Liveblog Archief dinsdag 15 februari 2022
Ledenupdate 15 februari: Markt te grillig om wat te doen
Beste leden, We doen nog niets deze week, de keuze is te moeilijk momenteel met alle zaken die er nu...
Deze inhoud is alleen beschikbaar voor betalende leden.
Markt snapshot Wall Street 15 februari
TOP NEWS
• Intel expands in specialty chipmaking with $5.4 billion deal for Israel's Tower
Intel is buying Israeli chipmaker Tower Semiconductor for $5.4 billion, the companies said, giving it access to more specialised production and making it better positioned to take advantage of soaring demand for semiconductors.
• Russia says some troops return to base, Ukraine reacts cautiously
Russia said some of its military units were returning to their bases after exercises near Ukraine, following days of U.S. and British warnings that Moscow might invade its neighbour at any time.
• Senate panel to vote on advancing Biden's Fed picks; Raskin under microscope
A key U.S. Senate panel is set on Tuesday to vote on President Joe Biden's slate of nominees to lead the Federal Reserve, including the renomination of Jerome Powell as chair and Sarah Bloom Raskin as the central bank's Wall Street regulator.
• Blackstone, partners plan $23.77 billion recapitalization of logistics firm Mileway
Blackstone is leading around $23 billion recapitalisation of Mileway, the biggest operator of urban warehouses in Europe, as the private equity giant increases its bet on demand for rapid goods delivery.
• Aerospace firms grapple with fragile supply chain at Singapore Airshow
Supply chain shortages and wage inflation are at the top of a list of concerns for aerospace companies attending a depleted Singapore Airshow amid tight health controls this week.
BEFORE THE BELL
U.S. stock index futures and European shares jumped, and the euro rebounded after reports that some Russian troops in areas near Ukraine have started returning to their bases. Potential de-escalation of tension between Moscow and the West pushed oil and gold prices lower. Meanwhile, in Asian equity markets, Japan's Nikkei ended lower, weighed down by worries over aggressive U.S. rate hikes, while China stocks closed higher, with healthcare and new energy firms leading gains. Data on producer prices and earnings from ViacomCBS, Akamai Technologies and Devon Energy will be in investors’ watch.
STOCKS TO WATCH
Results
• Continental Resources Inc: The U.S. shale producer on Monday posted a fourth-quarter profit that topped Wall Street expectations, as a recovery in economic activity and travel lifted oil prices to multi-year highs. Continental Resources' fourth-quarter adjusted average net sales price more than doubled to $55.27 per barrel of oil equivalent (boe) from a year earlier. The company said it expects to spend $2.3 billion in 2022, which includes a 15% increase to legacy spending in the Bakken and Anadarko basins, as well as a $500 million increase related its Permian acquisition and recent purchase of Chesapeake Energy's Powder River assets in Wyoming. Its capital spending totaled $1.56 billion in 2021.
• BHP Group Ltd: The company announced a record dividend payout after reporting an estimate-beating first-half profits, helped by higher commodity prices, despite a cutback in demand from top metals consumer China. The company said it had lowered its net debt target to $5 billion-$15 billion from $12 billion-$17 billion, which would allow it to facilitate shareholder returns and fund future deals. BHP's net debt was $6.1 billion as of Dec. 31. Jefferies said if BHP wants to go big with M&A, it should move soon. BHP CEO Henry said the company is more commercial and agile, and has always been open to M&A opportunities. "We have been clear M&A is a lever available to us, one amongst a number, but we are only wanting to the pursue right opportunities at the right time and at the right price," Henry said.
• Restaurant Brands International Inc: The company beat estimates for quarterly revenue, as the Popeyes and Burger King parent enjoyed a rebound in demand at its restaurant chains after COVID-19 curbs were eased in Canada and the United States. Demand for breakfast items has rebounded as more people resume working from their offices and grab their sandwiches and coffees on their way to work, benefiting coffeehouse chains such as Tim Hortons and Starbucks. Comparable sales at Burger King in the United States rose nearly 2%, compared with estimates of a marginal decline. Total revenue rose to $1.55 billion in the fourth quarter ended Dec. 31, from $1.36 billion a year earlier. Analysts on average were expecting revenue of $1.52 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. Net income attributable to common shareholders nearly doubled to $179 million, or 57 cents per share, from $91 million, or 30 cents per share a year earlier.
