Liveblog Archief donderdag 4 augustus 2022

TOP NEWS

China fires missiles into waters off Taiwan in largest ever drills
China fired multiple missiles around Taiwan, launching unprecedented military drills a day after a visit by U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi to the self-ruled island that Beijing regards as its sovereign territory.

• Eli Lilly cuts annual profit forecast for second time
Eli Lilly cut its full-year profit forecast for the second time after reporting a near one-third slump in quarterly profit on Thursday, hurt by lower prices of insulin and competition for its cancer drug, Alimta.

• Alibaba revenue beats despite flat growth due to COVID lockdown
China's Alibaba Group beat market expectations for revenue in the quarter ending late June, even though growth was flat for the first time ever due to the impact of COVID-19 lockdown.

• Cigna raises forecast after quarterly profit beats on lower costs
Cigna joined peers in raising its annual profit forecast after its quarterly earnings beat estimates, as a slow recovery in non-urgent medical procedures helps insurers rein in medical expenses.

• Citigroup's Russia exposure climbs on rouble surge
Citigroup said its total exposure to Russia rose by $500 million in the second quarter due to a rise in the value of the rouble.


BEFORE THE BELL
Wall Street futures were in the green as worries over the visit of U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi to Taiwan eased. In Asian markets, Japan's Nikkeiand China's stocks ended higher. European shares rose following strong corporate results. Gold prices strengthened, and the dollar edged lower. Oil prices rose as the market weighed tight supply against demand fears. Trade deficit and initial jobless claims data are scheduled for release later in the day.


STOCKS TO WATCH

Results
• Alibaba Group Holding Ltd: The company beat market expectations for revenue in the quarter ending late June, even though growth was flat for the first time ever due to the impact of COVID-19 lockdown. Revenue stood at 205.56 billion yuan in the quarter, compared to analysts' average expectation of 203.19 billion yuan. Net income attributable to ordinary shareholders for the quarter ended June 30 was 22.74 billion yuan, compared to 45.14 billion yuan, a year earlier.

• APA Corp, Marathon Oil Corp & Ovintiv Inc: U.S. shale producers continued a streak of returning more cash to shareholders this week on the back of higher oil prices, despite criticism from lawmakers and other officials that they are reaping excessive profits at the expense of consumers. Marathon Oil said it returned some $816 million to shareholders during the quarter, while rival Ovintiv returned roughly $200 million during the second quarter and said it expects to almost double that during the current quarter. APA reported a second-quarter profit that nearly tripled. Net income rose to $926 million, or $2.71 a share, in the quarter, from $316 million, or 82 cents per share, a year earlier. Ovintiv reported after-tax earnings of $1.36 billion, or $5.21 per share, blowing past Wall Street estimates of $2.82 per share. Marathon Oil reported adjusted net income of $934 million, or 1.32 cents per share, topping analysts' forecast of $1.26.

• Apollo Global Management Inc: The company reported a 13% rise in second-quarter earnings, as income from its annuities provider Athene more than compensated for a decline in asset sales amid a slowdown in dealmaking. Apollo recorded an adjusted net income of $566 million in the three months to June 30, up from $501.8 million a year ago. This missed the average analyst estimate of $655.5 million of adjusted net income. For its quarterly fund performance, Apollo said its private equity portfolio depreciated by 4.9%. Its corporate credit and structured credit funds fell 4.1% and 5.3%, respectively.

• Booking Holdings Inc: The online travel agency said growth moderated at the start of the current quarter as global flight cancellations and long waits at airports deterred pandemic-weary travelers. Shares of the company fell in the extended trade, highlighting higher hopes from investors on capturing demand for what is expected to be a blockbuster summer travel season. The company, which reported a 57% increase in gross travel bookings, saw higher international reservations as consumers traveled to their favorite tourist spots in Europe and North America. Revenue for the quarter ended June 30 rose to $4.29 billion, but missed analysts' estimate of $4.32 billion.

