined gold mining peers in boosting payouts to shareholders after reporting a leap in annual earnings thanks to surging gold prices. The Johannesburg-listed miner declared a full-year dividend of 7.05 rand per share, more than five times the 2019 dividend when translated into U.S. cents. AngloGold Ashanti reported headline earnings for the full-year 2020 were 238 U.S. cents per share, more than double the 91 U.S. cents per share reported in 2019. All-in sustaining costs increased 6.1%, from $998 per ounce to $1059 per ounce, AngloGold said, with most of that increase due to the pandemic. AngloGold would be interested in acquiring the remaining 30% of Australia's Tropicana from its joint venture partner IGO "at the right value," Christine Ramon said. "We're keeping a watching brief on that," she said, adding that AngloGold has a pre-emptive right to the stake which IGO has been reviewing since September.

Sasol Ltd: The South African petrochemical firm said it has decided not to pursue a rights issue of up to $2 billion after significant progress in its turnaround strategy. "A decision was made not to pursue a rights issue given the current macro-economic outlook, and the significant progress made on our response plan initiatives," the company said. The company said it was able to repay around 28 billion rand of debt in the six months ended December 2020, despite low crude oil prices, softer chemical prices, plant downtime and the COVID-19 crisis impacting cash flow. Sasol also reported half-year core headline earnings per share (HEPS), which takes into account its black empowerment transaction and losses from the ramp-up phase of its U.S LCCP Base Chemicals business, down 15% at 7.86 rand, compared with 9.25 rand a year earlier. While adjusted EBITDA fell 6% to 18.608 billion rand, weighed down by a 23% decrease in the rand-per-barrel oil price during the period.

In Other News
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp: The company said that some of its wind farms in Texas were hit by the deep freeze that has engulfed parts of the United States, causing power outages in the biggest energy-producing state. Algonquin said it expects the potential hit from the deep freeze on the company's adjusted core earnings for this year to be between $45 million and $55 million, or about 5% to 6% of 2019's earnings. The company said it has declared force majeure on contracts and is assessing other potential mitigating options

Alphabet Inc: The company’s Google fired staff scientist Margaret Mitchell, they both said, a move that fanned company divisions on academic freedom and diversity that were on display since its December dismissal of AI ethics researcher Timnit Gebru. Google said in a statement Mitchell violated the company's code of conduct and security policies by moving electronic files outside the company. Mitchell, who announced her firing on Twitter, did not respond to a request for comment. Gebru said Google fired her after she questioned an order not to publish a study saying AI that mimics language could hurt marginalized populations. Mitchell, a co-author of the paper, publicly criticized the company for firing Gebru and undermining the credibility of her work. The company said Mitchell's firing followed disciplinary recommendations by investigators and a review committee. Separately, Google will evaluate the performance of its vice presidents and above on team diversity and inclusion starting this year, the company said in one of several responses to concerns about its treatment of a Black scientist.

Alphabet Inc & Facebook Inc: Australia will not alter legislation that would make Facebook and Alphabet's Google pay news outlets for content, a senior lawmaker said, as Canberra neared a final vote on whether to pass the bill into law. Australia and the tech giants have been in a stand-off over the legislation widely seen as setting a global precedent. Talks between Australia and Facebook over the weekend yielded no breakthrough. "The bill as it stands ... meets the right balance," Simon Birmingham, Australia's Minister for Finance, told Australian Broadcasting Corp Radio. The bill in its present form ensures "Australian-generated news content by Australian-generated news organisations can and should be paid for and done so in a fair and legitimate way". The laws would give the government the right to appoint an arbitrator to set content licencing fees if private negotiations fail. A Facebook representative declined to comment on the legislation, which passed the lower house last week and has majority support in the Senate.

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd: China's bank regulator on Saturday tightened requirements on the internet loan business of commercial banks, amid heightened scrutiny of online lending by internet giants such as Ant Group Co, the finance arm of Alibaba Group. Commercial banks must jointly contribute funds to issue internet loans with a partner, and the proportion of capital from the partner in a loan should not be less than 30%, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission said in a notice. The balance of internet loans issued by a bank with one partner, including its related parties, must not exceed 25% of the bank's net tier-one capital, it said. In addition, the balance of internet loans issued jointly by commercial banks and cooperative institutions may not exceed 50% of the bank's total balance, the guidelines state.