• Yandex NV: The Russian internet giant reported a 55% decrease in adjusted net income in 2021 but said it expects total group revenues to continue their upward trajectory this year to reach $6.50-$6.63 billion. Yandex's adjusted net income stood at 8 billion roubles last year, down 55% on a like-for-like basis and now including its Yandex.Market e-commerce venture. The company said annual profit was impacted by investments into high-growth segments of the business, such as e-commerce and media services. Total revenues were up 54% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2021, and increased by the same amount over the full year to 356.2 billion roubles, above company guidance of 340-350 billion roubles.
Deals Of The Day
• Intel Corp & Tower Semiconductor Ltd: Intel is buying Israeli chipmaker Tower Semiconductor for $5.4 billion, the companies said, giving it access to more specialised production and making it better positioned to take advantage of soaring demand for semiconductors. Intel is paying $53 per share for Tower - which specialises in analogue chips used in cars, medical sensors and power management - well above a closing price of $33.13 on the Nasdaq on Monday. "Tower’s specialty technology portfolio (and) geographic reach ... will help scale Intel’s foundry services and advance our goal of becoming a major provider of foundry capacity globally," said Intel Chief Executive Pat Gelsinger. The transaction is expected to close in about 12 months and has already been unanimously approved by both boards. The deal is still subject to certain regulatory approvals including the approval of Tower’s shareholders. Tower, the companies said, will remain independent until the deal closes. Then, Tower will be integrated into Intel Foundry Services (IFS), which Intel established a year ago to help meet growing global demand for semiconductor manufacturing capacity.
In Other News
• Air Lease Corp & Boeing Co: Air Lease will lease 25 Boeing 737 MAX jets to Malaysia Airlines' parent to be delivered between early 2023 and 2026 through the lessor's orderbook with the manufacturer. Malaysia Aviation Group (MAG) Chief Executive Izham Ismail said the deal was part of a restructuring of the terms of the airline's order book with Boeing. "As part of the terms we were given options to swap our orderbook aircraft with leased aircraft," he said at a Singapore Airshow forum.
• AstraZeneca Plc: Israel will start offering the drugmaker's antibody cocktail Evusheld, which is used to prevent COVID-19, to people with compromised immune systems who did not get a sufficient antibody boost from vaccines. It is not a treatment for those already sick or a prevention for those already exposed to the virus, it said. Evusheld will be made available for people 12 and older who weigh more than 40 kg (88 lb), according to a Health Ministry statement. It said Evusheld will "be given regardless of past recovery from COVID-19 or receiving previous coronavirus vaccine doses, provided that two weeks have passed since getting the vaccine."
• Aurora Innovation Inc & US Xpress Enterprises Inc: Aurora Innovation, a developer of automated driving systems for heavy trucks, will partner with US Xpress Enterprises, one of the country’s largest trucking companies, to build a premium service for freight carriers, the companies said on Monday. Aurora and U.S. Xpress said they envision “a future where goods are transported by both human drivers and autonomous trucks.” Aurora is building a service that includes a fully automated driving system, as well as a suite of fleet management tools and services, branded as Aurora Horizon.
• Berkshire Hathaway Inc, Activision Blizzard Inc & Microsoft Corp: Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway acquired nearly $1 billion of shares in Activision Blizzard before Microsoft agreed to buy the video game maker for $68.7 billion, according to a Monday regulatory filing. Berkshire said that as of Dec. 31, it owned 14.7 million shares worth about $975 million of the "Call of Duty" maker. Berkshire disclosed its Activision stake in a filing detailing its U.S.-listed stock investments as of Dec. 31. Investors monitor Berkshire's investments closely to see where Buffett and his investment managers Todd Combs and Ted Weschler see value. The filings do not say who bought and sold what, though Buffett generally handles larger investments. In the fourth quarter, Berkshire also added to its stake in oil company Chevron, while reducing its holdings in healthcare companies including Bristol-Myers Squibb and Abbvie. Meanwhile, Berkshire said Tom Murphy, the former head of Capital Cities/ABC and longtime friend of Warren Buffett, has resigned from its board of directors after a bout with COVID-19.
