Liveblog Archief vrijdag 6 augustus 2021

TOP NEWS
• U.S. job growth seen strong as technical factors provide a boost
U.S. job growth likely remained robust in July amid shifts in seasonal employment at schools caused by the pandemic, which could mask some softening in underlying labor market conditions as the boost from fiscal stimulus and the economy's reopening fades.

• Amazon scores big win as India court stalls Future's $3.4 billion retail deal
India's top court handed Amazon.com a major victory in a dispute where it sought to block its partner Future Group from selling $3.4 billion in assets to rival Reliance Industries.

• Biden seeks to make half of new U.S. auto fleet electric by 2030
President Joe Biden took a step toward his goal of slashing greenhouse gas emissions on Thursday with an executive order aimed at making half of all new vehicles sold in 2030 electric, a move made with backing from the biggest U.S. automakers.

• Norwegian Cruise Line posts $718 million loss on prolonged voyage suspension
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, whose Encore ship is set to mark the company's return to sailing from U.S. ports over the weekend, reported a bigger quarterly loss as the pandemic had brought the cruise industry to a standstill.

• Beyond Meat outlook cautious due to Delta variant
Beyond Meat said on Thursday that restaurants are placing "more conservative" orders for its plant-based burgers due to uncertainty over to the Delta variant of the coronavirus, leading the company to forecast third quarter revenue below estimates. ​


BEFORE THE BELL
U.S. stock index futures traded in a tight range ahead of a closely watched employment report for the month of July. Meanwhile, European shares pared losses. In Asian equity markets, Japan's Nikkei closed higher to mark its best week in over two months on upbeat earnings, while China shares ended lower on worries over a continuing surge of new cases of COVID-19 and tightening government regulations, although they recorded their biggest weekly gain in six. Gold was pinned below the $1,800 mark as the dollar firmed. Oil prices rose, but gains were capped by worries over demand.​


STOCKS TO WATCH
Results
• American International Group Inc: The U.S. insurer beat second-quarter profit estimates on Thursday, driven by strong performance in its general insurance and life and retirement units. The company posted underwriting income of $463 million in its general insurance business in the quarter, compared with a loss of $343 million a year earlier, when it booked large losses related to the pandemic. The business saw $118 million of catastrophe losses, compared to $674 million in the prior year. Adjusted after-tax income attributable to AIG's common shareholders rose to $1.33 billion in the quarter ended June 30, from $561 million a year earlier. Excluding items, AIG earned $1.52 per share, exceeding analysts' estimates of $1.20. The company's general insurance accident year combined ratio - which excludes catastrophe losses - was 91.1 for the quarter, compared with 94.9 a year earlier.

• AngloGold Ashanti Ltd: Africa's top gold producer reported a 10% drop in headline earnings for the six months that ended June 30, compared with the first half of last year, due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and other operational parameters, the company said. Headline earnings declined to $363 million compared with $404 million posted in the same period a year earlier, it said. It declared a dividend of $0.0601 per share for the six months. Production for the first half was down to 1.2 million ounces, as against 1.32 million ounces from continuing operations for the first six months of 2020. Production for the half-year was impacted by an estimated 42,000 ounce due to COVID-19, it added.

• Beyond Meat Inc: The California-based company said on Thursday that restaurants are placing "more conservative" orders for its plant-based burgers due to uncertainty over to the Delta variant of the coronavirus, leading it to forecast third quarter revenue below estimates. The company said it expects third-quarter net revenue of $120 million to $140 million, substantially lower than analysts' estimates of $153.3 million. Widespread labor pressure delayed at least one product launch until the first part of next year, Brown said during a call with analysts. Increased restaurant sales drove overall net revenues up 31.8% to $149.4 million in the second quarter, exceeding estimates of $140.8 million. Even so, Beyond Meat also reported a bigger-than-expected loss, with earnings per share of negative $0.31 versus estimates of minus $0.24.