• Cigna Corp: The company joined peers in raising its annual profit forecast after its quarterly earnings beat estimates, as a slow recovery in non-urgent medical procedures helps insurers rein in medical expenses.​The insurer now expects full-year adjusted earnings of at least $22.90 per share, compared with its previous forecast of $22.60 per share. Quarterly net income attributable to shareholders rose more than 6% to $1.56 billion, or $4.90 per share.

• EBay Inc: The company beat second-quarter earnings estimates on Wednesday as the e-commerce company's focus on selling luxury products tempered the hit from a slowdown in consumer spending and weakness in some European markets. The company forecast a fall in current-quarter revenue but the figure still came in above Wall Street targets. It maintained annual sales estimates at $9.6 billion to $9.9 billion. The company lowered its full-year guidance for gross merchandise value (GMV) to between $72.7 billion and $74.7 billion, from $73.2 billion to $75.2 billion earlier. GMV, a key industry gauge, is the total value of goods sold on the marketplace.

• Eli Lilly and Co: The company cut its full-year profit forecast for the second time after reporting a near one-third slump in quarterly profit, hurt by lower prices of insulin and competition for its cancer drug, Alimta. Eli Lilly cut its 2022 adjusted profit forecast to $7.90 to $8.05 per share from $8.15 to $8.30 per share announced in April. Lilly's net income fell to $952.5 million, or $1.05 per share, in the second quarter ended June 30, from $1.39 billion, or $1.53 per share, a year earlier. Separately, the company said on Wednesday it plans to make its COVID-19 antibody drug commercially available to U.S. states as well as hospitals and other healthcare providers from August.

• MercadoLibre Inc: The South American e-commerce giant reported on Wednesday that its second-quarter net income rose 79.8% year-on-year, beating earnings forecasts. The company, present in 18 countries including Brazil, Mexico and Colombia, reported a net income for the three-month period of $123 million, beating a Refinitiv forecast of $98.9 million. The company's net revenue rose 56.5% in constant currency and 52.5% in dollars to $2.6 billion as it registered growth in revenues from its commerce and fintech sectors.

• MetLife Inc: The U.S. insurer reported a 22% fall in quarterly profit on Wednesday as weaker investment returns offset gains from rising premiums. Overall net investment income fell by 32% to $3.58 billion, hurt by changes in the estimated fair value of certain securities. That led to a 16% fall in total revenues to $15.56 billion in the three months ended June 30. Adjusted earnings of the insurer's Latin America business saw a 175% jump, however, partially offsetting a 13% decline in its U.S. business and a 26% slump in Asia.

• Nutrien Ltd: The company beat second-quarter profit estimates on Wednesday, fueled by soaring prices of crop nutrients which more than offset higher natural gas costs and lower sales volumes. However, the fertilizer producer lowered its full-year adjusted profit forecast as it expects higher natural gas costs to hurt its nitrogen business. Nutrien said it now expects 2022 adjusted earnings between $15.80 and $17.80 per share, compared with its previous expectation of $16.20 to $18.70. Net earnings for the reported quarter more than tripled to a record $3.60 billion, or $6.51 a share.

• Plains All American Pipeline LP: The company on Wednesday raised its 2022 profit forecast for the second time this year, and said it expects strong demand on its pipelines carrying U.S. shale oil to the Gulf Coast. The pipeline operator increased full-year adjusted earnings guidance by $100 million to about $2.38 billion, as it expects higher crude and natural gas liquids volumes. Plains' adjusted second quarter net income allocated to common unitholders rose 29% to $210 million.

• Thomson Reuters Corp: The news and information company reported higher second-quarter operating profit and raised its full year revenue forecast. The parent company of Reuters News reported adjusted earnings of 60 cents a share. Analysts, on average, had expected 53 cents a share. Total revenues rose 5% in the quarter to $1.61 billion, matching Wall Street estimates.