• Blackstone Inc: The company is leading around $23 billion recapitalisation of Mileway, the biggest operator of urban warehouses in Europe, as the private equity giant increases its bet on demand for rapid goods delivery. Rather than list or seek a private sale, the U.S. investor is opting to recapitalise the logistics company, Europe's largest owner of last-mile logistics, as consumers worldwide increasingly demand same-day delivery of food and other items. "Logistics is one of our highest conviction themes globally and the sector continues to prove its resiliency and strong growth potential," James Seppala, Blackstone's head of Real Estate Europe, said. The recapitalisation is subject to a "go-shop" process, which will start immediately and will run for up to 75 days, Blackstone said. That process allows Mileway time to see if a better deal can be found for shareholders.
• Citigroup Inc: The bank's Chief Executive Officer Jane Fraser will be paid $22.5 million for 2021, a 31.6% increase from the previous year when she was the president of the bank and the head of its consumer businesses, the bank disclosed on Monday. Citigroup directors cited Fraser's ability to establish a clear set of priorities aimed at increasing long-term shareholder value among the reasons behind the compensation. Fraser was paid $17.1 million for 2020. Fraser's compensation is less than that previously announced for more experienced CEOs of other big banks, which are more profitable.
• Exxon Mobil Corp: Union officials on Monday agreed to schedule a membership vote on a contract offer that could end a nearly 10-month worker lockout at an Exxon Mobil refinery in southeast Texas, a union official said. The leadership of United Steelworkers (USW) Local 13-243 agreed to put a sweetened Exxon contract proposal received last week to its about 600 members. A vote was scheduled for Monday, Feb. 21. On Friday, Exxon agreed to contract changes that would make Martin Luther King Jr. Day a paid holiday, updates language regarding a union committee and adds a new job description for operators in the 369,024 barrel-per-day refinery and lubricant facility. "With the company's latest move, with the MLK holiday added, we felt it was time for the membership to have the say-so on where we go from here," said Bryan Gross, a USW International representative.
• Goldman Sachs Group Inc & Morgan Stanley: Federal investigators have launched a probe into block trading at Wall Street hedge funds and banks including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter. The Securities and Exchange Commission, along with the Department of Justice, is investigating whether bankers may have improperly tipped off hedge funds ahead of large share sales, the report said on Monday. Investigators are probing whether bankers improperly alerted favored clients ahead of public disclosure of trades and if such information benefited the funds, some of which act as "liquidity providers" to Wall Street firms, the report said.
• Lucid Group Inc: Saudi sovereign wealth fund PIF held nearly $56 billion worth of U.S.-listed stocks as of December last year, up from $43.4 billion at the end of September, boosted by the increased value of electric car maker Lucid, it said in a U.S. regulatory filing. The fund's Lucid holdings were valued at $38.6 billion as of December, up from $25.8 billion at the end of September, the filing showed. The Public Investment Fund (PIF), which currently holds a nearly 62% stake in Lucid, had invested more than $1 billion in the company in 2018 for a substantial stake and increased its investment in February 2021.
• Meta Platforms Inc: Billionaire Leon Cooperman, hedge fund Lone Pine Capital, and mutual fund manager Polen Capital were among firms that greatly reduced their positions in the Facebook-parent in the quarter that ended Dec. 31, potentially protecting them from some losses during the company's record one-day plunge in Feb, according to securities filings released on Monday. Meta Platforms fell 26% on Feb. 3, erasing more than $200 billion in market value, after the company after reported its first ever decline in global daily active users and cited increasing competition from TikTok and other platforms in its weaker-than-expected forecast. Cooperman sold his entire stake of 22,000 shares in Meta Platforms, while Lone Pine Capital halved its stake in the company by selling approximately 1.9 million shares. Polen Capital sold approximately 2.8 million shares of the company, though it remained the firm's third-largest position.
• New York Times Co: The Manhattan federal judge who made the unusual move of saying he would dismiss Sarah Palin's defamation lawsuit against the New York Times on Monday while jurors were still deliberating is considered a maverick known for tussling with Wall Street regulators and criticizing the U.S. sentencing regimes. U.S. District Judge Jed Rakoff, 78, announced he planned to dismiss Palin's case once the jury delivers a verdict, after concluding that her lawyers had failed to prove the newspaper acted with malice by incorrectly linking her to a mass shooting in an editorial. Rakoff said he would still let jurors reach their own verdict in the case by the former Alaska governor and 2008 Republican U.S. vice presidential candidate, as he expected her to appeal, making the timing of the announcement unorthodox.
