Liveblog Archief vrijdag 28 mei 2021

TOP NEWS

Biden budget to put price tag on policy priorities, earn likely Republican rebuke
The White House on Friday will lay out President Joe Biden's budget for trillions of dollars in spending on infrastructure, education and other initiatives, but the plan is unlikely to sway Republicans who want to tamp down U.S. government spending.

• Boeing halts deliveries of 787 Dreamliners – WSJ
Boeing has halted deliveries of its 787 Dreamliners, adding fresh delays for customers following a recent five-month delivery suspension due to production problems, the Wall Street Journal reported.

• Microsoft says group behind SolarWinds hack now targeting government agencies, NGOs
The group behind the SolarWinds cyber attack identified late last year is now targeting government agencies, think tanks, consultants, and non-governmental organizations, Microsoft said on Thursday.

• China presses Ximalaya to drop U.S. for Hong Kong as listing venue-sources
China is pressing the country's largest online audio platform Ximalaya to drop plans to list in the United States and go for Hong Kong instead, three people with knowledge of the matter said, showing how the authorities are seeking to further tighten their grip over private media and internet businesses.

• Google near settlement of French antitrust case, WSJ says
Alphabet’s Google is close to settling an antitrust investigation in France over allegations it abused its power in online advertising, the Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter.


BEFORE THE BELL
U.S. stock index futures rose as investors focused on personal consumption data due later in the day to gauge inflationary pressure. European shares rose as UK-exposed financial stocks gained following a hawkish comment from a Bank of England official. Japanese equities closed higher as steady vaccine rollout boosted hopes of a swift economic recovery, while Chinese stocks ended in the red. A stronger dollar weighed on gold prices. Oil prices advanced on expectations of a strong rebound in global fuel demand.


STOCKS TO WATCH

Results
• Costco Wholesale Corp: Membership-only retail chain reported third-quarter revenue that beat analysts' estimates and said it was optimistic about sustained demand for high-margin items, such as jewelry and home furnishings. The company said it was beginning a phased return of food sampling and plans to bring back seating at most of its food courts. Costco added it continued to see strength in its non-foods businesses and its travel division, which offers hotel rooms and cruise tickets to its members, aided by pent-up demand and COVID-19 vaccine roll-outs. Comparable sales, excluding the impact of fuel and currency fluctuations, jumped 15.1% in the third quarter, compared with estimates of a 11.46% rise. Net income attributable to the company rose to $2.75 per share, in the quarter, from $1.89 per share, a year earlier. Analysts on average had expected a net income of $2.34 per share.

• Dell Technologies Inc & HP Inc: Both the companies reported quarterly revenue that beat Wall Street estimates, as customers continued to shop for personal computers, even as pandemic-led restrictions eased in many parts of the world. "The component supply situation remains constrained," Dell Chief Financial Officer Thomas Sweet said in post earnings call, adding that rising costs to procure these chips would hit its operating income in the current quarter by the low to mid-single digits and lead to slightly lower revenue on a sequential basis. HP said the shortages would limit its ability to supply personal computing devices and printers at least until the end of the year. Dell's revenue rose 12% to $24.49 billion in the first quarter, beating estimates of $23.40 billion, while HP posted overall revenue of $15.9 billion above the $15 billion estimate.

• Gap Inc: The retailer raised its forecast for annual sales and profit, expecting an unabated surge in demand for new apparel as more people begin to step out and socialize after a year of hunkering down at home due to the pandemic. "We saw a resurgence in summer fashion with dresses rebounding, showing that customers are emerging from the crisis wanting to express their style," Chief Executive Officer Sonia Syngal said. Gap expects fiscal 2021 net sales to grow in the low-to-mid 20% range from a year earlier, compared with its prior projection of mid-to-high teens rise. Analysts were forecasting sales growth of 17.8%. Gap sees diluted earnings between $1.55 and $1.70 per share, up from its prior forecast of $1.20 to $1.35. First-quarter net sales surged 89% to $3.99 billion from a year earlier, beating expectations of $3.45 billion. Net income stood at $166 million compared with a loss of $932 million.

