Ma 22 feb. 2021, 13:47

Markt snapshot Wall Street 22 februari

TOP NEWS
• Boeing recommends airlines suspend use of some 777s after United incident
Boeing urged airlines to suspend the use of 777 jets with the same type of engine that shed debris over Denver at the weekend after U.S. regulators announced extra inspections and Japan suspended their use while considering further action.

• OPEC, U.S. oil firms expect subdued shale rebound even as crude prices rise
OPEC and U.S. oil companies see a limited rebound in shale oil supply this year as top U.S. producers freeze output despite rising prices, a decision that would help OPEC and its allies.

• Biden to revise small business loans to reach smaller, minority firms, says official
U.S. President Joe Biden will launch changes on Monday to the main U.S. coronavirus aid program for small businesses to try to reach smaller, minority-owned firms and sole proprietors left behind in previous rounds of aid.

• Australia says no further Facebook, Google amendments as final vote nears
Australia will not alter legislation that would make Facebook and Alphabet's Google pay news outlets for content, a senior lawmaker said , as Canberra neared a final vote on whether to pass the bill into law.

• Texas utilities can't stick customers with huge bills after storm -Abbott
Texas utility regulators will temporarily ban power companies from billing customers or disconnecting them for non-payment, after the deadly winter storm that caused widespread blackouts, Governor Greg Abbott said.


BEFORE THE BELL
U.S. stock index futures slipped, mirroring global equities, as investors were cautious over higher treasury yields and prospects of rising inflation due to vaccine-led global economic recovery. Japanese shares jumped, snapping a three-day losing streak, as hopes of recovery lifted cheap cyclical stocks. The dollar inched down, while gold prices gained. Oil prices rose as concerns remained over the return of storm-hit U.S. crude output.


STOCKS TO WATCH
Results
AngloGold Ashanti Ltd: The company joined gold mining peers in boosting payouts to shareholders after reporting a leap in annual earnings thanks to surging gold prices. The Johannesburg-listed miner declared a full-year dividend of 7.05 rand per share, more than five times the 2019 dividend when translated into U.S. cents. AngloGold Ashanti reported headline earnings for the full-year 2020 were 238 U.S. cents per share, more than double the 91 U.S. cents per share reported in 2019. All-in sustaining costs increased 6.1%, from $998 per ounce to $1059 per ounce, AngloGold said, with most of that increase due to the pandemic. AngloGold would be interested in acquiring the remaining 30% of Australia's Tropicana from its joint venture partner IGO "at the right value," Christine Ramon said. "We're keeping a watching brief on that," she said, adding that AngloGold has a pre-emptive right to the stake which IGO has been reviewing since September.

Sasol Ltd: The South African petrochemical firm said it has decided not to pursue a rights issue of up to $2 billion after significant progress in its turnaround strategy. "A decision was made not to pursue a rights issue given the current macro-economic outlook, and the significant progress made on our response plan initiatives," the company said. The company said it was able to repay around 28 billion rand of debt in the six months ended December 2020, despite low crude oil prices, softer chemical prices, plant downtime and the COVID-19 crisis impacting cash flow. Sasol also reported half-year core headline earnings per share (HEPS), which takes into account its black empowerment transaction and losses from the ramp-up phase of its U.S LCCP Base Chemicals business, down 15% at 7.86 rand, compared with 9.25 rand a year earlier. While adjusted EBITDA fell 6% to 18.608 billion rand, weighed down by a 23% decrease in the rand-per-barrel oil price during the period.

In Other News
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp: The company said that some of its wind farms in Texas were hit by the deep freeze that has engulfed parts of the United States, causing power outages in the biggest energy-producing state. Algonquin said it expects the potential hit from the deep freeze on the company's adjusted core earnings for this year to be between $45 million and $55 million, or about 5% to 6% of 2019's earnings. The company said it has declared force majeure on contracts and is assessing other potential mitigating options

Alphabet Inc: The company’s Google fired staff scientist Margaret Mitchell, they both said, a move that fanned company divisions on academic freedom and diversity that were on display since its December dismissal of AI ethics researcher Timnit Gebru. Google said in a statement Mitchell violated the company's code of conduct and security policies by moving electronic files outside the company. Mitchell, who announced her firing on Twitter, did not respond to a request for comment. Gebru said Google fired her after she questioned an order not to publish a study saying AI that mimics language could hurt marginalized populations. Mitchell, a co-author of the paper, publicly criticized the company for firing Gebru and undermining the credibility of her work. The company said Mitchell's firing followed disciplinary recommendations by investigators and a review committee. Separately, Google will evaluate the performance of its vice presidents and above on team diversity and inclusion starting this year, the company said in one of several responses to concerns about its treatment of a Black scientist.