• Peloton Interactive Inc: The company's stock price tumbled more than 50% in the last three months of 2021 but several prominent investment firms were so sure the at-home fitness company could regain its footing that they bought new or added to existing positions. Durable Capital Partners, run by former T. Rowe Price investment executive Henry Ellenbogen, bought 5.4 million shares of the company known for its stationary bikes, treadmills and on demand classes, according to regulatory filings made on Monday. Ricky Sandler's Eminence Capital bought 2.6 million shares. Scott Ferguson's Sachem Head Capital Management took a new stake with 1.6 million shares, the filings showed. Tiger Global Management, already a Peloton investor, bought another 3 million shares, increasing its investment by 41% and Baillie Gifford, Peloton's largest shareholder, added another 3.4 million shares, raising its stake by 12%, the filings show.
• Procter & Gamble Co & Mondelez International Inc: Trian Fund Management, the activist investment firm run by Nelson Peltz, said in a regulatory filing on Monday it has slashed holdings in consumer staples giants Procter & Gamble and Mondelez International by more than 90% each. Trian owned 237,384 shares of P&G, which makes Tide detergent and Crest toothpaste, at the end of the fourth quarter after having sold 5 million shares. It owned 450,184 shares of Mondelez, the maker of Oreo cookies and Milka chocolate, on Dec. 31, after having sold 7.5 million shares, the filing showed. The filing signals that Trian's engagement with both companies may be nearing an end.
• Sea Ltd: India has blocked access to 54 mobile apps, mainly Chinese but also including Singapore-based Sea's Free Fire game, over security concerns, government sources said, a day after Sea shares sank on a report of the ban. Sea, backed by Chinese gaming giant Tencent which owns nearly 26%, said it is a Singapore company and committed to protecting its users' privacy and security in India and globally. "We comply with Indian laws and regulations, and we do not transfer to or store any data of our Indian users in China," it said in a statement to Reuters. Asked about the ban at its annual general meeting on Monday, Sea told shareholders the firm was "working through it", according to one person who attended the meeting.
• Shift4 Payments Inc: The billionaire e-commerce mogul who last year led the world's first all-private space crew launched into orbit said on Monday he plans to help bankroll up to three more such missions with SpaceX, independent of NASA's human spaceflight program. Jared Isaacman, founder and CEO of Shift4 Payments, said his new "Polaris" collaboration with fellow billionaire and SpaceX chief Elon Musk could launch its first four-member crew as early as the fourth quarter of this year. Dubbed Polaris Dawn, the mission would aim to set a new orbital altitude record and feature the world's first commercial spacewalk, while also testing the laser-based communications system of SpaceX's Starlink satellite network, Isaacman said in a message online. A spokesman told Reuters that Isaacman and SpaceX "are investing in the mission together" but not revealing any financial details.
• Starbucks Corp: The company is battling its second bout of public fury in China in less than three months, after an incident described by the U.S. coffee giant as a "misunderstanding" at one of its stores sparked criticism from online users and state media. The company came under scrutiny on Monday after a user on Weibo said that a number of police officers had been eating outside a Starbucks store in the southwestern city of Chongqing before they were told by staff to move away. The user's description of the incident quickly went viral on the Twitter-like platform, prompting the ruling Communist party's mouthpiece People's Daily newspaper to issue a commentary, in which it called Starbucks "arrogant". Starbucks apologized on its Weibo account late on Monday for "inappropriate communications," saying the whole thing was a misunderstanding. But it said staff had never chased away policemen or tried to file complaints against them.
• Tesla Inc: South Korea's antitrust regulator is investigating the U.S. electric car maker over allegations the company exaggerated the specifications of its batteries, an official at the Korea Fair Trade Commission (KFTC) said. Yonhap news agency on late Monday reported the KFTC had sent a report to the electric vehicle (EV) maker stating that it had exaggerated the mileage of some of its models, including Model 3, in violation of the Act on Fair Labeling and Advertising. "We plan to hold a meeting to decide the level of sanctions against the automaker," an official at the KFTC told Reuters. Separately, Tesla's chief executive Elon Musk donated a total of 5,044,000 shares in the world's most valuable automaker to a charity from Nov. 19 to Nov. 29 last year, its filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission showed on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Aviation fears grow over Russia fallout from Ukraine crisis
Airlines and the leasing companies that control billions of dolllars' worth of passenger jets are drawing up contingency plans for a freeze in business with Russia if the standoff on Ukraine's border boils over into a military conflict.