Amazon.com Inc: India's Supreme Court barred a final ruling by a tribunal reviewing Future Group's $3.4 billion sale of retail assets until the top court hears objections from aggrieved partner Amazon.com, three sources said. Amazon appealed to the Supreme Court this month against Future Group's sale to market leader Reliance Industries, accusing its partner of violating contracts by agreeing to the sale. Three people familiar with the proceedings said the Supreme Court ordered that while the tribunal can continue to review the deal and oversee the approval process, it could not pass a final order while the court hears Amazon's concerns. Amazon declined to comment, while Future Group and Reliance did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

AT&T Inc, Comcast Corp, Microsoft Corp & Walmart Inc: Ten U.S. corporations slashed donations to candidates seeking federal office by more than 90% in January, after pledging to cut off giving to the Republicans who supported former President Donald Trump's attempt to overturn his election defeat. None of the political action committees of 10 major companies reviewed by Reuters, including Microsoft, Walmart, AT&T and Comcast, donated to any of the 147 congressional Republicans who voted to support Trump's claims just hours after his supporters launched a deadly assault on the U.S. Capitol. Disclosures to the Federal Election Commission ahead of a Saturday filing deadline showed the group of corporate PACs affiliated with those 10 companies made $13,000 in new donations to candidates in January. The reports were the first by the PACs to detail contributions made since the Jan. 6 Capitol attack.

Baidu Inc: The Chinese search engine giant and automaker Geely hired Mobike co-founder and former chief technology officer Xia Yiping as chief executive of their new electric vehicle venture, Baidu said. "Xia has extensive management experience in the field of smart cars and mobility services," Baidu said. "We welcome Xia Yiping to join Baidu's auto company and look forward to his contribution to Baidu and the automobile industry." Xia served as Mobike's chief technology officer until the company was acquired by food delivery giant Meituan in 2018. Prior to Mobike, he worked at Ford Motor and Fiat Chrysler.

BlackRock Inc: The company will beef up its process to investigate workers' concerns and expand training after former employees shared accounts on social media of racial and sexual harassment. Manish Mehta, BlackRock's global head of human resources, outlined the changes in a note sent firmwide on Thursday and shared by a company spokesman on Friday. Mehta wrote that "While we strive for a culture of respect and belonging, some of our people have experienced the firm in a way that is not inclusive. Whether the behaviors that cause this are intended or not, they are not acceptable and impact our colleagues and culture." In a statement sent by a spokesman BlackRock said it reviewed the claims byformer BlackRock analyst Essma Bengabsia "but did not find she had been the subject of discrimination or harassment."

Boeing Co, Raytheon Technologies Corp & Unites Airlines Holdings Inc: Boeing urged airlines to suspend the use of 777 jets with the same type of engine that shed debris over Denver at the weekend after U.S. regulators announced extra inspections and Japan suspended their use while considering further action. The moves involving Pratt & Whitney PW4000 engines came after a United Airlines 777's right engine failed on Saturday, scattering its protective outer casing over a residential area. United said the next day it would voluntarily and temporarily remove its 24 active planes, hours before Boeing's announcement. Boeing said 69 of the 777 planes with PW4000 engines were in service and 59 were stored, at a time when airlines have grounded planes due to a plunge in demand associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. The manufacturer recommended airlines suspend operating them until U.S. regulators identified the appropriate inspection protocol. Pratt & Whitney, owned by Raytheon, said it was coordinating with operators and regulators to support a revised inspection interval for the engines. Separately, an incident involving a Boeing 747-400 cargo plane that dropped engine parts after a mid-air explosion and fire over the southern Netherlands on Saturday is under investigation, the Dutch Safety Board said.

Citigroup Inc: The bank is considering divesting some international consumer units, Bloomberg Law reported, citing people familiar with the matter. "As our incoming CEO Jane Fraser said in January, we are undertaking a dispassionate and thorough review of our strategy," a Citigroup spokesperson told Reuters. "Many different options are being considered and we will take the right amount of time before making any decisions." The move, part of Fraser's attempt to simplify the bank, can see units in South Korea, Thailand, the Philippines and Australia being divested, the Bloomberg report said. However, no decision has been made, according to the report.

Chesapeake Energy Corp & Pioneer Natural Resources Co: OPEC and U.S. oil companies see a limited rebound in shale oil supply this year as top U.S. producers freeze output despite rising prices, a decision that would help OPEC and its allies. OPEC this month cut its 2021 forecast for U.S. tight crude, another term for shale, and expects production to decline by 140,000 barrels per day to 7.16 million bpd. The U.S. government expects shale output in March to fall about 78,000 bpd to 7.5 million bpd. "In this new era, (shale) requires a different mindset," Doug Lawler, chief executive of shale pioneer Chesapeake Energy, said in an interview. "It requires more discipline and responsibility with respect to generating cash for our stakeholders and shareholders." The chief executive of shale producer Pioneer Natural Resources, Scott Sheffield, said he expects small companies to increase output but in the aggregate U.S. output will remain flat to 1% higher even at $60 per barrel.