Alphabet Inc & Facebook Inc: Australia will not alter legislation that would make Facebook and Alphabet's Google pay news outlets for content, a senior lawmaker said, as Canberra neared a final vote on whether to pass the bill into law. Australia and the tech giants have been in a stand-off over the legislation widely seen as setting a global precedent. Talks between Australia and Facebook over the weekend yielded no breakthrough. "The bill as it stands ... meets the right balance," Simon Birmingham, Australia's Minister for Finance, told Australian Broadcasting Corp Radio. The bill in its present form ensures "Australian-generated news content by Australian-generated news organisations can and should be paid for and done so in a fair and legitimate way". The laws would give the government the right to appoint an arbitrator to set content licencing fees if private negotiations fail. A Facebook representative declined to comment on the legislation, which passed the lower house last week and has majority support in the Senate.

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd: China's bank regulator on Saturday tightened requirements on the internet loan business of commercial banks, amid heightened scrutiny of online lending by internet giants such as Ant Group Co, the finance arm of Alibaba Group. Commercial banks must jointly contribute funds to issue internet loans with a partner, and the proportion of capital from the partner in a loan should not be less than 30%, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission said in a notice. The balance of internet loans issued by a bank with one partner, including its related parties, must not exceed 25% of the bank's net tier-one capital, it said. In addition, the balance of internet loans issued jointly by commercial banks and cooperative institutions may not exceed 50% of the bank's total balance, the guidelines state.

Amazon.com Inc: India's Supreme Court barred a final ruling by a tribunal reviewing Future Group's $3.4 billion sale of retail assets until the top court hears objections from aggrieved partner Amazon.com, three sources said. Amazon appealed to the Supreme Court this month against Future Group's sale to market leader Reliance Industries, accusing its partner of violating contracts by agreeing to the sale. Three people familiar with the proceedings said the Supreme Court ordered that while the tribunal can continue to review the deal and oversee the approval process, it could not pass a final order while the court hears Amazon's concerns. Amazon declined to comment, while Future Group and Reliance did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

AT&T Inc, Comcast Corp, Microsoft Corp & Walmart Inc: Ten U.S. corporations slashed donations to candidates seeking federal office by more than 90% in January, after pledging to cut off giving to the Republicans who supported former President Donald Trump's attempt to overturn his election defeat. None of the political action committees of 10 major companies reviewed by Reuters, including Microsoft, Walmart, AT&T and Comcast, donated to any of the 147 congressional Republicans who voted to support Trump's claims just hours after his supporters launched a deadly assault on the U.S. Capitol. Disclosures to the Federal Election Commission ahead of a Saturday filing deadline showed the group of corporate PACs affiliated with those 10 companies made $13,000 in new donations to candidates in January. The reports were the first by the PACs to detail contributions made since the Jan. 6 Capitol attack.

Baidu Inc: The Chinese search engine giant and automaker Geely hired Mobike co-founder and former chief technology officer Xia Yiping as chief executive of their new electric vehicle venture, Baidu said. "Xia has extensive management experience in the field of smart cars and mobility services," Baidu said. "We welcome Xia Yiping to join Baidu's auto company and look forward to his contribution to Baidu and the automobile industry." Xia served as Mobike's chief technology officer until the company was acquired by food delivery giant Meituan in 2018. Prior to Mobike, he worked at Ford Motor and Fiat Chrysler.

BlackRock Inc: The company will beef up its process to investigate workers' concerns and expand training after former employees shared accounts on social media of racial and sexual harassment. Manish Mehta, BlackRock's global head of human resources, outlined the changes in a note sent firmwide on Thursday and shared by a company spokesman on Friday. Mehta wrote that "While we strive for a culture of respect and belonging, some of our people have experienced the firm in a way that is not inclusive. Whether the behaviors that cause this are intended or not, they are not acceptable and impact our colleagues and culture." In a statement sent by a spokesman BlackRock said it reviewed the claims byformer BlackRock analyst Essma Bengabsia "but did not find she had been the subject of discrimination or harassment."

Boeing Co, Raytheon Technologies Corp & Unites Airlines Holdings Inc: Boeing urged airlines to suspend the use of 777 jets with the same type of engine that shed debris over Denver at the weekend after U.S. regulators announced extra inspections and Japan suspended their use while considering further action. The moves involving Pratt & Whitney PW4000 engines came after a United Airlines 777's right engine failed on Saturday, scattering its protective outer casing over a residential area. United said the next day it would voluntarily and temporarily remove its 24 active planes, hours before Boeing's announcement. Boeing said 69 of the 777 planes with PW4000 engines were in service and 59 were stored, at a time when airlines have grounded planes due to a plunge in demand associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. The manufacturer recommended airlines suspend operating them until U.S. regulators identified the appropriate inspection protocol. Pratt & Whitney, owned by Raytheon, said it was coordinating with operators and regulators to support a revised inspection interval for the engines. Separately, an incident involving a Boeing 747-400 cargo plane that dropped engine parts after a mid-air explosion and fire over the southern Netherlands on Saturday is under investigation, the Dutch Safety Board said.