• Toyota Motor Corp: The company's profit slumped a worse-than-expected 42% in its first quarter as the Japanese automaker was squeezed between supply constraints and rising costs. Operating profit for the three months ended June 30 sank to 578.66 billion yen from 997.4 billion yen in the same period a year ago, Toyota said, capping a tough period. The automaker said rising material prices cost it 315 billion yen. Toyota lifted its full-year net profit outlook by 4% to 2.36 trillion yen, helped by the weakness of the yen, which means sales booked in overseas currencies become more valuable.

In Other News
• Boeing Co: The Federal Aviation Administration's acting chief will meet with FAA safety inspectors in South Carolina before determining whether Boeing can resume deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner after production issues prompted the planemaker to stop deliveries in May 2021, an FAA spokesman said. The purpose of acting Administrator Billy Nolen's visit "is to ensure that the FAA is satisfied that Boeing has taken the appropriate steps to improve manufacturing quality and to guarantee the autonomy of workers who ensure regulatory compliance on the company’s assembly lines," the FAA said.

• Citigroup Inc: The company said its total exposure to Russia rose by $500 million in the second quarter due to a rise in the value of the rouble. The Wall Street bank disclosed $8.4 billion in Russia exposure as of June 30, compared with $7.9 billion at the end of the first quarter. Citi said it had cut down on loans and cash on deposits in the country, particularly those from its institutional clients group, but that was offset by the rouble's more than 40% surge in the quarter.

• Occidental Petroleum Corp: The company plans to use the bonanza from high oil and gas prices to accelerate debt payments and cash distribution to shareholders but will not raise oil production, Chief Executive Vicki Hollub said on Wednesday. "We don't feel the need to grow production until we get beyond that point," Hollub told analysts on a webcast to discuss second quarter earnings. "Because we feel like one of the best values right now is investment in our own stock." The Permian basin this year should deliver around 521,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boed) for the company, from around 532,000 boed projected in May, it said.

• Walmart Inc: The company is cutting hundreds of corporate roles in a restructuring effort, the Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday, citing people familiar with the matter. Around 200 jobs are being cut, the WSJ said, adding that the retailer notified employees in its Bentonville, Arkansas headquarters and other corporate offices of its restructuring move. "We're updating our structure and evolving select roles to provide clarity and better position the company for a strong future," Walmart spokesperson Anne Hatfield told Reuters in an emailed statement. The company is also investing and creating jobs in eCommerce, technology, health & wellness sectors, she said.


FOCUS
Chip makers have a message for car makers: Your turn to pay
The shortages of computer chips that forced global automakers to scrap production plans for millions of cars over the past two years are easing - at a new and permanent cost to the car companies.


ANALYSTS' RECOMMENDATION
• Booking Holdings Inc: Piper Sandler cuts target price to $2,050 from $2,500, saying the company’s monthly room nights cadence suggests a deceleration in July from May, indicating slow travel growth.

• CVS Health Corp: JPMorgan raises target price to $130 from $120, following the company’s strong second-quarter results.

• Dish Network Corp: Cowen and Company raises target price to $48 from $46, citing the shift in the company’s management strategy from defense to offense.

• GXO Logistics Inc: Credit Suisse raises target price to $63 from $62, after the company’s second-quarter results beat estimates.

• Stonex Group Inc: Jefferies raises target price to $101 from $89, following the company’s robust third-quarter results.