• Salesforce.com Inc: The company raised its full-year forecast for revenue as well as profit, and reported quarterly revenue that beat analysts' estimates, following increased demand for its cloud-based software due to a pandemic-led shift to remote work. Salesforce raised its annual revenue forecast to between $25.90 billion and $26.00 billion, above estimates of $25.76 billion. The company expects full-year adjusted profit between $3.79 and $3.81 per share, beating Wall Street expectations of $3.43. Salesforce reported total revenue of $5.96 billion in the first quarter, compared with analysts' estimates of $5.89 billion. On an adjusted basis, Salesforce earned $1.21 per share, beating estimates of 88 cents per share.

Deals Of The Day
• HEXO Corp: The company said it would buy Redecan, a Canadian privately-owned licensed cannabis producer, for $764.72 million in a cash-and-stock deal, as the pot producer bolsters its portfolio to tap surging demand. "We will also be able to provide consumers across Canada with a diverse and innovative range of high-quality products, with an enhanced brand offering that will enable us to better compete against other LPs (license producers) in Canada," HEXO's Chief Executive Officer Sebastien St-Louis, said. Redecan will be paid C$400 million in cash and C$525 million through the issuance of HEXO common shares at an implied price per share of C$7.53 at the close of the deal, which is expected in the third quarter of 2021.

In Other News
• Alphabet Inc: The company’s Google is nearing a settlement of an antitrust investigation in France over allegations it abused its power in online advertising, and will likely pay a fine and institute operational changes, the Wall Street Journal reported on, citing people familiar with the matter. The French Competition Authority has said that Google's tool to help websites and apps sell ads gave Google's online ad auction system an advantage over rival exchanges, the people told the newspaper. Google offered to settle the matter by removing obstacles that it puts up against competitors, the newspaper reported. Google spokeswoman Leslie Pitterson did not comment on the reported settlement but said that the company's third-party ad tech products work with both Google's partners' and competitors' products. "We continue to take in feedback and make updates to better serve users and the wider ecosystem," she said in a statement.

• Alphabet Inc, Facebook Inc & Twitter Inc: Two tech trade groups filed a lawsuit against Florida over a new law that would fine social media companies that ban political candidates, which they said violated free speech rights. The lawsuit, which said the bill signed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis on Monday was unconstitutional, was filed by internet lobbying groups NetChoice and Computer & Communications Industry Association (CCIA). The groups' members include Facebook, Twitter and Alphabet's Google. "We cannot stand idly by as Florida's lawmakers push unconstitutional bills into law that bring us closer to state-run media and a state-run internet," said NetChoice's Vice President Carl Szabo. "The First Amendment protects social media platforms' right to host and moderate content as they see fit for their business models and users." Christina Pushaw, a spokeswoman for Republican DeSantis, said the governor’s office had no comment on any specific lawsuit but that it had anticipated legal challenges and was confident the legislation had a "strong legal basis."

• AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc: Shares of the movie theatre chain soared, notching a 35% one-day gain in a rally that burned bearish investors and sparked jubilation among the stock's online supporters. The company’s market value ended the session at $11.9 billion as its shares closed at $26.52, with the highest trading volume of any stock on U.S. exchanges on the day. The shares are now up 1,150% year-to-date after hitting their highest level in four years. About 91 million shares, or roughly 20% of AMC's float are sold short, with bearish investors suffering just under $2 billion in mark-to-market losses year-to-date, according to data from S3 partners.

• AstraZeneca PLC: The drugmaker’s top-selling Tagrisso drug has been approved for use in the European Union to treat patients with a type of early-stage lung cancer, the company said. The European Commission has approved the lung cancer drug as an add-on treatment for adults diagnosed early enough for the tumour to be surgically removed, and who have a mutation of the EGFR gene, the British drugmaker said. The approval was based on positive results from a late-stage trial called ADAURA, which showed Tagrisso cut the risk of the tumour growing back in patients or death by 80%. The drug is now approved to treat early-stage lung cancer in more than 50 countries, including, most recently, in the United States and China. Separately, Japan said it would consider sharing COVID-19 vaccines with other countries as a ruling party panel urged that part of its stock of AstraZeneca doses be provided to Taiwan, which hailed the move and urged a swift decision. "We think it's important to ensure fair access to safe and effective vaccines in every country and region towards achieving universal health coverage," Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Katsunobu Kato told a news conference. An AstraZeneca spokeswoman said it was up to Japan how the doses were used.