• Corteva Inc: The company on Thursday raised its net sales forecast for the year after strong demand for crop protection products such as herbicides and insecticides helped the agricultural company beat estimates for the second quarter. Corteva also announced a new $1.5 billion share repurchase program, in addition to a $1 billion buyback announced in 2019, which the company expects to complete by the end of 2021. Corteva forecast 2021 net sales between $15.2 billion and $15.4 billion, versus an earlier estimate of $14.6 billion to $14.8 billion. Analysts were expecting $14.82 billion. Net sales rose 8.4% to $5.63 billion in the second quarter, surpassing an estimate of $5.33 billion, while total crop protection sales jumped about 12% to $1.85 billion due to demand for its new products including Arylex herbicide and Pyraxalt insecticide.

• ING Groep NV: The company reported a better-than-expected quarterly pretax profit of 2.07 billion euros and said it plans to resume paying dividends as it reversed some provisions for bad loans taken amid the coronavirus pandemic. Analysts had forecast a pretax profit at 1.62 billion euros for the biggest Dutch bank, according analyst data. That compares with 532 million euros in pretax profit in the second quarter of 2020, at the height of pandemic lockdowns. Provisions were a negative 91 million euros, compared with 1.37 billion euros a year earlier. Fee income rose by 18% to 855 million euros, mostly in daily banking and investment products for retail customers. Net interest income declined by 2.6% to 3.34 billion euros amid continuing low interest rates.

• Livent Corp: The Lithium producer posted a better-than-expected quarterly profit on Thursday and boosted its 2021 full-year forecast on rising sales and prices for the electric vehicle battery metal. The Philadelphia-based company reported second-quarter net income of $6.5 million, or 3 cents per share, compared to a net loss of $200,000 in the year-ago period. Excluding one-time items, Livent earned 4 cents per share. By that measure, analysts expected earnings of 2 cents per share. For 2021, the company boosted its sales and earnings forecast by at least 10% and 38%, respectively, citing rising government mandates requiring EVs and other factors boosting the sector.

• MP Materials Corp: The U.S. rare earths miner posted a better-than-expected quarterly profit on Thursday on rising prices for the minerals used to make high-end electronics and weaponry. The company, which relies on China to process rare earths from its California mine, reported second-quarter profit of $27.2 million, or 15 cents per share, compared to a net loss of $62.5 million, or 92 cents per share, in the year-ago quarter when it was a private company. Excluding one-time items, MP earned 17 cents per share. By that measure, analysts expected earnings of 13 cents per share. Sales of rare earth oxides fell about 4% due in part to shipment timings, but that was offset by a 137% price increase.

• Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd: The cruise operator, whose Encore ship is set to mark the company's return to sailing from U.S. ports over the weekend, reported a bigger quarterly loss as the pandemic had brought the cruise industry to a standstill. An over yearlong suspension imposed by U.S. health officials forced cruise operators to raise billions of dollars, with some of them even pledging ships and private islands to stay afloat. "2022 booking and pricing trends continue to be very positive driven by strong pent-up demand," Norwegian Cruise said. Net loss widened to $717.8 million in the second quarter ended June 30, from a loss of $715.2 million, a year earlier.

• Zynga Inc: The mobile developer's disappointing full-year bookings forecast due to a slowdown in gaming, and announcement of a potential acquisition worth over half a billion dollars dragged it's shares 20% lower in extended trading on Thursday. The company said on Thursday it agreed to buy China's StarLark, the creator of "Golf Rival", for $525 million in a cash-and-stock deal. "FarmVille"-maker Zynga has spent billions of dollars on acquiring mobile game developers Peak, Rollic and Echtra Games to beef up its game roster after gaming skyrocketed during the COVID-19 pandemic as people stuck at home had limited entertainment options. Zynga lowered its full-year net bookings - an indicator of future revenue - to $2.8 billion from its earlier estimate of $2.9 billion, as user activity fell in the summer. Zynga's second-quarter net bookings of $712 million missed estimates of $715.2 million, according to analyst data.