Citigroup Inc: The bank is considering divesting some international consumer units, Bloomberg Law reported, citing people familiar with the matter. "As our incoming CEO Jane Fraser said in January, we are undertaking a dispassionate and thorough review of our strategy," a Citigroup spokesperson told Reuters. "Many different options are being considered and we will take the right amount of time before making any decisions." The move, part of Fraser's attempt to simplify the bank, can see units in South Korea, Thailand, the Philippines and Australia being divested, the Bloomberg report said. However, no decision has been made, according to the report.

Chesapeake Energy Corp & Pioneer Natural Resources Co: OPEC and U.S. oil companies see a limited rebound in shale oil supply this year as top U.S. producers freeze output despite rising prices, a decision that would help OPEC and its allies. OPEC this month cut its 2021 forecast for U.S. tight crude, another term for shale, and expects production to decline by 140,000 barrels per day to 7.16 million bpd. The U.S. government expects shale output in March to fall about 78,000 bpd to 7.5 million bpd. "In this new era, (shale) requires a different mindset," Doug Lawler, chief executive of shale pioneer Chesapeake Energy, said in an interview. "It requires more discipline and responsibility with respect to generating cash for our stakeholders and shareholders." The chief executive of shale producer Pioneer Natural Resources, Scott Sheffield, said he expects small companies to increase output but in the aggregate U.S. output will remain flat to 1% higher even at $60 per barrel.

Chevron Corp: Singapore's Pavilion Energy Trading & Supply said it signed a six-year sale and purchase agreement with company for about 0.5 million tonnes per year of LNG supplies from 2023. Pavilion Energy, owned by Singapore state-owned investment company Temasek Holdings, struck the deal with Chevron's Singapore branch. Each cargo supplied to Singapore under the agreement will be accompanied by a statement of its greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) measured from wellhead to discharge port, Pavilion Energy said in a statement.

Ebix Inc: The software supplier said RSM US had resigned as the company's registered public accounting firm, sending shares down in extended trade. RSM told Ebix's audit committee chairman it was resigning as a result of being unable to obtain sufficient evidence to evaluate the business purpose of "significant unusual transactions" in the fourth quarter of 2020, according to a regulatory filing. The auditor informed Ebix that there was a disagreement with respect to the classification of $30 million and flagged unusual transactions concerning Ebix's gift card business in India. Internal control over financial reporting was not effective as of Dec. 31, 2020 due to the identification of a material weakness, RSM said in its resignation letter on Feb. 15. "The Company intends to move as quickly as possible to replace RSM and to complete its 2020 financial audit," Ebix added.

Exxon Mobil Corp & Valero Energy Corp: The largest U.S. oil refiners released tons of air pollutants into the skies over Texas this past week, according to figures provided to the state, as refineries and petrochemical plants in the region scrambled to shut production during frigid weather. An arctic air mass that spread into an area unused to such low temperatures killed at least two dozen people in Texas and knocked out power to more than 4 million at its peak. It also hit natural gas and electric generation, cutting supplies needed to run the plants along the U.S. Gulf Coast. Valero Energy said in a filing with the TCEQ that it released 78,000 pounds over 24 hours beginning last Monday from its Port Arthur, Texas, refinery, citing the frigid cold and interruptions in utility services. Exxon Mobil said its Baytown Olefins Plant emitted nearly a ton of benzene and 68,000 tons of carbon monoxide, citing in its disclosure the halting of "multiple process units and safe utilization of the flare system." Meanwhile, Valero Energy began restarting the East Plant of its 290,000 barrel-per-day (bpd) Corpus Christi, Texas, oil refinery on Sunday, according to a notice filed with the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ).

HSBC Holdings PLC: The bank is set to withdraw from U.S. retail banking, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters, as Europe's biggest bank seeks to dispose of a business that has long underperformed. The exit from the U.S. consumer business will form part of the lender's strategy update due on Tuesday, as Chief Executive Noel Quinn seeks to cut costs, boost fee income and continue the lender's shift towards Asia. The sale or closure of its around 150 remaining branches in the United States would mark the end of HSBC's struggle to turn around a business which has struggled to make inroads against incumbent domestic rivals. Ahead of the strategy update Quinn reshuffled several of his senior lieutenants. HSBC appointed Nuno Matos as chief executive of its wealth and personal banking business, while chief compliance officer Colin Bell became head of HSBC's European business. Michael Roberts was appointed CEO for the United States and Americas, while Stephen Moss will move to Dubai as head of the Middle East, North Africa and Turkey business, the bank said.