ANALYSTS' RECOMMENDATION
• 3M Co: RBC cuts target price to $147 from $155, citing the company’s legal overhangs of both polyfluoroalkyl substances and combat arms earplugs.
• AbbVie Inc: Truist Securities raises target price to $160 from $135, as the company expects Humira loss of exclusivity erosion to be compensated by growth from Rinvoq, Skyrizi & other approved products.
• Arista Networks Inc: Jefferies cuts target price to $130 from $450, given ongoing risk associated with lumpy Cloud Titan spending.
• Newell Brands Inc: RBC raises target price to $25 from $23, citing another strong result for the company, beating expectations on the top and bottom lines in the fourth quarter.
• Walmart Inc: Oppenheimer cuts target price to $150 from $170, expecting another solid top-line in Q4, but have less conviction on the bottom-line upside potential given a variety of headwinds and tailwinds related to COVID-19 and cost pressures.
ECONOMIC EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0830 NY Fed manufacturing for Feb: Expected 12.15; Prior -0.7
0830 (approx.) PPI machine manufacturing for Jan: Prior 155.8
0830 (approx.) PPI final demand yy for Jan: Expected 9.1%; Prior 9.7%
0830 (approx.) PPI final demand mm for Jan: Expected 0.5%; Prior 0.2%
0830 (approx.) PPI ex-food/energy yy for Jan: Expected 7.9%; Prior 8.3%
0830 (approx.) PPI ex-food/energy mm for Jan: Expected 0.5%; Prior 0.5%
0830 (approx.) PPI ex-food/energy/transport yy for Jan: Expected 6.3%; Prior 6.9%
0830 (approx.) PPI ex-food/energy/transport mm for Jan: Prior 0.4%
COMPANIES REPORTING RESULTS
Akamai Technologies Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of $1.42 per share
Allegion PLC: Expected Q4 earnings of $1.02 per share
CF Industries Holdings Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of $3.51 per share
Cincinnati Financial Corp: Expected Q4 earnings of $1.35 per share
Devon Energy Corp: Expected Q4 earnings of $1.24 per share
Ecolab Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of $1.31 per share
Fidelity National Information Services Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of $1.90 per share
IPG Photonics Corp: Expected Q4 earnings of $1.19 per share
IQVIA Holdings Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of $2.43 per share
Marriott International Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 99 cents per share
Solaredge Technologies Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of $1.31 per share
ViacomCBS Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 43 cents per share
Welltower Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 15 cents per share
Wynn Resorts Ltd: Expected Q4 loss of $1.25 per share
Zoetis Inc: Expected Q4 earnings of 96 cents per share
CORPORATE EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0800 Advance Auto Parts Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
0800 Leidos Holdings Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
0800 Royalty Pharma PLC: Q4 earnings conference call
0830 Marriott International Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
0830 Avis Budget Group Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
0830 Fidelity National Information Services Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
0830 Zoetis Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
0830 Ziff Davis Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
0830 Black Knight Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
0900 Service Corporation International: Q4 earnings conference call
0900 Medpace Holdings Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
0900 Iqvia Holdings Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
0930 Borgwarner Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
0930 Spirit Realty Capital Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1000 Wesco International Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1000 Henry Schein Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1000 IPG Photonics Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1000 Huntsman Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1000 Primerica Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1200 Continental Resources Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1300 Ecolab Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1615 ViacomCBS Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Akamai Technologies Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Masimo Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Wynn Resorts Ltd: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 ZoomInfo Technologies Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1630 Upstart Holdings Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Lattice Semiconductor Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Toast Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1730 Airbnb Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
EX-DIVIDENDS
Aflac Inc: Amount $0.40
Aramark: Amount $0.11
Bunge Ltd: Amount $0.52
Chevron Corp: Amount $1.42
Consolidated Edison Inc: Amount $0.79
Dolby Laboratories Inc: Amount $0.25
Duke Realty Corp: Amount $0.28
Invesco Ltd: Amount $0.17
Marathon Oil Corp: Amount $0.07
Marathon Petroleum Corp: Amount $0.58
MGIC Investment Corp: Amount $0.08
Target Corp: Amount $0.90
Marktcijfers
Actueel | Verwacht | Vorige | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
USA: PPI (Maandelijks) (Jan) | Actueel: 1,0% Verwacht: 0,5% Vorige: 0,4% |
Marktcijfers
Actueel | Verwacht | Vorige | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
DEU: Duitse ZEW Economisch Sentiment (Feb) | Actueel: 54,3 Verwacht: 55,0 Vorige: 51,7 |
Europa fors omlaag terwijl Wall Street vlak tot wat lager sluit
Goedemorgen,
Een slechte dag op de beurzen ook al wist Wall Street de schade beperkt te houden, toch opletten want herstel is er nog lang niet. Veel blijft afhangen van meerdere factoren die er momenteel spelen, dat is de spanning rondom Rusland, de rente die oploopt waardoor de FED op een onverwacht moment de rente wel eens zou kunnen verhogen en de energieprijzen die uit de pan rijzen. Veel zaken om in de gaten te houden maar waarvan je absoluut niet weet hoe ze zich verder zullen ontwikkelen. Daarom is het ook haast onmogelijk om veilige posities op te nemen en die wat langer vast te houden. Het enige wat we kunnen doen is afwachten en de ontwikkelingen volgen.