Deals Of The Day
• Cornerstone OnDemand Inc: The company said on Thursday private equity firm Clearlake Capital Group would take the cloud computing and management software provider private for about $3.8 billion. Cornerstone shareholders will get $57.50 per share in cash, a premium of over 15% to the stock's last close. Cloud companies have seen a surge in demand since last year as more businesses use their services to meet demands of the switch to pandemic-induced work from home. The deal, which is expected to close in the second half of this year, has an enterprise value of about $5.2 billion. Qatalyst Partners and Centerview Partners LLC served as financial advisers to Cornerstone, while Morgan Stanley, Rothschild & Co, J.P. Morgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, Barclays, Jefferies and William Blair advised Clearlake.

• Levi Strauss & Co: The company said on Thursday it would buy apparel maker Beyond Yoga for an undisclosed amount, as it looks to expand its presence in the lucrative leggings category that boomed during the COVID-19 pandemic. Apparel retailers, including American Eagle and Abercrombie & Fitch have been ramping up their exposure to the kind of apparel that can be worn at home such as shorts and tanks, as demand for the items surged during pandemic-led lockdowns that kept people indoors. Levi Strauss said Beyond Yoga, which focuses on body positive apparel, would operate as a standalone division, and potentially contribute over $100 million to the company's net revenue in fiscal 2022.

IPO
• TypTap Insurance Inc: HCI Group said on Thursday its unit TypTap Insurance Group had confidentially submitted plans to regulators for a U.S. initial public offering (IPO). Founded in 2016, the insurtech firm provides homeowners and flood insurance in the United States. TypTap in February raised $100 million from a fund affiliated with Centerbridge Partners. The investment, representing about 11.75% of TypTap, implied a post-money valuation of about $850 million for the company. The type of valuation is a company's estimated worth after outside financing is added to its balance sheet. HCI did not provide any other details of the IPO.

In Other News
• Amazon.com Inc: India's top court handed Amazon.com a major victory in a dispute where it sought to block its partner Future Group from selling $3.4 billion in retail assets to rival Reliance Industries. A two-judge bench of the Supreme Court said that an interim decision by a Singapore arbitrator in October - that put the deal on hold after finding merit in Amazon's objections - was valid and enforceable in India. Amazon had argued that the order is binding, while Future had argued it was not. Both sides had agreed to use the Singapore arbitrator in case of disputes when Amazon invested $200 million in a unit of Future in 2019. The arbitration proceedings are still ongoing. Amazon said in a statement that it welcomed the court's ruling, adding: "We hope that this will hasten a resolution of this dispute with Future Group.”

• BHP Group Ltd: The global miner said it would spend $544 million to develop its Shenzi North oil project in the Gulf of Mexico, and approved advancing its Trion oil project in Mexico into the design and engineering phase. BHP, which is the operator of Shenzi North and holds a 72% stake in it, said the project will add two wells and underwater equipment to establish a new drill with the capacity to produce up to about 30,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. BHP also agreed to spend $258 million to identify technical issues and cost estimates for its 60%-owned Trion project, with plans to conduct an FID in calendar 2022 with the other stake holder, Mexico's state-owned petroleum firm PEMEX. "Both Shenzi North and Trion are strong growth assets for our business, providing attractive returns from relatively low carbon intensity resources," Geraldine Slattery, BHP's president of petroleum operations, said in a statement.

• Credit Suisse Group AG: Credit Suisse will repay another $400 million to investors in its Greensill-linked supply chain finance funds, the Swiss bank said. The payout is the fourth distribution so far and takes the total amount returned to investors to roughly $5.9 billion. Together with the cash that has already been distributed and cash remaining in the funds, the cash position is equivalent to approximately $6.6 billion or 66% of the funds' assets under management at the time of their suspension, the bank added. In March and April 2021, $4.8 billion was returned to investors in two installments, while another $750 million was returned to investors in July. "Liquidation proceeds will be distributed as soon as feasible until the investors receive the funds' total net collected liquidation proceeds," Credit Suisse's' asset management arm said on Friday.