Kohl's Corp: A group of activist investors with about 9.5% stake in the company is attempting to take control of the department store chain's board, The Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday. Investors including Macellum Advisors, Ancora Holdings, Legion Partners Asset Management, and 4010 Capital had earlier this year nominated nine people to its now-12-person board, the newspaper said, citing people familiar with the matter. These activist investors are calling on Kohl's to take a range of actions, including adding directors with retail experience who can work with Michelle Gass, the company's CEO. They are also asking Kohl's to consider a sale-leaseback of some of its more than $7 billion in noncore real estate, the Journal said, citing people familiar with the matter and a letter viewed by the outlet, which the group plans to send to shareholders. A Kohl's representative told Reuters that the company's board and management team have been engaged in discussions with the investor group since early December and "remain open to hearing new ideas."

Lockheed Martin Corp: Saudi Arabian Military Industries (SAMI) has signed an agreement to set up a joint venture with U.S. firm Lockheed Martin to enhance the kingdom's defence and manufacturing capabilities, the state-owned Saudi company said on Sunday. SAMI, which is owned by the Saudi state's Public Investment Fund (PIF), will own 51% of the venture. "The new agreement will develop localised capabilities by transferring technology and knowledge, and by training a Saudi workforce in manufacturing products for, and providing services to, the Saudi armed forces," the statement said. Saudi is one of the world's largest buyers of foreign arms.

M&T Bank Corp & People's United Financial Inc: M&T Bank is nearing an agreement to merge with People's United Financial, with the two companies discussing an all-stock deal that could be finalized as soon as this week, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter. The banks will have more than $200 billion in assets combined, according to the report. People's United has a market value of about $6.6 billion, while M&T's is over $19 billion. The combined company is likely to be led by M&T Chief Executive René Jones and maintain a significant corporate presence in Bridgeport, the newspaper said.

Orange SA: The chief executive of the company’ Spain division has called on the Spanish government to cut the price of 5G frequencies that are to be auctioned in March, El Pais newspaper reported on Sunday. Jean-François Fallacher, head of the French telecoms firm in Spain, said if the government reduced the current asking price of $1.42 billion for 5G frequencies it could encourage investment in the sector. "Recently, the Secretary of State for Telecommunications, Roberto Sánchez, suggested (the government) may review that price," he told El Pais newspaper. He added: "We have always said that this auction should not have an objective that could compromise the investments necessary for the 5G deployment." Fallacher said the telecoms sector was "excessively taxed" in Spain, citing a report by Ernst & Young which said the country levied one of highest number of taxes on operators in Europe.

Petroleo Brasileiro SA: Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro moved to replace the head of state-run oil company Petrobras, naming a retired army general with no oil and gas experience as CEO after weeks of clashes with the current chief executive over fuel price hikes. In a late Friday statement from the Mines and Energy Ministry, first shared on Bolsonaro's Facebook page, the government said it had decided to appoint former Defense Minister Joaquim Silva e Luna to run Petroleo Brasileiro SA, as the firm is known formally. The company's senior management is considering resigning en masse to protest the CEO's replacement, three people close to the executives told Reuters on Friday evening. Petrobras said in a statement that it had received notice from the Mines and Energy Ministry about the proposed CEO change, adding that the ministry had requested an extraordinary shareholders' meeting.

Principal Financial Group Inc: Activist investor Elliott Management has taken a stake in the company and plans to push for changes at the life Insurance company, Bloomberg reported late on Sunday, citing sources. The New York-based hedge fund is nearing a deal that will grant it seats on Principal Financial's board and plans to launch a strategic review of the insurer's portfolio that could include a sale of part of the business, the report said. The companies did not immediately respond to requests for comment on the news.

Starboard Value Acquisition Corp: Private equity-backed data center provider Cyxtera Technologies said it has agreed to go public through a merger with a blank-check firm backed by shareholder activist Starboard Value, in a deal valuing the combined entity at $3.4 billion. As part of the deal with Starboard Value Acquisition, Cyxtera will receive $654 million, including $250 million from private investors such as Fidelity Management & Research Company and clients of Starboard. Cyxtera will be listed on the Nasdaq under the new ticker symbol "CYXT" after the merger.