• Boeing Co: The planemaker has halted deliveries of its 787 Dreamliners, adding fresh delays for customers following a recent five-month delivery suspension due to production problems, the Wall Street Journal reported. Federal air-safety regulators have requested more information about the company's plans to address the previously identified quality lapses, the report said, citing people familiar with the matter. It was not clear how long the halt might last, according to the report. Boeing did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.

• Bristol Myers Squibb Co: The company said the U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved its oral drug Zeposia to treat adults with ulcerative colitis, a chronic inflammatory bowel disease. Bristol Myers gained the drug, approved last year for treating multiple sclerosis patients, in 2019 through its $74 billion buyout of Celgene. The European Medicines Agency is currently reviewing the marketing application for Zeposia to treat ulcerative colitis. A decision from the agency is expected in the second half of 2021, Bristol Myers said.

• ConocoPhillips: Environmental groups have condemned the Biden administration's defense of a proposed ConocoPhillips oil development in Alaska, a drilling project approved under former President Donald Trump. Climate activists had previously said they were encouraged that upon taking office in January, President Joe Biden signed an order to rejoin the Paris Accord and revoked federal permits for the Keystone XL oil pipeline. Both issues were priorities for environmental activists. However, the administration's backing of the Alaska oil drilling project on Wednesday brought scathing criticism from environmental groups. "It is a serious misstep to pass on administrative authority to constrain an out-of-control oil industry while simultaneously punting to a deadlocked Congress for climate action," John Noel, a senior climate campaigner with Greenpeace USA, told Reuters.

• Credit Suisse Group AG: Exasperation with the bank following a string of scandals is prompting Switzerland to rethink a system in which top bankers have been largely untouchable. Credit Suisse's heavy losses from the collapse of family office Archegos and the decimation of billions of client investments backed by insolvent British financier Greensill have angered regulators and triggered a rare discussion among lawmakers about fining bankers. "Bank directors don't take responsibility for their action because there is no need to. There are no real sanctions for mismanagement," said Gerhard Andrey, a Green member of the Swiss parliament. Andrey's proposals, which follow the ground-breaking British model that makes top management of financial firms directly accountable for their actions, are set to be discussed by Swiss lawmakers in the coming days. A bank spokesman said its board of directors had launched investigations that would "reflect on the broader consequences" of those events, adding that it had made management changes in investment banking and risk controls.

• Exxon Mobil Corp & State Street Corp: The asset manager voted for two of the four candidates put forward by activist hedge fund Engine No. 1 for Exxon's board, a spokesman for the Boston firm said. State Street was Exxon's third-largest investor according to its proxy statement. Late on Wednesday Exxon's largest investor Vanguard Group said it also backed two dissident nominees, details that fleshed out how Engine No. 1 was able to capture at least two board seats at the biggest U.S. oil producer. State Street spokesman Ed Patterson said via e-mail the firm voted for dissident nominees Kaisa Hietala and for Alexander Karsner, along with eight Exxon board nominees on the dissident's white proxy card.

• HSBC Holdings PLC: The bank said the United States remains key to its growth plans, a day after announcing the sale of its mass market retail U.S. banking business in a country where it has long struggled to make strong profits. HSBC's business in the United States will focus on internationally-oriented corporate customers, chief executive Noel Quinn told the lender's annual shareholder meeting in London. "The U.S. is key to our international network and an important contributor to our growth plans," Quinn said. A small group of protesters outside the meeting criticised HSBC for not forgiving poor countries' debt to allow them to better cope with the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, something charities have called on the private sector to do. HSBC did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the protests.

• Johnson & Johnson: The U.S. Food and Drug Administration and the drugmaker are expected to announce as early as Friday that contamination problems at a COVID-19 vaccine plant in Baltimore are resolved and that vaccine production can resume, the Wall Street Journal reported. The regulator is now expected to give the plant an emergency use authorization to produce COVID-19 vaccine as early as Friday, the Journal said, citing U.S. officials. As part of that arrangement to get the plant online, the United States government and J&J have tentatively agreed that about 60 million doses of J&J vaccines made at the Baltimore plant now will be cleared for use either in the United States or other countries, according to the report. The plant has produced millions of doses that were in inventory awaiting authorization, but most aren't finished and are placed in vials, the Journal said, adding it could take months before all those doses are ready for use.