ECONOMIC EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0830 International trade for June: Expected -$80.1 bln; Prior -$85.6 bln
0830 Goods trade balance (R) for June: Prior -$98.18 bln
0830 Initial jobless claims: Expected 259,000; Prior 256,000
0830 Jobless claims 4-week average: Prior 249,250
0830 Continued jobless claims: Expected 1.370 mln; Prior 1.359 mln


COMPANIES REPORTING RESULTS
AES Corp: Expected Q2 earnings of 31 cents per share
Alliant Energy Corp: Expected Q2 earnings of 58 cents per share
Ameren Corp: Expected Q2 earnings of 83 cents per share
Amgen Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of $4.40 per share
Consolidated Edison Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of 59 cents per share
Corteva Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of $1.47 per share
EOG Resources Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of $2.63 per share
Expedia Group Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of $1.56 per share
Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of $3.35 per share
Intercontinental Exchange Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of $1.27 per share
Kellogg Co: Expected Q2 earnings of $1.05 per share
Live Nation Entertainment Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of 51 cents per share
Monster Beverage Corp: Expected Q2 earnings of 70 cents per share
Motorola Solutions Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of $1.87 per share
NortonLifeLock Inc: Expected Q1 earnings of 43 cents per share
NRG Energy Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of 65 cents per share
Parker-Hannifin Corp: Expected Q4 earnings of $4.67 per share
Public Storage: Expected Q2 earnings of $2.54 per share
Regency Centers Corp: Expected Q2 earnings of 45 cents per share
Republic Services Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of $1.18 per share
Sempra Energy: Expected Q2 earnings of $1.76 per share
Skyworks Solutions Inc: Expected Q3 earnings of $2.35 per share
Ventas Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of 01 cents per share
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of $3.48 per share
Warner Bros Discovery Inc: Expected Q2 earnings of 01 cents per share


CORPORATE EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
0800 ABIOMED Inc: Q1 earnings conference call
0800 Bausch + Lomb Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
0800 Becton Dickinson and Co: Q3 earnings conference call
0800 Change Healthcare Inc: Q1 earnings conference call
0800 Choice Hotels International Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0800 Datadog Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0800 Epam Systems Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0800 Equitable Holdings Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0800 Ingersoll Rand Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0800 Intellia Therapeutics Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0800 Lantheus Holdings Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0800 New Fortress Energy Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0800 Royalty Pharma PLC: Q2 earnings conference call
0800 Wayfair Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0800 Yeti Holdings Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Air Products and Chemicals Inc: Q3 earnings conference call
0830 Allegro Microsystems Inc: Annual Shareholders Meeting
0830 ANSYS Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Blue Owl Capital Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 CBRE Group Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Cigna Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Crocs Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Dun & Bradstreet Holdings Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Fidelity National Information Services Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Intercontinental Exchange Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Iron Mountain Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 ITT Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Organon & Co: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Paramount Global: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Playtika Holding Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Stevanato Group SpA: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Texas Pacific Land Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
0830 Westrock Co: Q3 earnings conference call
0830 Zoetis Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Albemarle Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Allstate Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Bio-Techne Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
0900 Eli Lilly and Co: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 EnLink Midstream LLC: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Evergy Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Life Storage Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Marathon Oil Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 MetLife Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Murphy Oil Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 NRG Energy Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 OGE Energy Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Penn National Gaming Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Quanta Services Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 Sotera Health Co: Q2 earnings conference call
0900 UGI Corp: Q3 earnings conference call
0900 Valvoline Inc: Q3 earnings conference call
0900 Watts Water Technologies Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
0930 Kellogg Co: Q2 earnings conference call
0930 Ralph Lauren Corp: Annual Shareholders Meeting
0930 Spirit Realty Capital Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 ADT Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Advanced Drainage Systems Inc: Q1 earnings conference call
1000 Atmos Energy Corp: Q3 earnings conference call
1000 Chord Energy Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Civitas Resources Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Constellation Energy Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Curtiss-Wright Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Duke Energy Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Enviva Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Host Hotels & Resorts Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Lincoln National Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Nexstar Media Group Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Ormat Technologies Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Ovintiv Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Owl Rock Capital Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Rayonier Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Selective Insurance Group Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 SM Energy Co: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Vulcan Materials Co: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Wesco International Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1000 Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1100 Amerco: Q1 earnings conference call
1100 American Campus Communities Inc: Shareholders Meeting
1100 APA Corp (US): Q2 earnings conference call
1100 Ball Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1100 Black Hills Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1100 Essential Utilities Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1100 Middleby Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1100 Parker-Hannifin Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1100 PDC Energy Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1100 Targa Resources Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1100 Tetra Tech Inc: Q3 earnings conference call
1130 American Financial Group Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1130 Howmet Aerospace Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1200 ConocoPhillips: Q2 earnings conference call
1200 RBC Bearings Inc: Q1 earnings conference call
1200 Royal Gold Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1200 Sempra Energy: Q2 earnings conference call
1200 STORE Capital Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1300 Arrow Electronics Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1400 Ares Capital Corp: Shareholders Meeting
1400 Mdu Resources Group Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1400 Switch Inc: Shareholders Meeting
1400 Western Midstream Partners LP: Q2 earnings conference call
1430 Realty Income Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc: Q3 earnings conference call
1630 Expedia Group Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 Globus Medical Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 Guardant Health Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 HubSpot Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 Idacorp Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 Insulet Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 iRhythm Technologies Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 LYFT Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 Natera Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 Neurocrine Biosciences Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 Omnicell Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 Penumbra Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 Power Integrations Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 Rocket Companies Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 Skyworks Solutions Inc: Q3 earnings conference call
1630 Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1630 Warner Bros Discovery Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 agilon health Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Altair Engineering Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Amgen Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 AMN Healthcare Services Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Block Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Cable One Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Cloudflare Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Doximity Inc: Q1 earnings conference call
1700 Dropbox Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Floor & Decor Holdings Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Live Nation Entertainment Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Maravai LifeSciences Holdings Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Monster Beverage Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Motorola Solutions Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 MP Materials Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 NortonLifeLock Inc: Q1 earnings conference call
1700 Quidelortho Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Republic Services Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Synaptics Inc: Q4 earnings conference call
1700 Twilio Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Universal Display Corp: Q2 earnings conference call
1700 Zillow Group Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
1730 Carvana Co: Q2 earnings conference call
1730 Paylocity Holding Corp: Q4 earnings conference call
1730 Tesla Inc: Annual Shareholders Meeting
1800 DoorDash Inc: Q2 earnings conference call
2100 Lufax Holding Ltd: Q2 earnings conference call