TC PipeLines LP: The company’s largest independent unitholder, Energy Income Partners, said it plans to vote against the $1.68 billion merger with Keystone pipeline owner TC Energy, saying the deal undervalues the company's assets. Energy Income Partners has more than 10% stake, which makes it the largest 'non-affiliated' unitholder. It said the deal is "inadequate" and "significantly undervalues" TCP's organic growth opportunities. Calgary-based TC Energy owns about 24% stake in TC PipeLines through the Master Limited Partnership's (MLP) general partner. The deal, which is expected to close late in the current quarter, will require approval by unitholders at a special meeting set by TC PipeLines for Feb. 26.


ANALYSIS
Fed's Powell set table for Biden economy, but will he stay for dessert?
Over the past year Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has engineered the largest economic rescue in U.S. history, thrown a controversial lifeline to companies hard hit by the coronavirus pandemic and steered a sweeping labor-friendly revamp of monetary policy that any presidential administration would welcome.


ANALYSTS' RECOMMENDATION
Aptargroup Inc: Jefferies raises target price to $135 from $128, stating that the company’s productivity initiatives and new product launches will trigger a rebound in growth.

CVR Energy Inc: JPMorgan raises target price to $27 from $17, citing the company’s higher EBITDA forecast as its forays into renewable diesel to drive growth.

Deere & Co: Credit Suisse raises target price to $403 from $343, following the company’s better-than-expected first-quarter results and a strong order book.

Ecolab Inc: Jefferies raises target price to $220 from $200, saying the company higher margin forecast following its ongoing restructuring activities.


ECONOMIC EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0830 (approx.) National Activity Index for Jan: Prior 0.52
1000 (approx.) Leading index change mm for Jan : Expected 0.4%; Prior 0.3%
1030 (approx.) Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index for Feb: Prior 7.00


COMPANIES REPORTING RESULTS
Cadence Design Systems Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 74 cents per share
Diamondback Energy Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 81 cents per share
Extra Space Storage Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 90 cents per share
Ingersoll Rand Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 45 cents per share
Marathon Oil Corp: Expected Q4 loss of 20 cents per share
Occidental Petroleum Corp: Expected Q4 loss of 59 cents per share
ONEOK Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 73 cents per share
Realty Income Corp: Expected Q4 earnings of 34 cents per share
Republic Services Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 82 cents per share
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd: Expected Q4 loss of $5.20 per share
SBA Communications Corp: Expected Q4 earnings of 52 cents per share
Williams Companies Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 31 cents per share


CORPORATE EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0800 Discovery Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
0800 Viatris Inc: Q1 earnings conference call
0830 KBR Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1000 Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd: Q4 earnings conference call
1200 DISH Network Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Air Lease Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Five9 Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Freshpet Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Palo Alto Networks Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 ZoomInfo Technologies Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Bigcommerce Holdings Inc.: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Cadence Design Systems Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Republic Services Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 SBA Communications Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Trex Company Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
2000 Agora Inc: FY earnings conference call


EX-DIVIDENDS
Brunswick Corp: Amount $0.27
Johnson & Johnson: Amount $1.01
Snap-On Inc: Amount $1.23

Vandaag, 10:32

Nieuwsbrief Week 12: Wall Street 4e week op rij rood, Goud crasht

Week 12 draaide om de Fed. Woensdag 18 maart hield de Federal Reserve de rente ongewijzigd op 3,5%-3,75% en Powell sprak openlijk zijn vrees uit voor oplopende inflatie. Dat was niet wat de markt wilde horen. Tegelijk schoten de olieprijzen verder omhoog na aanvallen op Iraanse energie-infrastructuur en een LNG-raffinaderij in Qatar, waarbij Brent opnieuw even de grens van $119 raakte. De week eindigde zo met vier opeenvolgende weekverliezen voor Wall Street. De S&P 500 brak woensdag door zijn 200-daagse gemiddelde voor het eerst sinds mei 2025. Het Goud daalde 11% en zilver zelfs 16%, ondanks de geopolitieke onrust: de stijgende rente en sterke dollar maken edelmetalen minder aantrekkelijk. De DAX verloor 4,5% en de AEX ruim 4%. De Bitcoin bleef ook de afgelopen week opmerkelijk stabiel. In deze editie: het volledige weekoverzicht, technische analyse van zes grafieken, de macro-data en een vooruitblik op week 13.

Nieuwsbrief Week 12: Wall Street 4e week op rij rood, Goud crasht

Lees verder »
Gisteren, 08:46

Tijd voor een technisch herstel? Indices testen zeer belangrijke steun

Goedemorgen! Het is vrijdag en de markten koersen af op hun 4e verliesweek op rij, al kan er in de loop van vandaag nog heel veel gebeuren. De Dow staat deze week -1,2%, de S&P 500 -0,4% en de Nasdaq -0,1%. Zowel de Dow als de Nasdaq naderen hun correctieterrein (-10%), met verliezen van circa 8% ten opzichte van de recente records. De S&P 500 staat nog zo'n 5% onder zijn piek. Maar vanochtend is er voorzichtig optimisme: futures staan licht hoger na een toch opvallende uitspraak van de Israëlische premier Netanyahu.