• Microsoft Corp & SolarWinds Corp: The group behind the SolarWinds cyber attack identified late last year is now targeting government agencies, think tanks, consultants, and non-governmental organizations, Microsoft said. "This week we observed cyberattacks by the threat actor Nobelium targeting government agencies, think tanks, consultants, and non-governmental organizations", Microsoft said in a blog. "This wave of attacks targeted approximately 3,000 email accounts at more than 150 different organizations", Microsoft said. While organisations in the United States received the largest share of attacks, targeted victims came from at least 24 countries, Microsoft said.

• Morgan Stanley: The investment bank is buying stakes put up for sale by its partner in their China securities and mutual funds joint ventures for about $150 million, according to a statement by the partner, moving towards full ownership of the businesses. Outright ownership could allow foreign banks to expand their operations in the multitrillion-dollar Chinese financial sector, and better integrate them with their global businesses. Morgan Stanley's partner Shanghai Chinafortune said it is selling a 39% stake in Morgan Stanley Huaxin Securities, and its entire 36% stake in Morgan Stanley Huaxin Fund Management to the Wall Street bank through the Shanghai United Assets and Equity Exchange.

• Nike Inc: The company said it ended its partnership with Brazilian soccer star Neymar last year because he refused to cooperate in an investigation into sexual assault allegations leveled against him by a Nike employee. "No single set of facts emerged that would enable us to speak substantively on the matter. It would be inappropriate for Nike to make an accusatory statement without being able to provide supporting facts," the statement said. Neymar's spokeswoman said the athlete would vigorously defend himself if any claim is presented, describing the allegations as baseless and adding that the endorsement deal ended for commercial reasons. Nike said a female employee officially reported the incident to the company in 2018, coming forward in an internal forum. While Nike was prepared to investigate at that time it respected her request to keep the matter confidential and did not investigate until she expressed an interest in 2019 in legally pursuing the matter, its statement said.

• Rogers Communication Inc & Telus Corp: Canada's telecoms regulator announced it would not significantly lower the rates that small companies must pay to access the high-speed broadband networks of larger rivals, ending years of legal battles and a bid to increase competition. The Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission (CRTC) granted smaller companies access to the networks in 2016 with interim rates that they had to pay larger companies. The setup was intended to increase competition in Canada, which has among the highest internet and cellphone bills in the world, according to government studies. Canada's telecoms industry is dominated by Telus, Rogers Communications and BCE, which have 89.2% of subscribers and 90.7% of revenue, according to government figures. Telus and Rogers were not immediately available for comment.

• Ryanair Holdings PLC: Belarusian air traffic control refused a request by a Ryanair pilot to contact the airline after being told of an alleged bomb threat, leaving him with no alternative but to land in Minsk, the Irish carrier said in a letter seen by Reuters. In a letter to the Belarus transport ministry dated May 26, Ryanair Chief Executive described previous correspondence from Belarusian officials as "false and inaccurate" and said the plane had been "unlawfully diverted under false pretences". "The pilot in command was left with no alternative but to divert to Minsk, when he was advised by Minsk ATC (Air Traffic Control) that there was a credible bomb threat to the aircraft, yet Minsk ATC refused to contact Ryanair, falsely claimed that Ryanair Ops would not answer the phone," the letter said. Ryanair did not respond to an emailed request for comment.

• Sinovac Biotech Ltd: A royal academy chaired by Princess Chulabhorn, the youngest sibling of Thailand's king, said it would import 1 million doses of Sinopharm's COVID-19 vaccine next month, after the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) authorised its use. "We want to help plug in the gaps for business, schools, so they can move forward," Nithi Mahanonda, secretary-general of the Chulabhorn Royal Academy told a news briefing. The government says it will have 3 million Sinovac doses available in June. The FDA approved the Sinopharm coronavirus vaccine for emergency use.