• Didi Global Inc: The ride-hailing service is considering giving up control of its valuable data as part of efforts to resolve a Chinese regulatory probe, Bloomberg News reported, citing people familiar with the matter. Days after Didi's market debut, China's cyberspace regulator launched an investigation into the company and asked it to stop registering new users, citing national security and the public interest. Didi, which listed in New York recently after raising $4.4 billion in an initial public offering, has put forth proposals to appease the regulator, including conceding management of its data to a private third party, the report said. Regulators have also shown a preference for the third party to be state-controlled, Bloomberg said, citing a source.

• Duolingo Inc: The company said late on Thursday it was aware that its popular Duolingo language learning app was no longer available for download on some app stores in China. Its removal from the Chinese app stores comes after Beijing last month issued rules barring curriculum-based tutoring for profit and barred foreign investment in the sector, dealing a blow to the country's $120 billion private tutoring industry. Duolingo could not be downloaded on Android app stores operated by companies such as Huawei and Tencent. It was still available on Apple's Chinese app store. "We are working to address the issue and are hopeful that the app will be reinstated in the near term," Pittsburgh-based Duolingo said. "In the meanwhile, existing users in China can continue to use the app as they always do."

• Facebook Inc: The U.S. Federal Trade Commission criticized Facebook on Thursday for making "misleading claims" to explain why it had disabled the accounts of researchers studying political ads on the social media platform. Facebook said on Tuesday it had cut off the personal accounts and access of the New York University researchers because of concerns about other users' privacy. Facebook had initially said that the decision was made out of a need for the social media giant to live up to a consent agreement with the Federal Trade Commission. But Facebook spokesman Joe Osborne later told Wired that the consent decree was not a reason to disable the researchers' accounts. Instead, the decree required the creation of rules for a privacy program, which is what he said the researchers had violated. The FTC posted a letter to Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg saying that it was "inaccurate" that the company's actions were required under the 2019 consent decree.

• Freedom Acquisition I Corp: Former Credit Suisse CEO Tidjane Thiam's blank-check company is in merger talks with Mexican fintech group Credijusto and Latin American corporate data provider CIAL Dun & Bradstreet, the Financial Times reported. The combined Credijusto-CIAL entity could be valued at around $1.5 billion and will be listed in New York later this year, the report said, citing people familiar with the matter. The special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) is also in discussions with new and existing investors about investing more money in the deal through the private investment in public equity (PIPE) route, as per the report. The combined company would have operations in 43 countries and, once the deal is complete, it will be expanded to other parts of the world such as the United States, Africa and the Middle East, FT said.

• Johnson & Johnson: The company's COVID-19 vaccine is working well in South Africa, offering protection against severe disease and death, the co-head of a trial in the country said. The J&J vaccine was administered to healthcare workers from mid-February in a research study, which was completed in May, with 477,234 health workers vaccinated, joint lead investigator Glenda Gray told a media briefing. Gray said the single-shot J&J vaccine offered 91% to 96.2% protection against death, while offering 67% efficacy against infection when the Beta coronavirus variant dominates and about 71% when the Delta variant dominates. Separately, the company also said that it had applied for an emergency use approval of its single-shot COVID-19 vaccine with Indian authorities on Aug. 5.

• Li Auto Inc: The Chinese electric vehicle maker is targetting raising $1.52 billion in its Hong Kong dual primary listing at HK$118 per share, said three sources with direct knowledge of the matter. The offer, which was flagged to investors, is at a 3.2% discount to the $31.35 closing price of the company's American Depository Receipts (ADRs) on Thursday in the United States. Li Auto declined to comment. The sources could not be identified as the information has not yet been made public. Li Auto is selling 100 million shares in the deal which was launched in Hong Kong on Tuesday. The company has a so-called greenshoe option to sell a further 15 million shares that could raise an additional $227.5 million that would take the total size of the deal to $1.74 billion.

• Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd: The company heads to federal court in a battle that pits it's plan for returning to the seas against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis's vow to oppose COVID-19 "vaccine passports." Norwegian plans to make its first post-pandemic departure from Miami, the main port for Caribbean cruises, on Aug. 15. As part of its plan to guard against a COVID-19 outbreak, it will require passengers to prove they have been vaccinated. Banning anyone who refuses to prove their vaccine status will run afoul of Florida's law, which forbids businesses, government entities and schools from requiring proof of COIVD-19 immunity in return for a service. The law has certain exceptions, such as for healthcare. The ban on "vaccine passports" took effect on July 1 and Norwegian faces a fine of up to $5,000 for each violation.

• Novavax Inc: The drugmaker on Thursday again delayed its timeline for seeking U.S. authorization for its two-dose COVID-19 vaccine but expects to become a major distributor to lower and middle-income countries this year. It had previously said it would seek emergency use authorization (EUA) from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration in the third quarter of 2021 but now expects to file in the fourth quarter. "It's a matter of getting validation work done" to demonstrate consistency in the vaccine's manufacturing process to the FDA, said Chief Executive Officer Stanley Erck during an interview with Reuters. He added that other countries' regulators have been more aggressive in moving Novavax's vaccine through the authorization process. The company said it has filed for regulatory authorization for its shot in India, Indonesia and the Philippines.

• Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras: Brazil's Federal Audit Court (TCU) says there is a risk of fuel shortages in regional markets as a result of the sales of assets by the state-controlled oil company, according to a statement on the court's website. The TCU said it found a risk of shortages in an audit of the federal government's plans to reorganize Brazil's fuel market following the sale of the company's refineries. Petrobras said adjustments in the refining market were to be expected as it advances in its divestment plan and the market is opened up to competition. Petrobras plans to sell all of its refineries outside the states of Rio de Janeiro and Sao Paulo, as part of a broad plan to open up the Brazilian refining market to more investment and competition.

• Procter & Gamble Co: The consumer goods giant said on Thursday activist investor Nelson Peltz would step down from the company's board at the end of his term later this year. The company appointed the founder of Trian Fund Management to its board in 2018, following a bitter months-long proxy fight - the biggest ever involving a U.S. company at the time. During the fight, the hedge fund manager had advocated for a break-up of the company and even a shift out of its Cincinnati headquarters, both issues that he later relented on. Trian has sold some of its stake in P&G since 2017. "P&G has created tremendous value for all stakeholders since 2017," Peltz said in a statement on Thursday.

• Sunrun Inc: The pioneering rooftop solar company's founder Lynn Jurich on Thursday said she would step down as chief executive at the end of the month. Jurich, the most high-profile woman in the U.S. solar industry, is leaving the position after nearly a decade in the top job. On her watch, Sunrun transformed from a scrappy startup in a niche industry into a publicly traded company with 600,000 customers. But the company is not profitable, and the announcement came on the same day Sunrun reported a net loss of $213.4 million in the second quarter of this year. Its shares have fallen nearly 24% this year. Mary Powell, the former CEO of Vermont utility Green Mountain Power and a Sunrun board member, will replace her. The company said it considered both internal and external candidates for the role.

• Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc: The spaceship company said it will open ticket sales on Thursday for space flights starting at $450,000 a seat, weeks after billionaire founder Richard Branson's high-profile trip to the edge of space. Branson soared more than 50 miles above the New Mexico desert aboard a Virgin Galactic rocket plane on July 11 and safely returned in the vehicle's first fully crewed test flight to space, a symbolic milestone for a venture he started 17 years ago. In June, Virgin Galactic received approval from the U.S. aviation safety regulator to fly people to space. The company said it will have three consumer offerings - a single seat, a multi-seat package and a full-flight buy out. Sales will initially open to the company's significant list of "early hand-raisers", it said.