USMarkets.nl

Ochtendupdate

Vrijdag 20 maart 2026

Door Trader Guy

We stevenen af op de 4e verliesweek op rij, Futures vanmorgen licht hoger.

Brent daalt iets naar $107 op voorzichtige hoop op vrede.

Goud kent de slechtste week in 6 jaar.

Goedemorgen! Het is vrijdag en de markten koersen af op hun 4e verliesweek op rij, al kan er in de loop van vandaag nog heel veel gebeuren. De Dow staat deze week -1,2%, de S&P 500 -0,4% en de Nasdaq -0,1%. Zowel de Dow als de Nasdaq naderen hun correctieterrein (-10%), met verliezen van circa 8% ten opzichte van de recente records. De S&P 500 staat nog zo'n 5% onder zijn piek. Maar vanochtend is er voorzichtig optimisme: futures staan licht hoger na een toch opvallende uitspraak van de Israëlische premier Netanyahu.

Netanyahu zei donderdag dat Israël de VS actief steunt via inlichtingen en andere kanalen om de Straat van Hormuz te heropenen, en dat het conflict mogelijk korter zal duren dan de publieke angst doet vermoeden. Dat was genoeg voor een directe reactie in de oliemarkt: Brent daalde tot rond de 2% op het nieuws. Vanochtend noteert Brent rond de $107, nog altijd hoog maar beduidend lager dan de piek van $119 eerder donderdag.

Futures staan vanochtend vlak tot licht hoger, maar door de rally richting het slot gisteren, staan we alweer een eindje boven de dagbodem van donderdag. De markt reageert positief maar wel nog voorzichtig. Traders weten dat één uitspraak van Netanyahu of Trump geen oorlog beëindigt. Goud herpakt zich wat vandaag naar $4.675, maar het goud maakt zich op voor het grootste weekverlies in zes jaar: -7% deze week, dat is de sterkste daling sinds maart 2020. De combinatie van een sterke dollar, stijgende rentes en uitblijvende renteverlagingen maakt goud minder aantrekkelijk, ook in een oorlogsomgeving.

Op het bedrijfsnieuws: Alibaba kelderde donderdag 7% na tegenvallende kwartaalcijfers. De winst daalde 67% en de omzetgroei was maar net positief. Het bedrijf kondigde een ambitieus doel aan van $100 miljard aan AI-omzet in vijf jaar, maar de markt geloofde de getallen niet. Volgende week komen er nog earnings van GameStop (de bekende meme stock) en Carnival. Vandaag geen grote macro-data gepland buiten de reguliere Europese cijfers.

Markten • Vrijdag 20 maart 2026

Netanyahu knippert plots, de Olie daalt. Maar het is nog geen einde van de oorlog.

De uitspraak van Netanyahu dat het conflict mogelijk korter duurt dan gevreesd is het eerste duidelijke de-escalatiesignaal vanuit de oorlogspartijen zelf. Eerder kwamen signalen alleen van buitenaf, via Trump of de NAVO. Dat de Israëlische premier zelf spreekt over een kortere tijdlijn geeft de markt net genoeg hoop om de vluchtige risico-premie in olie te verlagen. Brent reageerde met een directe daling van bijna 2%.

Goud vertelt het tegenovergestelde verhaal. Het metaal daalt al de hele week en koerst af op -7% op weekbasis, het grootste wekelijkse verlies in zes jaar. Dat klinkt paradoxaal in een oorlogssituatie, maar de verklaring is helder: een hawkische Fed, een sterke dollar en stijgende rentes maken goud, dat geen rente betaalt, minder aantrekkelijk. Bovendien verkopen beleggers goud om zich tegen verliezen elders in te dekken. Goud werkt trouwens als vlucht naar veiligheid alleen als de dollar zwak is.

De markt sluit deze week af in een voorzichtig positieve stemming, maar de trend is nog altijd neerwaarts gericht. Vier verliesweken op rij is statistisch bekeken best significant. De grote vraag voor volgende week: is het Netanyahu-signaal het begin van een ommekeer, of was het een eenmalige uitspraak zonder verdere actie?