EX-DIVIDENDS
CMS Energy Corp: Amount $0.46
FirstEnergy Corp: Amount $0.39
Hexcel Corp: Amount $0.10
Howmet Aerospace Inc: Amount $0.02
Intel Corp: Amount $0.36
J B Hunt Transport Services Inc: Amount $0.40
Kinetik Holdings Inc: Amount $0.75
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc: Amount $0.24
Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc: Amount $0.22
Sirius XM Holdings Inc: Amount $0.02
Wells Fargo & Co: Amount $0.30

Goedemorgen,

De stijging kwam duidelijk terug woensdag maar we moeten goed opletten want de markt trekt teveel speculanten nu. De economische zaken en de geopolitieke spanningen die toenemen kunnen snel voor een ommekeer zorgen en ook in de negatieve richting zal het snel gaan. De aandelen worden weer behoorlijk duur door de stijging van de afgelopen 3 weken, ik zie hier en daar plussen van meer dan 20-25% vanaf de bodem en dat is naar mijn mening teveel van het goeie. Verder zien we dat de Brent olie vanmorgen rond de 97 dollar staat en de 10-jaars rente in de VS rond de 2,75% staat. De futures staan vanmorgen vlak iets lager op Wall Street, de indices zijn woensdag ook niet op de hoogste stand van de sessie gesloten. We blijven opletten de komende dagen ...

Meedoen met onze signalen die we versturen kan door lid te worden via de Tradershop ... Let op, er loopt nu een aanbieding tot 1 OKTOBER voor €35 ...