• Total SE: Shareholders in oil and gas group voted overwhelmingly in favour of rebranding the group as TotalEnergies to reflect a shift towards renewable energy. "We want to become a sort of green energy major," Chairman and Chief Executive Patrick Pouyanne said at the company's annual shareholder meeting. He said the vote on rebranding had been almost unanimous. "Without new oil projects, global oil production is set to naturally drop by about 4% to 5% every year," Pouyanne told the shareholder meeting, while oil demand was projected to only start tailing off from 2030. "Without new oil projects, it's highly likely that oil prices would reach new highs," he said.

• Tesla Inc: Tesla's decision to drop radar sensors from two of its U.S. vehicles has cost it top safety ratings from a widely followed insurance industry group and the influential Consumer Reports magazine. The move came a day after the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) said Wednesday Tesla Model 3 and Model Y vehicles built after April 27 will no longer be labeled as having some advanced safety features after the automaker said it would transition to a camera-based Autopilot system. Tesla said its decision to ditch radar may lead to the limitation of some features such as lane-centering and parking assistance, but that software updates "in the weeks ahead" would restore these functions. Under the heading "Cabin Camera Updates", a message from Tesla shown on a vehicle's dashboard said: "The cabin camera above your rearview mirror can now detect and alert driver inattentiveness while Autopilot is engaged," according to a photo in a Tweet by Kevin Smith, who identified himself as software engineer.


INSIGHT
Three Exxon refineries top the list of U.S. polluters
Exxon Mobil's U.S. oil refineries pump out far more lung-damaging soot than similarly-sized facilities operated by rivals, according to regulatory documents and a Reuters analysis of pollution test results.


ANALYSTS' RECOMMENDATION
• Autodesk Inc: Baird raises target price to $370 from $360, after the company reported strong first-quarter results driven by growth in digital sales.

• Best buy Co Inc: Jefferies raises target price to $136 from $125, citing conservative guidance for second-half of 2021 likely to be exceeded with increasing consumer demand.

• Beyond Meat Inc: Credit Suisse raises target price to $123 from $120, citing the company’s competitive advantages in the fast-growing meat alternatives category.

• Costco Wholesale Corp: Cowen and Company raises target price to $440 from $410, reflecting on the company’s investments in infrastructure and competitive pricing practices.

• Salesforce.com Inc: Barclays raises target price to $285 from $276, following strong first-quarter results and acquisition of Slack.


ECONOMIC EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0830 (approx.) Personal income mm for Apr : Expected -14.1%; Prior 21.1%
0830 (approx.) Personal consumption real mm for Apr: Prior 3.6%
0830 (approx.) Consumption, adjusted mm for Apr : Expected 0.5%; Prior 4.2%
0830 (approx.) Core PCE Price Index mm for Apr : Expected 0.6%; Prior 0.4%
0830 (approx.) Core PCE Price Index yy for Apr : Expected 2.9%; Prior 1.8%
0830 (approx.) PCE Price Index mm for Apr : Prior 0.5%
0830 (approx.) PCE Price Index yy for Apr : Prior 2.3%
0830 (approx.) Advance goods trade balance for Apr : Prior -$90.60 bln
0830 (approx.) Wholesale inventories advance for Apr : Prior 1.3%
0830 (approx.) Retail inventories ex-auto advance for Apr : Prior 0.6%
0945 (approx.) Chicago PMI for May : Expected 68.0; Prior 72.1
1000 U Mich Sentiment Final for May : Expected 82.9; Prior 82.8
1000 U Mich Conditions Final for May : Prior 90.8
1000 U Mich Expectations Final for May : Prior 77.6
1000 (approx.) U Mich 1-year inflation final for May : Prior 4.6%
1000 (approx.) U Mich 5-year inflation final for May : Prior 3.1%
1200 (approx.) Dallas Fed PCE for Apr : Prior 2.0%


COMPANIES REPORTING RESULTS
No major S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report.