• Weibo Corp: China's Twitter-like Sina Weibo said it would take down an online list that ranks celebrities by popularity after state media said social media platforms ought to rein in the promotion of celebrity culture to protect children. The announcement came hours after the state-owned People's Daily published an editorial criticising platforms that prioritize traffic and create celebrities out of "unworthy" individuals, who can draw attention and money from fans. It did not name any companies. Weibo said its decision to take down the "star power list", which ranked celebrities based on the popularity of their social posts and number of followers, was partly due to the "irrational support" some fans were showing for celebrities.


ANALYSIS
CEOs and central bankers talk past each other on inflation
The bosses of top multinationals are fretting about rising inflation but the very people responsible for keeping price growth in check - central bankers - seem unfazed. Even as policymakers at the U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and elsewhere diverge on how quickly to wind down massive pandemic stimulus programmes, they agree on one thing: the recent surge in inflation is not a major concern.


ANALYSTS' RECOMMENDATION
• Albemarle Corp: Jefferies raises target price to $260 from $216, saying continued strength in lithium and positive trends in electronics and construction end-markets for bromine will continue to drive the company operating performance in 2021.

• Dropbox Inc: RBC raises price target to $38 from $35, after the company reported a solid second quarter.

• Cigna Corp: Cantor Fitzgerald cuts target price to $250 from $284, citing the company’s disappointing medical loss ratio in the second quarter.


ECONOMIC EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0830 (approx.) Non-farm payrolls for July: Expected 870,000; Prior 850,000
0830 (approx.) Private payrolls for July: Expected 700,000; Prior 662,000
0830 (approx.) Manufacturing payrolls for July: Expected 25,000; Prior 15,000
0830 (approx.) Government payrolls for July: Prior 188,000
0830 (approx.) Unemployment rate for July: Expected 5.7%; Prior 5.9%
0830 (approx.) Average earnings mm for July: Expected 0.3%; Prior 0.3%
0830 (approx.) Average earnings yy for July: Expected 3.8%; Prior 3.6%
0830 (approx.) Average workweek hours for July: Expected 34.7 hrs; Prior 34.7 hrs
0830 (approx.) Labor force participation for July: Prior 61.6%
0830 (approx.) U6 underemployment for July: Prior 9.8%
1000 (approx.) Wholesale inventory R mm for June: Expected 0.8%; Prior 0.8%
1000 (approx.) Wholesale sales mm for June: Expected 0.8%; Prior 0.8%
1500 (approx.) Consumer credit for June: Expected $23.00 bln; Prior $35.28 bln


COMPANIES REPORTING RESULTS
Dominion Energy Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of 77 cents per share


CORPORATE EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0800 Twist Bioscience Corp: Q3 earnings conference call
0800 Vontier Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 American International Group Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Draftkings Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 ITT Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 j2 Global Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Lear Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Neogenomics Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Qurate Retail Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Texas Pacific Land Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 TripAdvisor Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Vimeo Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Corteva Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 MasTec Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Post Holdings Inc: Q3 earnings conference call
0900 Primerica Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Select Medical Holdings Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Stericycle Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Alliant Energy Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Ameren Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Dominion Energy Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Icahn Enterprises LP: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 International Flavors & Fragrances Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Liberty Media Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Ventas Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Voya Financial Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1100 American Homes 4 Rent: Q2 earnings conference call
1100 Flowserve Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1100 National Fuel Gas Co: Q3 earnings conference call
1100 Regency Centers Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1115 Liberty Broadband Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1230 MGM Growth Properties LLC: Q2 earnings conference call


EX-DIVIDENDS
Ameriprise Financial Inc: Amount $1.13
Apple Inc: Amount $0.22
Capital One Financial Corp: Amount $0.60
Healthpeak Properties Inc: Amount $0.30
Hess Midstream LP: Amount $0.50
Landstar System Inc: Amount $0.25
National Instruments Corp: Amount $0.27
Norfolk Southern Corp: Amount $1.09
Santander Consumer USA Holdings Inc: Amount $0.22
United States Steel Corp: Amount $0.01
W W Grainger Inc: Amount $1.62

Wall Street laat via de SP 500, de Nasdaq en de Nasdaq 100 nieuwe records zien. De Dow Jones kende ook een sterke dag terwijl de SOX index met verlies moest afsluiten. In Europa zet de DAX een stap richting de hoogste stand ooit terwijl de AEX en de CAC 40 weer een nieuw record neerzetten. De AEX en de CAC 40 doen dat nu al voor de 4e sessie op rij.