Update donderdag 4 augustus:
Wall Street sluit fors hoger en dat is geen goed teken naar mijn beleving, de bewegingen in de markt zijn te fors en deze keer in de positieve richting. Als het zo verder gaat dan krijgen we de inflatie dubbel en dwars weer terug en helpt er helemaal niets om die te temperen. Het is heel simpel, hogere beurzen, meer lucht in de markt, meer verwachte winsten enz... daar krijg je de zachte landing van de inflatie niet mee onder controle maar dat wordt later wel duidelijk. Met andere woorden, als het zo verder gaat dan zal de FED zeker niet minder agressief worden, mogelijk voor 1 keer maar later zullen ze weer enkele tanden bij moeten steken.

Uiteindelijk won Wall Street fors met 416 punten voor de Dow Jones, een winst van 319 punten voor de Nasdaq en 64 punten winst voor de S&P 500. Verder zien we een plus van 2.65% voor de SOX index terwijl de Dow Transport index 1% winst boekt.

In Europa sluit de AEX bijna 9 punten hoger (1,2%) terwijl de DAX een winst liet zien van 138 punten (1%). De Franse CAC 40 sluit 1% hoger terwijl de BEL 20 het veel beter deed dan de rest met een plus van 1,75%.

Het lijkt er sterk op dat de markten even een adempauze nemen om te beoordelen wat er wereldwijd aan de hand is. In deze markt betekent een adempauze dat de daling is gestopt en er ruimte is om de speculanten terug de markt op te sturen en daarom krijgen we van die waanzinnige bewegingen in de positieve richting. Let er op dat het nog steeds een "Bear Market Rally" kan zijn en die kunnen zoals we merken enorm sterk zijn. Wat speculanten dan snel vergeten is dat we nog met die enorme inflatie zitten en dat renteverhogingen daardoor niet zullen stilvallen omdat men agressief zal moeten blijven ingrijpen. Verder blijven we zitten met geopolitieke spanningen zoals de oorlog met Rusland en de dreigende situatie met China die daar nu bijkomt.

Verder kregen we nog wat economische cijfers, de inkoopmanagers index ISM trok aan tot 56,7 in juli terwijl de S&P Global index daalde naar 47,3 in juli. De laatste laat duidelijk zien dat er sprake is van een krimp. Eigenlijk wijzen er meer indicatoren naar een verdere krimp van de economie en dat kan naar mijn mening geen goed teken zijn. We gaan het zien de komende weken, zelf geloof ik niet dat er wat betreft de beurzen nog veel opwaarts potentieel is.

We blijven hoe dan ook rustig, gisteren (woensdag) werden we verrast door de stijging maar door dat ik bij mijn standpunt blijf neem ik mijn tijd. We hebben echter te maken met een stevige positieve beweging en die moeten we even uitzitten, dat kan even wat pijn doen maar als de daling terugkomt zitten we wel goed met de posities.

De signaaldiensten:
We hebben nog wat posities lopen op dit moment maar we hebben wat moeten doorrollen, dat komt omdat ik de stoploss ruimer wil hebben om zo gerust in de markt te zitten. Om mee te doen met de posities die we uitkiezen kunt u lid worden en inloggen op de website bij de Tradershop waar u dan alle details kunt zien. Wat betreft de maand juli werd er voor de 7e maand op rij winst behaald, op naar augustus voor een nieuwe uitdaging en die is er nu wel. Zelf heb ik er alle vertrouwen in dat het goed zal komen.

Meedoen met onze signalen kan nu via de nieuwe aanbieding die loopt tot 1 OKTOBER 2022. Schrijf u nu snel in tot 1 OKTOBER voor €35 via de Tradershop en kies uw abonnement via de link https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop

Marktoverzicht:
Wall Street laat een sterke sessie zien met vooral weer de tech indices die fors hoger sluiten, de Nasdaq won 319 punten (2,6%) terwijl de SOX index 79 punten (2,65%) hoger sluit. Verder zien we bij de S&P 500 ook een sterke sessie, de index won 64 punten (1,55%) met een slot op 4155 punten. De Dow Jones geraakte 415 punten (1,3%) hoger en sluit de sessie af op 32.812 punten.