CORPORATE EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0800 Big Lots Inc: Q1 earnings conference call
0900 FARO Technologies Inc: Annual Shareholders Meeting
0900 LyondellBasell Industries NV: Annual Shareholders Meeting
1000 Caleres Inc: Q1 earnings conference call
1000 Hibbett Sports Inc: Q1 earnings conference call
1000 Lowe's Companies Inc: Annual Shareholders Meeting
1000 Solarwinds Corp: Annual Shareholders Meeting
1000 Southern Copper Corp: Annual Shareholders Meeting
1100 Afya Ltd: Q1 earnings conference call
1100 DocuSign Inc: Annual Shareholders Meeting
1200 EPR Properties: Annual Shareholders Meeting
1200 Joint Corp: Annual Shareholders Meeting
1300 Macerich Co: Annual Shareholders Meeting
1330 Medallia Inc: Annual Shareholders Meeting
1600 Old Republic International Corp: Annual Shareholders Meeting
1700 Amyris Inc: Annual Shareholders Meeting
1700 Super Micro Computer Inc: Annual Shareholders Meeting


EX-DIVIDENDS
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc: Amount $0.11
Ashland Global Holdings Inc: Amount $0.30
Associated Banc-Corp: Amount $0.18
Assurant Inc: Amount $0.66
Ball Corp: Amount $0.15
Boise Cascade Co: Amount $0.10
Borgwarner Inc: Amount $0.17
Bruker Corp: Amount $0.04
Cable One Inc: Amount $2.50
Clearway Energy Inc: Amount $0.32
Cowen Inc: Amount $0.10
eBay Inc: Amount $0.18
Element Solutions Inc: Amount $0.06
Expeditors International of Washington Inc: Amount $0.58
First Financial Bancorp: Amount $0.23
Flagstar Bancorp Inc: Amount $0.06
FNB Corp: Amount $0.12
GCM Grosvenor Inc: Amount $0.08
Goldman Sachs Group Inc: Amount $1.25
Hartford Financial Services Group Inc: Amount $0.35
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Inc: Amount $0.32
Interactive Brokers Group Inc: Amount $0.10
iStar Inc: Amount $0.12
Juniper Networks Inc: Amount $0.20
Kellogg Co: Amount $0.58
KeyCorp: Amount $0.18
L3harris Technologies Inc: Amount $1.02
La-Z-Boy Inc: Amount $0.15
Lockheed Martin Corp: Amount $2.60
Lumen Technologies Inc: Amount $0.25
M&T Bank Corp: Amount $1.10
ManpowerGroup Inc: Amount $1.26
Martin Marietta Materials Inc: Amount $0.57
Mcdonald's Corp: Amount $1.29
Mckesson Corp: Amount $0.42
MGE Energy Inc: Amount $0.37
NBT Bancorp Inc: Amount $0.27
Nike Inc: Amount $0.27
Northrop Grumman Corp: Amount $1.57
Old National Bancorp: Amount $0.14
Patrick Industries Inc: Amount $0.28
Polaris Inc: Amount $0.63
Premier Inc: Amount $0.19
Progress Software Corp: Amount $0.17
Realty Income Corp: Amount $0.23
Safety Insurance Group Inc: Amount $0.90
Silgan Holdings Inc: Amount $0.14
Sinclair Broadcast Group Inc: Amount $0.20
SS&C Technologies Holdings Inc: Amount $0.16
Stifel Financial Corp: Amount $0.15
Tradeweb Markets Inc: Amount $0.08
Trustmark Corp: Amount $0.23
Tyson Foods Inc: Amount $0.44
Ufp Industries Inc: Amount $0.15
Virtu Financial Inc: Amount $0.24
Watts Water Technologies Inc: Amount $0.26
Wendys Co: Amount $0.10

Goedemorgen,
De beurzen in Europa lagen er donderdag verdeeld bij en sluiten met weinig verschil ten opzichte van woensdag. Tot nu toe blijft de week positief maar het verschil werd maandag al gemaakt, verder is het een vrij kalme handelsweek. Beleggers blijven dus rustig en kijken dan ook duidelijk naar de ontwikkelingen rondom de oplopende inflatie die dan weer werd getemperd door de FED. De aandacht gaat dan ook vooral uit naar de economische data en de FED. Volgens sommige analisten staat de Fed op punt om te gaan overleggen over het afbouwen van een deel van de ruime monetaire steun.

We zitten nu in een fase waar we rustig moeten afwachten tot er meer duidelijkheid komt over de richting op korte termijn, de divergenties maken het extra moeilijk want hoe we het ook bekijken het was gisteren weer hetzelfde. De Dow Jones en de Dow Transport gingen makkelijk omhoog terwijl andere indices zoals de Nasdaq en de Nasdaq 100 weinig power lieten zien. Ook in Europa weinig duidelijkheid want de AEX en de DAX verloren wat maar niet veel. Een kleine correctie vanaf hun weerstand maar met weinig kracht zodat de kans op een nieuwe aanval op de topzone snel op gang kan komen. Zoals ik al enkele dagen aangeef weinig animo om hier op te handelen waardoor we rustig blijven wachten.