Chevron Corp: Singapore's Pavilion Energy Trading & Supply said it signed a six-year sale and purchase agreement with company for about 0.5 million tonnes per year of LNG supplies from 2023. Pavilion Energy, owned by Singapore state-owned investment company Temasek Holdings, struck the deal with Chevron's Singapore branch. Each cargo supplied to Singapore under the agreement will be accompanied by a statement of its greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) measured from wellhead to discharge port, Pavilion Energy said in a statement.

Ebix Inc: The software supplier said RSM US had resigned as the company's registered public accounting firm, sending shares down in extended trade. RSM told Ebix's audit committee chairman it was resigning as a result of being unable to obtain sufficient evidence to evaluate the business purpose of "significant unusual transactions" in the fourth quarter of 2020, according to a regulatory filing. The auditor informed Ebix that there was a disagreement with respect to the classification of $30 million and flagged unusual transactions concerning Ebix's gift card business in India. Internal control over financial reporting was not effective as of Dec. 31, 2020 due to the identification of a material weakness, RSM said in its resignation letter on Feb. 15. "The Company intends to move as quickly as possible to replace RSM and to complete its 2020 financial audit," Ebix added.

Exxon Mobil Corp & Valero Energy Corp: The largest U.S. oil refiners released tons of air pollutants into the skies over Texas this past week, according to figures provided to the state, as refineries and petrochemical plants in the region scrambled to shut production during frigid weather. An arctic air mass that spread into an area unused to such low temperatures killed at least two dozen people in Texas and knocked out power to more than 4 million at its peak. It also hit natural gas and electric generation, cutting supplies needed to run the plants along the U.S. Gulf Coast. Valero Energy said in a filing with the TCEQ that it released 78,000 pounds over 24 hours beginning last Monday from its Port Arthur, Texas, refinery, citing the frigid cold and interruptions in utility services. Exxon Mobil said its Baytown Olefins Plant emitted nearly a ton of benzene and 68,000 tons of carbon monoxide, citing in its disclosure the halting of "multiple process units and safe utilization of the flare system." Meanwhile, Valero Energy began restarting the East Plant of its 290,000 barrel-per-day (bpd) Corpus Christi, Texas, oil refinery on Sunday, according to a notice filed with the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ).

HSBC Holdings PLC: The bank is set to withdraw from U.S. retail banking, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters, as Europe's biggest bank seeks to dispose of a business that has long underperformed. The exit from the U.S. consumer business will form part of the lender's strategy update due on Tuesday, as Chief Executive Noel Quinn seeks to cut costs, boost fee income and continue the lender's shift towards Asia. The sale or closure of its around 150 remaining branches in the United States would mark the end of HSBC's struggle to turn around a business which has struggled to make inroads against incumbent domestic rivals. Ahead of the strategy update Quinn reshuffled several of his senior lieutenants. HSBC appointed Nuno Matos as chief executive of its wealth and personal banking business, while chief compliance officer Colin Bell became head of HSBC's European business. Michael Roberts was appointed CEO for the United States and Americas, while Stephen Moss will move to Dubai as head of the Middle East, North Africa and Turkey business, the bank said.

Kohl's Corp: A group of activist investors with about 9.5% stake in the company is attempting to take control of the department store chain's board, The Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday. Investors including Macellum Advisors, Ancora Holdings, Legion Partners Asset Management, and 4010 Capital had earlier this year nominated nine people to its now-12-person board, the newspaper said, citing people familiar with the matter. These activist investors are calling on Kohl's to take a range of actions, including adding directors with retail experience who can work with Michelle Gass, the company's CEO. They are also asking Kohl's to consider a sale-leaseback of some of its more than $7 billion in noncore real estate, the Journal said, citing people familiar with the matter and a letter viewed by the outlet, which the group plans to send to shareholders. A Kohl's representative told Reuters that the company's board and management team have been engaged in discussions with the investor group since early December and "remain open to hearing new ideas."

Lockheed Martin Corp: Saudi Arabian Military Industries (SAMI) has signed an agreement to set up a joint venture with U.S. firm Lockheed Martin to enhance the kingdom's defence and manufacturing capabilities, the state-owned Saudi company said on Sunday. SAMI, which is owned by the Saudi state's Public Investment Fund (PIF), will own 51% of the venture. "The new agreement will develop localised capabilities by transferring technology and knowledge, and by training a Saudi workforce in manufacturing products for, and providing services to, the Saudi armed forces," the statement said. Saudi is one of the world's largest buyers of foreign arms.

M&T Bank Corp & People's United Financial Inc: M&T Bank is nearing an agreement to merge with People's United Financial, with the two companies discussing an all-stock deal that could be finalized as soon as this week, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter. The banks will have more than $200 billion in assets combined, according to the report. People's United has a market value of about $6.6 billion, while M&T's is over $19 billion. The combined company is likely to be led by M&T Chief Executive René Jones and maintain a significant corporate presence in Bridgeport, the newspaper said.