Dow Jones Technische analyse • Vrijdag 20 maartGrafiek: 19 maart
Dow Jones grafiek technische analyse 20 maart 2026

Klik op de grafiek voor een grotere weergave

De Dow Jones staat nu op 46.020 en bevindt zich in officieel oversold-gebied met een RSI van 28. Onder de klassieke grens van 30 zien we historisch gezien meer kopers dan verkopers opduiken, maar die bodem vereist een katalysator. De grafiek toont een belangrijke steun-weerstandszone rond 46.500 (200-SMA) die al meerdere keren als vloer fungeerde. Dat de index hier net onder sluit is technisch relevant: het geeft aan dat er koopinteresse kan ontstaan rondom dit niveau.

De EMA-20 staat op 47.660 en de SMA-50 op 48.810, beide ver boven de huidige koers. De SMA-200 op 46.500 is het meest nabije niveau en fungeert nu plots als weerstand boven de huidige stand. De MACD is zwaar negatief (-197 / -693 / -496) maar toont nog geen crossover. Een duurzaam herstel vraagt een terugkeer boven 47.900 om het technische beeld te verbeteren. Op de korte termijn is 45.650 de kritische steun waaronder een nieuw neerwaarts pad opengaat.

Scenario bull: Netanyahu-signaal zet door, olie zakt naar $95 of lager, Dow stuit op oversold-steun en test SMA-200 op 46.500 en breekt daar weer doorheen.

Scenario bear: signaal blijkt eenmalig, olie terug naar $110+, Dow verliest 45.650 en opent nieuw neerwaarts kanaal. Voor een echt herstel moet de index minimaal 47.900 terugveroveren.

DAX Technische analyse • Vrijdag 20 maartGrafiek: 19 maart
DAX grafiek technische analyse 20 maart 2026

Klik op de grafiek voor een grotere weergave

De DAX noteert op 22.840 en staat daarmee onder alle drie de voortschrijdende gemiddelden. De EMA-20 staat op 23.935, de SMA-200 op 24.150 en de SMA-50 op 24.600. De index heeft in enkele weken een val gemaakt van boven de 25.500 naar 22.750, een daling van meer dan 10% tot de voorlopige bodem er stond. Het SMA-200, normaal een langetermijnvloer, wordt nu een belangrijke weerstand. Dat is een kenmerk van een index die structureel onder druk staat, niet alleen tijdelijk.

De RSI staat op 39, zwak maar nog net buiten de oversold-zone. De MACD is zwaar negatief (-63 / -350 / -386) met een histogram die versneld daalt, wat aangeeft dat de verkoopdruk toeneemt in plaats van afneemt. De eerste herstelpoging moet beginnen met een terugkeer boven de SMA-200 op 24.150. Dat is het minimale technische herstel om het beeld te stabiliseren. Steun onder 23.500 ligt op 22.750, de langetermijnlijn die al eerder als vloer diende werd gisteren getest door de DAX. Dat wordt dan meteen ook een zeer belangrijke steun.

Scenario bull: olie daalt door naar $95 of lager op positief Hormuz-signaal, DAX herstelt zich de komende sessies tot boven het SMA-200 op 24.150.

Scenario bear: olieprijs blijft boven de $105, DAX verliest 23.500 en zakt daarna snel weer terug richting langetermijnsteun 22.750.

AEX Technische analyse • Vrijdag 20 maartGrafiek: 19 maart
AEX grafiek technische analyse 20 maart 2026

Klik op de grafiek voor een grotere weergave

De AEX staat op 977,6 en verloor zo de psychologisch belangrijke 1.000-grens. Het EMA-20 staat op 1.000 en de SMA-50 op 1.001, nu plots boven de huidige koers. De AEX is hiermee van een sterke positie (boven de gemiddelden) in een zwakkere positie (net eronder) gegleden. Dat is een trendbreuk die nu de nodige aandacht verdient, maar geen paniek rechtvaardigt: de index blijft de meest stabiele van de drie besproken indices.

De RSI staat nu op 49, precies op de neutrale grens. De MACD is licht negatief (-0,36 / 0,99 / 1,35) met een histogram die nog positief is maar snel daalt. De MACD-lijn staat op het punt de signaallijn van boven naar beneden te kruisen. Als die negatieve crossover zich vandaag of volgende week bevestigt, verslechtert het technische beeld verder. Het SMA-200 komt nu uit op 949 en de index staat daar voorlopig nog ver genoeg boven om voorlopig een rol te spelen. De steun die rond de 983 uitkwam werd wel doorbroken donderdag. We moeten de komende dagen vooral letten op die 949 punten waar dat 200 SMA uitkomt.