Update dinsdag 12 februari:
Opletten dus, ook de rest van de week, dat is de boodschap die ik wil meegeven in deze fase. Er komt wel een moment waar alles wat rustiger zal verlopen maar dat is zeker nog niet zo op de korte termijn. Wat achter ons ligt zijn de kwartaalcijfers, er komen nog bedrijven met cijfers maar het grootste deel ligt al achter ons. Het is nu vooral letten op de FED, de spanning rondom Rusland en de inflatie.
Veel ander nieuws is er niet, we moeten roeien met de riemen die we hebben en dus vooral wachten op een betere fase. Ik merk ook dat veel volgers het met me eens zijn, de manier waarmee ik met de markt om ga kan men goed begrijpen, logisch want ik wil me niet in het wespennest begeven. Alleen als ik een mogelijkheid zie die redelijk betrouwbaar lijkt dan doe ik wat maar dan nog steeds op halve kracht ofwel met kleine posities. Overleven in deze fase is veel belangrijker dan teveel te doen waarvan je al vrij zeker bent dat de helft kan lukken maar de helft ook verkeerd kan gaan. Daar schieten we weinig tot niks mee op, het is beter om als coach voor de leden te zorgen zodat de ballans in evenwicht blijft en ook nog hier en daar wat mee te pakken. Hoe dan ook, we staan er nog altijd heel goed voor tot nu toe dit jaar.
Vanmorgen staan de futures weer wat lager, een signaal dat de markten zich gaan herpakken vandaag zie ik nog niet. Dus ook vandaag blijven we goed opletten en bekijken de markt vanop een afstand. Pas bij een duidelijke uitschieter kunnen we overwegen om wat te doen. De volatiliteit is te heftig om veilig en om wat langer in de markt te blijven zitten.
De signaaldiensten:
Afgelopen vrijdag heb ik winst kunnen nemen op de short posities die woensdag werden op genomen rondom de top, zo loopt het resultaat verder op en dat zonder veel risico door dat ik de posities klein hou. Ik zal er deze maand verder alles aan doen om waar het kan nog wat leuke posities uit te zoeken. Nog steeds met kleine aantallen en met 2 of maximaal 3 posities gelijktijdig.
Meedoen met onze signalen kan nu via de aanbieding die loopt tot 1 april 2022. Schrijf u nu snel in tot 1 APRIL voor €35. Ga meteen naar onze Tradershop en kies uw abonnement via de link https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop
Marktoverzicht:
Europa had nog wat in te halen wat betreft de daling en dat hebben we gemerkt maandag, de AEX verloor eerst meer dan 23 punten, de index sloot uiteindelijk op 748 punten wat daar 10 punten boven ligt. Een slechte sessie dus met nog steeds 2% verlies. Ook de DAX moest eerst even fors terug om de zone 14.900-15.000 punten snel op te zoeken, de low van de sessie kwam zelfs uit op 14.844 punten, uiteindelijk wist de DAX ook zo'n 270 punten terug te pakken om op 15.114 punten te sluiten wat nog goed is voor 2% verlies. De AEX en de DAX moesten dus terug tot hun bodemzone van januari, we moeten de komende sessies zien of dat voorlopig genoeg is want anders zit er nog een golf omlaag aan te komen en dat zou niet best zijn.