Orange SA: The chief executive of the company’ Spain division has called on the Spanish government to cut the price of 5G frequencies that are to be auctioned in March, El Pais newspaper reported on Sunday. Jean-François Fallacher, head of the French telecoms firm in Spain, said if the government reduced the current asking price of $1.42 billion for 5G frequencies it could encourage investment in the sector. "Recently, the Secretary of State for Telecommunications, Roberto Sánchez, suggested (the government) may review that price," he told El Pais newspaper. He added: "We have always said that this auction should not have an objective that could compromise the investments necessary for the 5G deployment." Fallacher said the telecoms sector was "excessively taxed" in Spain, citing a report by Ernst & Young which said the country levied one of highest number of taxes on operators in Europe.

Petroleo Brasileiro SA: Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro moved to replace the head of state-run oil company Petrobras, naming a retired army general with no oil and gas experience as CEO after weeks of clashes with the current chief executive over fuel price hikes. In a late Friday statement from the Mines and Energy Ministry, first shared on Bolsonaro's Facebook page, the government said it had decided to appoint former Defense Minister Joaquim Silva e Luna to run Petroleo Brasileiro SA, as the firm is known formally. The company's senior management is considering resigning en masse to protest the CEO's replacement, three people close to the executives told Reuters on Friday evening. Petrobras said in a statement that it had received notice from the Mines and Energy Ministry about the proposed CEO change, adding that the ministry had requested an extraordinary shareholders' meeting.

Principal Financial Group Inc: Activist investor Elliott Management has taken a stake in the company and plans to push for changes at the life Insurance company, Bloomberg reported late on Sunday, citing sources. The New York-based hedge fund is nearing a deal that will grant it seats on Principal Financial's board and plans to launch a strategic review of the insurer's portfolio that could include a sale of part of the business, the report said. The companies did not immediately respond to requests for comment on the news.

Starboard Value Acquisition Corp: Private equity-backed data center provider Cyxtera Technologies said it has agreed to go public through a merger with a blank-check firm backed by shareholder activist Starboard Value, in a deal valuing the combined entity at $3.4 billion. As part of the deal with Starboard Value Acquisition, Cyxtera will receive $654 million, including $250 million from private investors such as Fidelity Management & Research Company and clients of Starboard. Cyxtera will be listed on the Nasdaq under the new ticker symbol "CYXT" after the merger.

TC PipeLines LP: The company’s largest independent unitholder, Energy Income Partners, said it plans to vote against the $1.68 billion merger with Keystone pipeline owner TC Energy, saying the deal undervalues the company's assets. Energy Income Partners has more than 10% stake, which makes it the largest 'non-affiliated' unitholder. It said the deal is "inadequate" and "significantly undervalues" TCP's organic growth opportunities. Calgary-based TC Energy owns about 24% stake in TC PipeLines through the Master Limited Partnership's (MLP) general partner. The deal, which is expected to close late in the current quarter, will require approval by unitholders at a special meeting set by TC PipeLines for Feb. 26.


ANALYSIS
Fed's Powell set table for Biden economy, but will he stay for dessert?
Over the past year Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has engineered the largest economic rescue in U.S. history, thrown a controversial lifeline to companies hard hit by the coronavirus pandemic and steered a sweeping labor-friendly revamp of monetary policy that any presidential administration would welcome.


ANALYSTS' RECOMMENDATION
Aptargroup Inc: Jefferies raises target price to $135 from $128, stating that the company’s productivity initiatives and new product launches will trigger a rebound in growth.

CVR Energy Inc: JPMorgan raises target price to $27 from $17, citing the company’s higher EBITDA forecast as its forays into renewable diesel to drive growth.

Deere & Co: Credit Suisse raises target price to $403 from $343, following the company’s better-than-expected first-quarter results and a strong order book.

Ecolab Inc: Jefferies raises target price to $220 from $200, saying the company higher margin forecast following its ongoing restructuring activities.