Scenario bull: positief weekslot op Hormuz-optimisme, AEX herneemt de 1.000 en bevestigt EMA-20 als steun. Doorbraak boven 1.014 opent weg naar nieuwe records. Scenario bear: negatieve MACD-crossover bevestigt zich, olie blijft toch langer dan verwacht boven de $105, de AEX verliest de 949 punten steun zone en zakt verder door.

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Psychologie van de markt

Vier verliesweken. Hoe houd je je hoofd koel als het lang tegenzit?

Vier verliesweken op rij is lang genoeg om twee typen beleggers te onderscheiden. De eerste groep heeft ergens in week twee of drie de handdoek al in de ring gegooid, en alles verkocht met verlies en staat nu aan de zijlijn te wachten op het goede moment om terug in te stappen. De tweede groep heeft een bepaald systeem gevolgd, of bewust cash aangehouden ter bescherming. Het verschil tussen die twee groepen wordt niet bepaald door intelligentie of analyses, maar wel door discipline.

Het Netanyahu-signaal van gisteren illustreert waarom timing zo moeilijk is. Wie vorige week uitstapte, miste de positieve reactie van donderdag. Wie te vroeg kocht op de oversold-RSI, zat dagen in de min voordat er een signaaltje van de-escalatie was. De markt beloont geduld, niet intuïtie en emotie. Dat geldt altijd, maar in periodes als deze is het bijzonder zichtbaar. Gisteren hebben we dicht bij de bodem enkele long posities opgenomen op 4 indices, voorzichtig en met niet te grote aantallen.

Het komende weekend lijkt het me een goed moment om de strategie weer goed te evalueren. Stel jezelf altijd de vraag: heb ik gehandeld vanuit mijn plan, of vanuit mijn gevoel? Als het antwoord plan is: dan is dat goed gedaan. Als het antwoord gevoel is: dat is mogelijk als je een goed beursgevoel hebt maar niet als je zomaar wat doet. Zelf heb ik op een signaal met een plan en op mijn gevoel gehanderld met die 4 long posities, maar ik loop dan ook al 35 jaar mee op de financiële markten.

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Agenda vandaag, Vrijdag 20 maart 2026

Let opVS zomertijd, Wall Street opent om 14:30 NL-tijd en sluit om 21:00 NL-tijd.
Hele dagIran-oorlog, Hormuz, Netanyahu-signaal: houdt het stand?HOOG risico
Hele dagBrent ($107,45 live) en WTI, weekslot bepalend voor sentimentHOGE impact
Hele dagGoud op koers voor grootste weekverlies in 6 jaar (-8%)Let op
14:30Opening Wall Street, weekslot vier grote indicesLet op
Volgende weekEarnings GameStop en Carnival, Fed-sprekersMarkant

Deze update is uitsluitend informatief van aard en vormt geen beleggingsadvies. Handelen in financiële instrumenten brengt risico's met zich mee. Koersen zijn gebaseerd op data van Yahoo Finance, USMarkets.nl en TradingView. Geopolitieke informatie via NOS, VRT NWS en Reuters.

USMarkets.nl is niet aansprakelijk voor beslissingen genomen op basis van deze informatie.

USMarkets.nl | Guy Systeem Trading

Tradershop Liveblog

Gisteren, 05:41

TA "Short": Wat was de grootste stijger en wat de grootste daler vandaag?

In de Short” van van­daag vin­den we SBM Off­shore en Akzo terug. SBM Off­shore: Met een sti­jging van 2,26% was SBM Off­shore de groot­ste sti­jger van­daag op de Ned­er­landse beurs. Van links naar rechts kijk­end is de koers mooi geste­gen. Natu­urlijk ging het niet in een rechte streep omhoog, we zien…

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Donderdag, 08:01

Dow zakt door steun en Iran raakt energie-infrastructuur, Brent 112!

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Goedemorgen! Woensdag was opnieuw een een zware dag voor de markten. De Dow Jones daalde 1,63% naar het laagste slotkoersniveau van 2026. De S&P 500 volgde met een verlies van 1,35%. Tegelijkertijd schoot Brent olie na de reguliere handelssessie door de $112 heen, gedreven door een nieuwe escalatieronde waarbij Iran en Israel elkaars energie-infrastructuur aanvielen in de Perzische Golf. WTI keerde even terug tot boven de $100. De combinatie van exploderende olieprijzen en een hawkische Fed blijft giftig voor aandelen, en de markt laat dat duidelijk zien.

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Turbo’s zijn complexe instrumenten en brengen vanwege het hefboomeffect een hoog risico mee van snel oplopende verliezen. 7 op de 10 retailbeleggers verliest geld met de handel in turbo’s. Het is belangrijk dat u goed begrijpt hoe turbo’s werken en dat u nagaat of u zich het hoge risico op verlies kunt permitteren.