Wall Street moet ook verder terug, alleen de tech indices wisten zich te herpakken, de SOX wat hoger, de Nasdaq vlak en de Nasdaq 100 sluit een fractie hoger. De S&P 500 verloor wel 0,4% terwijl ook de Dow Jones met 0,5% terug moet maandag. Geen herstel op de daling van afgelopen vrijdag, dat zat er niet in al kwam er wel een poging omhoog die stilviel richting het slot. Ook de indices op Wall Street willen richting hun bodems van januari terug zo te zien.

Dow Jones:
De Dow Jones staat nu weer ver onder de 35.500 punten en het slot van maandag zien we nu al onder de 34.750 punten. Als de Dow Jones nu verder zakt dan moeten we rekening gaan houden met nog ruim 750-800 punten ruimte tot we de volgende belangrijke steun rond de 33.750 punten zien. Tussendoor nog wel wat steun rond de 34.500 en de 34.250 punten. De Dow Jones sluit ruim onder het 200-daags gemiddelde dat we nu rond de 35.045 punten zien uitkomen.
Weerstand nu eerst de 34.750 punten met daar snel boven het 200-daags gemiddelde dat nu rond de 35.045 punten uitkomt. Later weerstand rond de 35.250 en de 35.500 punten. Aan volatiliteit nog altijd geen gebrek, denk eraan dat alle indices fors op en neer kunnen blijven bewegen.

AEX index:
De AEX moet er weer aan geloven en zakt meteen terug tot net boven de 735 punten steunzone, de index weet zich wel sterk te herpakken tot rond de 747 punten en meteen ook dicht bij de hoogste stand van de sessie. Steun nu duidelijk de zone 735-740 punten, onder deze steunzone ziet het er slecht uit want dan kan de index terug tot 720-722 punten, later zelfs tot rond de 705-708 punten.
Weerstand nu de 750-752 punten, later de 762 en de zone 770-772 punten. Denk eraan dat het ook in de positieve richting snel kan gaan, die 770-772 punten hebben we deze maand al 2 keer opgezocht na eerst een diepe daling.

DAX index:
De DAX moest stevig terug en bereikt zelfs een nieuwe bodem in de ochtend, de index wist zich wel goed te herpakken later op de dag om om 15.114 punten te sluiten. Wel boven de belangrijke steunzone 14.900-15.000 punten en dat was nodig om de hoop op overleven intact te houden. Toch is die daling niet echt geruststellend want die bodemzone mag op slotbasis niet doorbroken worden. We letten ook vandaag en de rest van de week op de belangrijke steunzone 14.900-15.000 punten, eens eronder ligt de weg open richting de 14.750 en de 14.500 punten.
Weerstand nu eerst de 15.100-15.150 punten, later de 15.300-15.350 punten en de belangrijke zone rondom de 15.500 punten.

Nasdaq Composite:
De Nasdaq sluit nagenoeg onveranderd ten opzichte van afgelopen vrijdag, wel bewoog de index gedurende de sessie redelijk fel op en neer. We zien nu wat consolidatie maar dat neemt niet weg dat er opnieuw een forse beweging op komst is. We letten dus goed op de komende dagen, de bodem die rond de 13.150-13.250 punten wacht kan nog altijd een doel worden voor de Nasdaq. Bij herstel wacht vooral de weerstand rond de 14.210 punten.
Steun nu de zone 13.750-13.800 punten, bij een verdere daling steun rond de 13.500 en de 13 250 punten. Weerstand nu eerst de 14.000 punten met later de bekende 14.210 punten en de top van woensdag rond de 14.500 punten.

Overzicht resultaat dit jaar (2021):
De winst voor dit jaar en deze maand (februari) ziet u via de tabel hieronder, de maand januari werd met een mooie winst afgerond en we starten februari in ieder geval ook goed. Deze maand verwacht ik zeker snel weer nieuwe kansen, wordt op tijd lid via de aanbieding, dan ontvangt u meteen onze signalen en doet u mee met de posities. Er lopen nu weer enkele short posities die het goed doen.
Meedoen met onze signalen kan nu via de aanbieding die loopt tot 1 april 2022. Schrijf u nu snel in tot 1 APRIL voor €35. Ga meteen naar onze Tradershop en kies uw abonnement via de link https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop
Overzicht resultaten deze maand en dit jaar (2022)


Met vriendelijke groet,
Guy Boscart