ECONOMIC EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0830 (approx.) National Activity Index for Jan: Prior 0.52
1000 (approx.) Leading index change mm for Jan : Expected 0.4%; Prior 0.3%
1030 (approx.) Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index for Feb: Prior 7.00


COMPANIES REPORTING RESULTS
Cadence Design Systems Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 74 cents per share
Diamondback Energy Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 81 cents per share
Extra Space Storage Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 90 cents per share
Ingersoll Rand Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 45 cents per share
Marathon Oil Corp: Expected Q4 loss of 20 cents per share
Occidental Petroleum Corp: Expected Q4 loss of 59 cents per share
ONEOK Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 73 cents per share
Realty Income Corp: Expected Q4 earnings of 34 cents per share
Republic Services Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 82 cents per share
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd: Expected Q4 loss of $5.20 per share
SBA Communications Corp: Expected Q4 earnings of 52 cents per share
Williams Companies Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 31 cents per share


CORPORATE EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0800 Discovery Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
0800 Viatris Inc: Q1 earnings conference call
0830 KBR Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1000 Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd: Q4 earnings conference call
1200 DISH Network Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Air Lease Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Five9 Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Freshpet Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Palo Alto Networks Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 ZoomInfo Technologies Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Bigcommerce Holdings Inc.: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Cadence Design Systems Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Republic Services Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 SBA Communications Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Trex Company Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
2000 Agora Inc: FY earnings conference call


EX-DIVIDENDS
Brunswick Corp: Amount $0.27
Johnson & Johnson: Amount $1.01
Snap-On Inc: Amount $1.23

Vandaag, 08:39

Wall Street: AI-sector stuurt indices hoger, Dow blijft boven 50K

De aandelen op Wall Street sloten maandag overwegend in het groen, aangedreven door sterke plussen bij de AI- en halfgeleidersector. Na een turbulente vorige week waar op het einde de historische doorbraak van de Dow Jones boven de 50.000 punten kwam wisten beleggers na een matige start het optimisme vast te houden. Verder blijft de aanhoudende onzekerheid rondom de grote software bedrijven nog wel een pijnpuntje voor de markt.

Signalen en kansen via Guy Systeem Trading:

We hebben al 3 posities op limiet kunnen opnemen deze week via de tradersplannen, die we begin deze week hebben doorgegeven. Er liggen kansen op de indices na deze rebound, maar de topzone vraagt om discipline. Niet alles kopen wat beweegt, maar selectief zijn en werken met duidelijke niveaus.

Wil je meedenken en meekijken?
Schrijf je dan in bij Guy Systeem Trading want tot 1 april loopt er nu een aanbieding voor €29.

Ga naar https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop

Marktverslag dinsdag 10 februari 2026

Wall Street: AI-sector stuurt indices hoger, Dow houdt record boven 50.000

De sessie werd vooral gekenmerkt door een duidelijke tweedeling binnen de technologiesector. Aan de ene kant stuwden AI-gerelateerde bedrijven de markt omhoog. Nvidia, Broadcom en AMD stegen elk circa 3%, terwijl aandelen zoals Palantir en Oracle de uitschieters waren met respectievelijk 4,5% en 8% winst. De enorme investeringen in AI-infrastructuur door Big Tech-bedrijven blijven vooral het vertrouwen in de halfgeleidersector voeden.

Aan de andere kant bleven softwareaandelen stevig onder druk staan. De sell-off die vorige week begon, ingegeven door de zorgen dat verbeterde AI-tools de traditionele software kunnen vervangen, zette zich voort. Intuit verloor opnieuw 1,4%. Amazon daalde 0,8%, mede door de nasleep van tegenvallende kwartaalcijfers. Deze rotatie van software naar AI-hardware en -services is een thema dat de markt de komende weken waarschijnlijk zal blijven domineren.

Slotkoersen Wall Street – 9 februari 2026:

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: 50.136 (0,04%), de index blijft zo boven de psychologische grens van 50.000 en op recordniveau.
  • S&P 500: 6.965 (+32,5 punten / +0,47%)
  • Nasdaq Composite: 23.238,67 (+207,46 punten / +0,90%)
  • Russell 2000: 2.688,5 (+18,71 punten / +0,70%)
  • VIX (volatiliteitsindex): 17,36 (-2,25%)

Verder was er ook positief nieuws op het macro-economische front want de inflatieverwachtingen gemeten door de New York Fed daalden naar een zesmaands dieptepunt, wat de hoop voedt dat de Fed later dit jaar opnieuw ruimte krijgt om de rente te verlagen. Beleggers kijken deze week met de nodige belangstelling uit naar het vertraagde banenrapport over de maand januari (woensdag) en de consumentenprijsindex (CPI), die allebei bepalend kunnen zijn voor de volgende stap van de Fed.

Russel 2000:

Goud, Zilver en Bitcoin:

Op de grondstoffenmarkten vond goud de weg terug tot boven de $5.000 per troy ounce, terwijl zilver de $80 weer doorbrak en vanmorgen rond de $81,5 uitkomt. Beide edelmetalen herstellen van de heftige uitverkoop van eind januari, toen zilver de grootste eendagsval sinds 1980 noteerde (-31%).

De Bitcoin bleef volatiel en zakte weer terug tot onder de $70.000.