Update 6 augustus:
De S&P 500, de Nasdaq Composite en de Nasdaq 100 zetten donderdag een nieuw recordslot neer. De Dow Jones sluit 0,78% hoger tot net boven de 35.000 punten (35.064) terwijl de S&P 500 0,6% won ofwel 26,5 punten om op een nieuwe recordstand te sluiten dat op 4.429 punten uitkomt. Ook de Nasdaq Composite won 0,8% ofwel 114,5 punten om op een nieuw record de dag af te sluiten, de hoogste slotstand ooit zien we nu op 14.895 punten. De Nasdaq 100 sluit ook af op een nieuwe All Time High die uitkomt op 15.181 punten, een plus van 98 punten donderdag. De Russell 2000-index won 1,8% terwijl de Dow Transport met 1,25% opliep. Toch een verliezer deze keer, de SOX index sluit 0,35% lager deze keer en was een van de weinige indices die in het rood de sessie afsluit.

De markt blijft ons bezighouden met de nodige vragen, de ene dag zie je een daling omdat men wat gaat twijfelen over de economie terwijl de dag erop alles weer omhoog gaat op Wall Street omdat men plots de meer gevoelige sectoren gaat opzoeken die als eerste zullen herstellen na een economische dip. Simpel samengevat, aan de ene kant is men wat angstig om in de markt te blijven door dat er een economische DIP aan zit te komen maar aan de andere kant is men nu al aandelen aan het kopen voor na de DIP? Tenminste, zo lees ik het allemaal de dag van vandaag, de markten blijven vreemd en daar moeten we mee om zien te gaan.

Beleggers wachten vandaag in ieder geval op het maandelijkse banenrapport dat om 14:30 naar buiten komt, dat zal vooral weer de meningen aansturen over hoe lang het opkoop programma van de Federal Reserve nog kan doorgaan. Dus een slecht cijfers kan de markt weer omhoog sturen door de verwachtingen dat de FED langer zal opkopen, een goed cijfer zal beleggers doen denken dat het allemaal weer wat beter gaat. Niks is vanzelfsprekend maar beide scenario's kunnen de markten weer hoger sturen puur op hoop.

Economen gepolst door The Wall Street Journal verwachten dat er in juli 845.000 banen werden gecreëerd. Of dat ook zo zal zijn moeten we afwachten. Zelf zitten amper in de markt nu, ik ben op zoek naar een momentum om wat nieuwe posities op te nemen. Meedoen kan door lid te worden via de nieuwe aanbieding voor €35 die loopt tot 1 oktober ...

Europa hoger met records voor de AEX en de CAC 40:
Europa blijft sterk liggen, de DAX doet nu ook mee maar geraakt in tegenstelling tot de AEX en de CAC 40 nog niet tot een recordslot. De AEX begon sterk maar moest richting het slot toch wat terug, de index zet een top neer op 771,56 punten maar het slot komt uit op 768,23 punten. De DAX won 52 punten om op 15.745 punten te sluiten terwijl de CAC 40 een nieuw record neerzet op 6781 punten te sluiten. De index won donderdag 35 punten en zet nu voor de 4e sessie op rij een nieuw recordslot neer

Maand JULI sluiten we goed af:
Meedoen met US Markets Trading kan uiteraard door lid te worden, de maand juli werd met een mooie winst afgerond vorige week. Ik blijf rustig en hou me aan het plan voor de komende periode, rustig naar kansen zoeken en waar het kan wat posities opnemen. Als u de signalen wilt ontvangen wordt dan vandaag nog lid via de nieuwe aanbieding voor €35 die loopt tot 1 oktober ...