Het sentiment werd gisteren in eerste instantie nog gesteund door de wekelijkse steunaanvragen in de VS want die daalden afgelopen week veel sterker dan verwacht. Aan de andere kant is het zo dat men bij betere cijfers de uitlatingen van de Federal Reserve met de nodige aandacht afwacht om in te zien wanneer de geldkraan iets wordt dicht gedraaid. Hoe beter de cijfers hoe beter de economie draait en hoe minder men die moet stimuleren om zo meer inflatie te voorkomen. En zo zitten we in een vreemde situatie die aan 2 kanten trekt. Daarom weten beleggers even niet zo goed wat te doen en dat stemt overeen met mijn gedachte rondom het handelen op dit moment, het is een moeilijke fase met veel onduidelijkheid.

Resultaat dit jaar verloopt naar wens maar we blijven rustig:
Deze maand (mei) heb ik tot nu toe 3 keer met posities winst kunnen behalen, er lopen op dit moment geen posities en ik wacht op wat nieuwe mogelijkheden die er wel gaan komen zodra de markt weer een top of bodem neer weet te zetten. Bij de huidige omstandigheden ga ik in ieder geval na een herstel voor een nieuwe terugval. We staan er deze maand in ieder geval al goed voor dus ik kan voorzichtig verder, ook dit jaar loopt meer dan goed iets wat ik graag zo wil houden. Ik verwacht dat er de komende sessies wat kan worden gedaan met wat indices.

Wordt nu dus lid en volg de signalen, er komen nog hele leuke kansen dit jaar omdat ik de nodige volatiliteit verwacht op beurzen ... Zie hieronder het resultaat van deze maand per abonnement.

LET OP !! Maak nu gebruik van de aanbieding die loopt tot 1 AUGUSTUS voor €39 (Polleke Trading €49)... Via de site en dan de Tradershop kunt zich inschrijven en daar kunt u als lid meteen ook de lopende posities met alle details inzien. Ga naar de Tradershop en schrijf u meteen in ... https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop

Technische ontwikkeling markt:
We moeten nog altijd rustig afwachten omdat alles onduidelijk overkomt, er zit ook nu weer divergentie in het verloop waardoor we extra voorzichtig moeten blijven. Dat ziet u waarschijnlijk ook de afgelopen dagen en tussen die korte onvoorziene bewegingen is het vrijwel onmogelijk om wat te doen zonder groot risico.

De DAX geraakt niet boven de topzone, de Dow Jones staat nog redelijk ver onder de top terwijl de S&P 500 er een beetje tussen hangt. Verder zien we dat de Nasdaq wat aan het ophalen is maar de index staat nog steeds 500 punten onder de recordstand. Verder doen de SOX en de Dow Transport het goed de afgelopen dagen en maken duidelijk een heropleving door. Kortom, technisch bekeken zitten we nu in een lastige fase. Er komt wel redelijk snel wel wat meer duidelijkheid en geduld in deze fase blijft belangrijk ...

Overzicht markt:

Technische conditie AEX:
De AEX verliest weer wat en sluit rond de 708 punten ofwel tot rond de steun. Na enkele sessies de weerstand te hebben getest nu een stapje terug. Het valt wel op dat de AEX het even iets rustiger aandoet zodat de intraday bewegingen kleiner zijn (zo'n 5 punten). Ik hou rekening met steun rond die 708 punten, weerstand blijft de 712 punten. Mocht er toch nog een uitbraak komen en de AEX geraakt op slotbasis boven de 712 punten dan ligt de weg open richting de top 718-719 punten.

Steun nu eerst de 708, later de zone 702-703 punten en de 685-698 punten. We weten als er naar de afgelopen weken wordt gekeken dat de index bij verkoopdruk daar snel weer naartoe kan. Het 50-MA komt nu uit rond de 704 punten en blijft hoe dan ook binnen het geheel belangrijk, de index beweegt daar nu duidelijk omheen.