Grafiek Goud:


Europa: STOXX 50 en STOXX 600 op recordhoogtes, DAX terug boven 25.000

De Europese beurzen openden de week sterk, met brede koerswinsten over vrijwel alle sectoren en regio's. De rally werd gevoed door een combinatie van sterke bedrijfsresultaten, een positief momentum uit Japan na de verkiezingsoverwinning van premier Sanae Takaichi, en de aanhoudende verwachting van een gunstig macro-economisch klimaat voor aandelen in 2026.

Slotkoersen Europa: 9 februari 2026:

  • Euro STOXX 50: 6.058 (+1,0%) nieuw recordniveau
  • STOXX 600: 621 (+0,6%) nieuw recordniveau
  • DAX (Frankfurt): 25.015 (+293 punten / +1,2%) hoogste stand sinds midden januari en terug boven de 25.000
  • CAC 40 (Parijs): 8.323 (+0,6%) positief, en mee in de brede Europese rally
  • AEX: 999 (+0,37%) gestaag hoger, geleid door banken en tech

De Europese bankensector was opnieuw de grote winnaar van de dag. In de gezondheidszorg won Novo Nordisk nadat het Amerikaanse bedrijf Hims & Hers aankondigde zijn kopie van het populaire afslankgeneesmiddel van de markt te halen, dat is een grote meevaller voor de Deense farmaceut.

De defensiesector bleef een sterk thema met Rheinmetall als opvallende stijger, voortgedreven door de aanhoudende geopolitieke spanningen en verwachtingen van hogere Europese defensie-uitgaven. Verder herstelden technologie-aandelen gedeeltelijk van de sell-off van vorige week.

Beleggers in Europa richten hun blik deze week op een drukke agenda met macro-economische data, ook op het bedrijvenfront worden resultaten verwacht van onder meer AstraZeneca, BP, Ferrari en L'Oréal.

Grafiek DAX:



Intermarket-analyse: de grote lijnen

De sessie bevestigde een aantal intermarket-trends die het beeld bepalen:

De rotatie van software naar AI-hardware is nu het dominante thema op Wall Street. De angst dat AI-automatisering traditionele softwarebedrijven overbodig maakt, drijft kapitaal richting chipmakers en AI-infrastructuur. Dit creëert een interessante tweedeling: de brede indices stijgen, maar onder de oppervlakte is er sprake van aanzienlijke sectorrotatie.

Edelmetalen herstellen van de schok van eind januari, maar het pad omhoog is hobbelig. De verhoging van marginvereisten door de CME voor goud- en zilverfutures heeft veel speculatief geld verdreven. Desondanks blijft de langetermijntrend opwaarts, met goud weer boven de $5.000.

De Europese beurzen blijven relatief sterk presteren ten opzichte van Wall Street, gedragen door een gunstige sectorsamenstelling (banken, tech, defensie en industrials) en de doorlopende effecten van ECB-renteverlagingen en het Duitse begrotingsbeleid. De STOXX 50 noteert op recordniveau, een teken dat Europese aandelen dit jaar opnieuw serieuze concurrenten zijn voor hun Amerikaanse tegenhangers.

De dollar blijft relatief zwak, terwijl de 10-jaars Treasury-rente licht daalde naar 4,19%. Chinese regelgevers die financiële instellingen waarschuwden om hun bezit van Amerikaans staatspapier te beperken, zorgen voor enige nervositeit bij de obligatiemarkt.

De komende dagen staan in het teken van het Amerikaanse banenrapport (woensdag), de CPI-cijfers later deze week en enkele bedrijfsresultaten aan beide zijden van de Atlantische Oceaan. Volatiliteit blijft dan ook het sleutelwoord.

Marktpsychologie: FOMO regeert, maar pas op bij deze niveaus

Er hangt een gevaarlijke sfeer boven de markten en het is belangrijk om daar even bij stil te staan. De Dow boven 50.000, de STOXX 50 en STOXX 600 op recordhoogtes, de DAX terug boven 25.000, het zijn allemaal prachtige koppen die precies het effect hebben waar je als belegger alert op moet zijn: ze zuigen je erin.

Wat we op dit moment zien kan een klassiek soort FOMO-gedrag zijn (Fear Of Missing Out). Beleggers die aan de zijlijn stonden en de rally van de afgelopen dagen duidelijk hebben gemist, voelen nu de druk om alsnog in te stappen. Iets in de trend van "De buurman verdient geld, waarom ik niet?", en dan moet je opletten. Het is altijd al één van de krachtigste emoties op de beurs geweest en tegelijkertijd ook één van de gevaarlijkste. FOMO leidt tot impulsieve beslissingen: te laat kopen, te hoog instappen, en posities nemen zonder een duidelijk plan.

Laten we eerlijk zijn: de markten gaan niet vanzelf verder omhoog. Dat klinkt te gemakkelijk, we zitten in een fase waarin records sneuvelen en de koersgrafieken er spectaculair uitzien, en dan vergeten beleggers makkelijk de problemen die er pakweg een week geleden nog wel waren.