Hieronder ziet u het resultaat voor de maand JULI, het werd voor de 8e maand op rij winst via alle signaaldiensten. Bij Guy Trading kijk ik ook naar wat aandelen waar we wat mee kunnen doen. Schrijf u dus op tijd in, ik zal snel weer een momentum kiezen om in te stappen met een paar posities op indexen.

De nieuwe aanbieding loopt tot 1 OKTOBER en dat voor €35 (Polleke Trading €45 en COMBI-Trading voor €75). Inschrijven kan via de link https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop

Hieronder het resultaat van deze maand (JULI) en dit jaar (2021):

Marktoverzicht:

Technische conditie AEX:
De AEX zet opnieuw een hogere top neer met een recordslot op 768,23 punten en een absoluut record op 771,5 punten. De index sluit deze keer 2 punten hoger en het is record nummer 4 op rij deze week. Het verdere verloop zal vooral afhangen van hoe de andere markten zoals Wall Street zich zullen gedragen de komende sessies, komen er meer records? Of staat de top er dan eindelijk een keer voor een tijdje?

Steun blijft nu eerst de 749-750 punten met later de zone 736-738 punten want we zien daar de oude toppen uitkomen. Later steun net onder de 730 punten, daarna de reeks recente bodems tussen de 717 en de 720 punten. Denk eraan dat het snel kan gaan en zeker als de markt zich zal corrigeren en zodra ASML met een soort acceleratie omlaag zal volgen. Zeker als de tech aandelen het een keer opgeven en daarbij ook de SOX index.

Weerstand zien we nu rond de 768-670 punten, bij een verdere uitbraak kansen richting de 775 punten en de 785 punten.

Technische conditie DAX:
De DAX komt nu een eind boven de belangrijke grens 15.500-15.550 punten maar deze zone blijft als een soort magneet werken in beide richtingen. De steun blijft daardoor nog altijd de 15.500-15.550 punten zone, later zien we de 15.400 en de 15.300 punten als steun.

Weerstand wordt nu de topzone rond de 15.800 punten. Bij de DAX ziet alles er wel wat zwakker uit dan bij de AEX en de CAC 40 en het is de vraag of de DAX verder kan inhalen of gaan de andere indices beginnen met in te leveren.

S&P 500 analyse:
De S&P 500 zet na de daling van woensdag weer een inhaalbeweging in met weer een record op slotbasis. De index geraakt nu tot 4429,1 punten.

Steun zien we nu eerst rond de 4380 punten, later komen de 4355 en de 4325 punten in beeld als steun. Verder zien we dat de oplopende steunlijn samen met het 50-daags gemiddelde nu rond de 4300 punten uitkomen. Later nog de 4250 punten als steun door de vorige toppen die we zien in mei en juni.

Weerstand zien we rond de 4450 punten en als er een uitbraak komt letten we op de 4475 en de 4500 punten.

Analyse Nasdaq:
De Nasdaq zet ook een nieuw record neer maar blijft dicht bij de topzone hangen waar we een zware weerstand zien uitkomen met een reeks toppen. Nu weerstand rond de 14.900 en de 15.000 punten, later de 15.150 en de 15.250 punten als weerstand.

Steun nu eerst de 14.800 punten, later de 14.600, de 14.400 en de oude toppen rond de 14.210 punten. Het 50-daags gemiddelde zien we nu rond de 14.360 punten uitkomen.

Euro, olie en goud:
De euro zien we nu rond de 1,183 dollar, de prijs van een vat Brent olie komt uit op 71,8 dollar terwijl een troy ounce goud nu op 1803 dollar staat.

De LIVEBLOG en Twitter:
Via de LIVEBLOG en tussendoor ook via mijn Twitter account laat ik gedurende de dag ook wat grafiekjes met korte uitleg voorbij komen over de markt. Op Twitter kunt u mij volgen via @USMarkets dan kunt u deze snelle informatie die ik deel uiteraard ook inzien .... https://twitter.com/USMarkets , ook opvallende beursfeiten komen er vaak langs !

Met vriendelijke groet,
Guy Boscart