Technische conditie DAX:
De DAX lukt het nog altijd niet om uit te breken tot ver boven de 15.500 punten door de stevige weerstand. die we daar duidelijk zien. De zone aan de bovenkant blijft de 15.530-15.540 punten, bij een duidelijke uitbraak zou de DAX richting de 15.750 en de 15.850 punten uit kunnen breken maar dan zitten we meteen in een gebied waar er op zicht niks meer in de weg ligt. Onder die 15.500 punten letten we op de 15.400 en de 15.200-15.225 punten als eerste steunzone voor de DAX.

Het 50-MA komt nu uit rond de 15.130 punten, ook dat moeten we in de gaten blijven houden. Wat betreft de indicatoren zie ik nog altijd weinig kracht ofwel die kunnen nog niet bevestigen dat de index fors gaat uitbreken, aan de andere kant kan het nieuwe optimisme voor rare bewegingen blijven zorgen.

S&P 500 analyse:
De S&P 500 komt nu ook wat tot stilstand zien we op de grafiek waardoor de vraag blijft of de markt het zal toelaten om nog een keer de topzone op te zoeken, je zou denken dat we er bijna zijn dus het kan makkelijk maar ik moet het nog zien. Aan de andere kant blijft de S&P 500 ook dicht bij de bodemzone ofwel de oplopende steunlijn en het 50-MA die nu beiden rond dezelfde stand uitkomen. Dat niveau zien we rond de 4105-4110 punten ofwel zo'n 100 punten onder de huidige stand.

Weerstand nu de top rond de 4238 punten, later de 4275 en de 4330 punten waar de lijn over de toppen uitkomt. Steun zien we rond de 4120 en de dubbele steun rond de 4105-4110 punten . Bij de S&P 500 zien we de indicatoren zeker niet overtuigen en eerder zwak voorkomen maar de MACD kruist nu in de positieve richting. We gaan zien of er een nieuwe poging op gang komt richting de topzone.

Analyse Nasdaq:
De Nasdaq lag er redelijk sterk bij de afgelopen periode en laat zich al meerdere dagen van de goeie kant zien. De index staat nog wel ver onder de top, de slotstand van gisteren komt uit op 13.736 punten terwijl de top rond de 14.211 punten wacht, daar staan we nu nog zo'n 500 punten onder maar we weten nooit in deze markt. Vanaf de bodem van vorige week nu toch al een herstel van zo'n 650 punten wat best veel is. Een lagere top blijft mogelijk, dat kan vanaf vandaag al of in de loop van volgende week. We gaan het zien en waar het kan zal ik er een positie op nemen in ieder geval.

Weerstand nu ronde de 13.750 punten, later rond de 13.850 en de 14.000 punten. Mocht de index verder oplopen dan komt de topzone in beeld, die zien we op 14.211 punten uitkomen nu. Steun nu eerst de 13.500 en de 13.300 punten, later de bodemzone rond de 13.000 punten als steun. Hetzelfde zien we nu bij de Nasdaq 100 index en de SOX index al zie ik wel weer een positieve ontwikkeling bij de SOX index die wel heel snel herstelt nu.

Euro, olie en goud:
De euro zien we nu rond de 1.218 dollar, de prijs van een vat Brent olie komt uit op 69,4 dollar terwijl een troy ounce goud nu op 1891 dollar staat.

De LIVEBLOG en Twitter:
Via de LIVEBLOG en tussendoor ook via mijn Twitter account laat ik gedurende de dag ook wat grafiekjes met korte uitleg voorbij komen over de markt. Op Twitter kunt u mij volgen via @USMarkets dan kunt u deze snelle informatie die ik deel uiteraard ook inzien .... https://twitter.com/USMarkets , ook opvallende beursfeiten komen er vaak langs !

LET OP !! Maak nu gebruik van de aanbieding die loopt tot 1 AUGUSTUS voor €39 (Polleke Trading €49)... Via de site en dan de Tradershop kunt zich inschrijven en daar kunt u als lid meteen ook de lopende posities met alle details inzien. Ga naar de Tradershop en schrijf u meteen in ... https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop

Hieronder de resultaten van dit jaar (2021):

Met vriendelijke groet,
Guy Boscart