De recente volatiliteit, denk meteen aan de heftige uitverkoop in zilver, de halvering van de Bitcoin, de sectorrotatie van software naar AI, laat duidelijk zien dat de ondergrond wankel blijft. Het voelt als lopen op los zand, drijfzand zelfs. De brede indices maskeren wat er onder de motorkap gebeurt: er wordt volop geschoven tussen sectoren en de nervositeit zit dicht onder de oppervlakte. Vorige week nog las ik dat er enkele analisten aangaven dat het wel eens 1.000 dagen zou kunnen duren voor dat er weer nieuwe records worden neergezet. De realiteit is dat het 1 tot 2 dagen duurde en dat terwijl er al enkele indices meer dan 5% onder de top stonden op dat moment.

Wat dit extra verraderlijk maakt, is de tweespalt in het sentiment. Aan de ene kant is er euforie over AI en recordstanden. Aan de andere kant zijn er serieuze zorgen: een zwakke arbeidsmarkt, onvoorspelbaar handelsbeleid, marginverhogingen bij edelmetalen en een cryptomarkt die op zijn grondvesten schudt. Die combinatie van euforie en angst is een cocktail die voor scherpe, onverwachte bewegingen kan zorgen.

Mijn advies blijft: laat je niet meeslepen door de koersenborden. Dit zijn niveaus waarop je extra scherp moet zijn op je risicomanagement. Werk met stops, bepaal vooraf wat je maximaal wilt verliezen op een positie, en weersta de verleiding om "nog even snel" mee te liften op een rally die er op papier fantastisch uitziet. De beste trades worden niet gemaakt vanuit FOMO, maar vanuit discipline en een helder plan.

De markt beloont geduld, niet gretigheid.


Guy Systeem Trading: Kansen bij deze Volatiele Tijden

In deze turbulente markt liggen er altijd interessante mogelijkheden voor wie geduldig blijft en op het juiste moment weet toe te slaan. Voor Guy Systeem Trading houd ik een aantal concrete strategieën in de gaten.

Vorige week hebben we bewust nog aan de zijlijn gestaan. Geen onnodige risico's genomen, geen posities geforceerd. Maar nu de markt opnieuw aan het overdrijven is en duidelijkere technische zones bereikt, komen er weer mogelijkheden in beeld.

Voor leden van Guy Systeem Trading deel ik:

  • Concrete entry- en exit-niveaus voor index-strategieën
  • Real-time updates wanneer er zich kansen voordoen
  • Risicomanagement per positie

We hebben al 3 posities op limiet kunnen opnemen deze week via de tradersplannen, die we begin deze week hebben doorgegeven. Er liggen kansen op de indices na deze rebound, maar de topzone vraagt om discipline. Niet alles kopen wat beweegt, maar selectief zijn en werken met duidelijke niveaus.

Wil je meedenken en meekijken?
Schrijf je dan in bij Guy Systeem Trading want tot 1 april loopt er nu een aanbieding voor €29.

Ga naar https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop

Guy Boscart
US Markets

Disclaimer: Beleggen brengt risico’s met zich mee. Koersen kunnen stijgen en dalen, resultaten uit het verleden bieden geen garantie voor de toekomst. Deze informatie is algemeen en geen persoonlijk beleggingsadvies. Handel alleen met geld dat u kunt missen.

Gisteren, 22:55

TA Microsoft, S&P 500, Bel 20, Alphabet en Solvay

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Gisteren, 15:31

AI voor Beleggers: Van Beginner tot een Zelfstandige Analist

De Basis: Hoe AI je Marktanalyse Revolutioneert De financiële wereld verandert razendsnel. Waar je vroeger uren moest spenderen aan het...

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Gisteren, 15:30

Europa kleurt groen, Wall Street twijfelt na vrijdagrally

Middag update maandag 9 februari: Net voor de opening van Wall Street

De Europese beurzen zijn deze maandagochtend overwegend positief van start gegaan. De AEX noteert rond de 993 punten, een fractie lager dan de slotstand van vrijdag. De DAX zet het herstel van vrijdag voort, mede gedragen door positieve impulsen vanuit de techsector waar STMicroelectronics en UniCredit tot de koplopers behoren. Ook in Milaan opent de beurs redelijk sterk, terwijl in Amsterdam InPost opvalt als stijger op een verder rustig Damrak.