In Europa zien we een winst van 138 punten (1%) bij de DAX met een slot op 13.587 punten, de AEX won 9 punten (1,2%) om op 734,5 punten te sluiten. Over de gehele lijn zien we mooie plussen woensdag maar ik zie ook nogal wat overdrijving op de markten als we bekijken in welke fase we ons momenteel bevinden. Maar we moeten uiteraard accepteren wat de markt doet, we gaan de andere kant ook snel weer meemaken naar mijn gevoel en dat is dan een forse daling.

Dow Jones:
De Dow Jones sluit met 415 punten hoger en pakt zo het verlies van dinsdag terug, de index blijft rondom de 32.500-33.000 punten hangen momenteel. Het slot lag woensdag op 32.812 punten met een hoogste stand die op 32.912 punten uitkwam. Bij de Dow Jones ziet het er allemaal wel wat moeilijker uit dan bij de tech indices die verder doorstomen met nieuwe toppen.

Steun nu eerst rond de 32.500 en later rond de 32.200 punten, verder zien we rond de 32.000 en de de 31.675-31.700 punten steun waar ook het 50-daags gemiddelde rond de 31.680 punten uitkomt. Weerstand nu rond de 32.900-33.000 punten, later de 33.300 punten weerstand.

AEX index:
De AEX sluit 9 punten hoger met een slot op 734,5 punten, de index geraakt zo toch vrij makkelijk weer tot boven de 730 punten en sluit nu de sessie af rond het 200-daags gemiddelde. Er kan rondom deze stand wel de nodige weerstand ontstaan maar in deze markt blijft natuurlijk van alles mogelijk. Hou ook rekening met een forse terugval na de enorm sterke stijging van de afgelopen weken.

Steun nu eerst rond de 728 punten met daaronder de 722-723 punten en wat later de 718-720 punten. Verder zien we steun rond de 712 en de 708-710 punten zone. Weerstand rond de 735 punten, later de 742 en de 755 punten.

DAX index:
De DAX sluit 138 punten hoger ofwel 1%, de index blijft zo ruim boven de 13.400 punten uitkomen waar we de belangrijke steun zien uitkomen. Weerstand nu eerst de 13.750 punten met later de 13.900-14.000 punten als mogelijk doel mocht de vaart erin blijven.

Steun blijft nu de 13.400 punten met later de belangrijke zone 13.000-13.050 punten als steun. Verder zien we rond de 12.750 punten de volgende steun voor de DAX.

Nasdaq Composite:
De Nasdaq breekt uit door de weerstand van eind februari begin maart en dat is nogal vreemd, zonder enige twijfel zelfs zien we op de chart hieronder. Wat hoger rondom de 13.000 punten zien we de volgende zware hindernis wachten, ik ben benieuwd of dat ook nog haalbaar wordt tijdens deze rally?

Steun nu eerst rond de 12.500-12.550 punten, later weer de 12.300 en de 12.100 punten als steun. Verder zien we steun rond de 11.750 en het 50-daags gemiddelde dat rond de 11.600 punten wacht.

Overzicht resultaat dit jaar (2022):
Alle signaaldiensten sluiten dit jaar al voor de 7e maand op rij met winst want de maand juli sluiten we positief af. Deze maand zullen we zien hoe alles zal verlopen, er lopen wat posities nu waar we nog de tijd voor nemen. Er komen zeker nog genoeg kansen om wat te doen in deze markt. Na het door rollen van enkele posities staat er nu een verlies maar de posities lopen nog altijd mee en tellen voor de maand augustus.

Meedoen met onze signalen kan nu via de nieuwe aanbieding die loopt tot 1 OKTOBER 2022 voor €35. Ga naar onze Tradershop en kies uw abonnement via de link https://www.usmarkets.nl/tradershop en kies een abonnement.

Overzicht resultaten deze maand maart en dit jaar (2022):

Met vriendelijke groet,
Guy Boscart