Het sentiment in Europa wordt vooral gesteund door het krachtige herstel op Wall Street van afgelopen vrijdag. Na een week vol AI-gerelateerde zorgen en forse uitslagen in de techsector, wisten de indices op de slotdag stevig te herstellen. De STOXX 600 sloot vrijdag circa 0,9% hoger, terwijl ASML bijna 4% herstelde en Novo Nordisk meer dan 5% steeg na nieuws over FDA-acties tegen illegale kopieën van gewichtsverlies-medicijnen. Het grote negatieve verhaal van de week was Stellantis, dat bijna 20% verloor na de aankondiging van een herstructureringsafschrijving van €22 miljard.

Grafiek ASML:


Futures Wall Street: licht rood na stevige rally

De futures op Wall Street staan wat lager rondom de opening, de S&P 500-futures dalen circa 0,3%, Nasdaq 100-futures zakken zo'n 0,5% en Dow Jones-futures staan ongeveer 100 punten lager. Dit na een indrukwekkende vrijdagrally waarin de Dow voor het eerst boven de 50.000 punten sloot met een dagwinst van ruim 1.200 punten (+2,5%). De S&P 500 en Nasdaq stegen beide circa 2% op vrijdag.

Ondanks die rally blijft het weekresultaat gemengd: de Dow boekte een weekwinst van 2,5%, maar de Nasdaq leed zijn vierde weekverlies op rij en de S&P 500 staat inmiddels in het rood voor 2026.

Kan de markt doortrekken?

De vraag is of de rally van vrijdag het begin is van een duurzaam herstel of slechts een technische oprisping na de stevige verkoopgolf. Er zijn argumenten voor beide scenario's.

Positieve factoren: De chipexports uit Taiwan stegen in januari met bijna 70%, wat wijst op aanhoudend sterke AI-chipvraag. Dat is positief voor namen als Nvidia en ASML. Daarnaast keren koopjesjagers terug naar de edelmetalen, met goud dat weer boven de $5.000 per ounce kruipt na de turbulente week.

Risicofactoren: De week staat bol van de macro-data. Het uitgestelde Amerikaanse banenrapport over januari verschijnt woensdag, gevolgd door de eveneens vertraagde CPI-inflatie op vrijdag. Deze cijfers zijn cruciaal voor het Fed-beleid. Verder weegt het bericht dat China zijn banken zou hebben opgedragen om hun posities in Amerikaanse staatsobligaties af te bouwen. De tienjaarsrente in de VS is opgelopen naar circa 4,23%, wat druk zet op groei- en techaandelen. De dollar wordt vandaag ook meteen zwakker.

Op het earnings-front rapporteren deze week onder meer Coca-Cola, McDonald's, Robinhood, Applied Materials, Airbnb en Coinbase. De reacties op de AI-uitgaven van de grote techbedrijven blijven boven de markt hangen, Google kondigde $185 miljard aan capex aan, Amazon schrok beleggers op met nog zwaardere investeringsplannen van $200 miljard, en dat bepaald de toon bij deze sector.

De softwaresector blijft het zorgenkindje. Beleggers vrezen dat AI-disruptie een grotere hap uit de omzet zal menen dan eerder gedacht, wat de vierde weekverlies van de Nasdaq verklaart. De sleutel deze week: leveren de macrocijfers bewijs van een veerkrachtige economie, of bevestigen ze de afkoelende trend die we al zagen via de dalende vacaturecijfers?

Ons oordeel: de markt staat op een kantelpunt. De breedte van het herstel vrijdag was bemoedigend, maar de tech-rotatie is nog niet voorbij. Selectiviteit blijft het sleutelwoord.

Wil je dagelijks dit soort analyses ontvangen, inclusief concrete handelssignalen met instap- en uitstappunten? Bij Guy Systeem Trading volg je onze intermarket-analyse op de voet en ontvang je direct toepasbare tradingplannen voor indices, valuta en grondstoffen. Sluit je aan bij onze community van actieve traders en maak gebruik van jarenlange ervaring in het lezen van de markten.

Ik verwacht om maximaal vier posities op te nemen deze week via de tradersplannen, die begin van de week verschijnen. De markten bieden kansen op de indices na deze rebound, maar de topzone vraagt om discipline. Niet alles kopen wat beweegt, maar selectief zijn en werken met duidelijke niveaus.

Wil je meedenken en meekijken?
Schrijf je dan in bij Guy Systeem Trading want tot 1 april geldt een introductieaanbieding van €29. Meer informatie en aanmelden via USMarkets.nl. Ga naar onze Tradershop https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop

Zoals de Traders Almanac het treffend verwoordt:
"The market does not reward the impulsive, it rewards the prepared."

Guy Boscart
US Markets

Disclaimer: Beleggen brengt risico’s met zich mee. Koersen kunnen stijgen en dalen, resultaten uit het verleden bieden geen garantie voor de toekomst. Deze informatie is algemeen en geen persoonlijk beleggingsadvies. Handel alleen met geld dat u kunt missen.

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