Liveblog Archief maandag 11 januari 2021

TOP NEWS
• Global coronavirus cases surpass 90 million in battle on new variant
Worldwide coronavirus cases surpassed 90 million, according to Reuters tally, as nations around the globe scramble to procure vaccines and continue to extend or reinstate lockdowns to fight new coronavirus variants.

• Democrats in Congress kick off efforts to drive Trump from office after violence at Capitol
Congressional Democrats begin their drive to force President Donald Trump from office, kicking off a week of legislative action that could end with a vote that would make him the only president in U.S. history to be impeached twice.

• Twitter shares slump after Trump account suspension
Twitter's German-listed shares slumped, the first trading day after it permanently suspended U.S. President Donald Trump's account late on Friday.

PREVIEW-U.S. bank quarterly profits expected to fall again from pre-COVID levels
When the biggest U.S. banks begin reporting fourth-quarter results on Friday some of the headlines could show profits plunged by as much as 40% from a year earlier, before the pandemic struck.

• ​China to push its tech giants to share consumer credit data-sources
China plans to push tech giants including Ant Group, Tencent and JD.com to share consumer loan data to prevent excess borrowing and fraud, two people with knowledge of the matter said, in Beijing's latest tightening of scrutiny.


BEFORE THE BELL
U.S. stock futures fell, along with world shares and oil prices, as investors feared a surge in coronavirus cases could delay an economic recovery. Rising Treasury yields and expectations of an additional U.S. fiscal stimulus boosted the dollar, weighing on gold prices. ​


STOCKS TO WATCH
• Alaska Air Group Inc: The airlines said on Friday it has banned 14 passengers from future travel with the carrier after what it called "unacceptable" behavior on a flight from Washington Dulles to Seattle. Seattle-based Alaska said a number of passengers on a flight out of Washington late Thursday "were non-mask compliant, rowdy, argumentative and harassed our crew members." Separately, the head of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) on Saturday vowed to take "strong enforcement action" against unruly passengers following reports of supporters of U.S. President Donald Trump disrupting flights returning from Washington.

• Albemarle Corp: Chilean regulators have threatened Albemarle with legal action, demanding that by week´s end the world´s top lithium miner present a plan for turning over data on its reserves of the ultralight battery metal, according to filings obtained by Reuters. Chilean nuclear agency CCHEN, which also licenses lithium exports, said Albemarle had failed to provide adequate reserves data more than a year after the regulator requested it, according to a Jan. 4 letter obtained by Reuters under Chile's Transparency Act. Albemarle sought to keep parts of that data confidential but the regulator has until now rejected its arguments. Market watchers, meanwhile, have obsessed over how much lithium is available to miners because the flat is crucial to satisfying a predicted boom in global demand for the electric vehicle battery metal.

• Alphabet Inc: The federal judge hearing the U.S. Justice Department's antitrust case against Google said on Friday he directed his financial advisers to immediately sell mutual funds he owns that hold stock of the search engine's parent Alphabet Inc. Separately, Google said in a brief court filing that it would not ask for the case to be thrown out at an early stage based on procedural issues. The company said its initial response to the October complaint, which was joined by a dozen state attorneys general, would be filed by Feb. 15. Judge Amit Mehta in Washington said he learned that some mutual funds held by him and his wife contain Alphabet stock and directed their sale. Mehta said he does not believe he is required to recuse himself, but said any objections to him continuing to oversee the case could be filed no later than Jan. 20.

• Amazon.com Inc: India's Future Group expects swift regulatory approval of its $3.4 billion deal to sell its retail assets, its chief executive said, even as its warring business partner Amazon.com Inc intensifies efforts to block the deal. Future and Amazon are at loggerheads over the Indian group's August deal with Reliance Industries. The U.S. giant alleges the deal breached some of its pre-existing contracts with Future. Amazon declined to comment on Biyani's remarks. Reliance did not respond to a request for comment. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), the market regulator that has been reviewing the deal for months, did not respond to a request for comment. SEBI and India's stock exchanges could still reject or take more time in approving the deal, which is critical for the survival of Future Retail, whose more than 1,700 outlets were hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic.

• Apple Inc: Hyundai and Apple plan to sign a partnership deal on autonomous electric cars by March and start production around 2024 in the United States, local newspaper Korea IT News reported on Sunday. Hyundai Motor declined to comment on the report on Sunday, and reiterated Friday's comments that it has received requests for potential cooperation from various companies on developing autonomous EVs. Apple had no immediate comment.

• Apple Inc & Amazon.com Inc: The companies have suspended Parler from their respective App Store and web hosting service, saying the social networking service popular with many right-leaning social media users has not taken adequate measures to prevent the spread of posts inciting violence. Amazon's move effectively takes the site offline unless it can find a new company to host its services. Amazon suspended Parler from its Amazon Web Services (AWS) unit, for violating AWS's terms of services by failing to effectively deal with a steady increase in violent content, according to an email by an AWS Trust and Safety team to Parler, seen by Reuters.

• Baidu Inc: China's search engine giant said it will set up a company to partner with car maker Zhejiang Geely Holding Group to make smart electric vehicles, the latest move by a tech company in the fast-evolving sector. Geely will also be a strategic investor in the new company, which will be an independent subsidiary of Baidu, Baidu said in the statement. Geely said in a separate statement that the collaboration will be based on Geely’s EV-focused platform, Sustainable Experience Architecture. Baidu's car-making plan is likely to strengthen the concept of "software-defined vehicles," said Jason Chen, transportation analyst at researcher Analysys.

• Credit Suisse: The company said it had opened a branch in Riyadh to offer wealthy Saudi Arabian clients a greater range of financial services, after obtaining a local banking license in 2019. The bank will now provide services such as lending, foreign exchange and treasury products, account management and deposits, it said in a statement.​

• Eli Lilly and Co: The company said a trial of its experimental Alzheimer's drug donanemab showed it slowed by about a third the rate of decline in a combined measure of cognition and function in early-stage victims of the disease. The drug is an antibody designed to remove clumps of the Alzheimer's-related protein beta amyloid from the brain. Lilly said the mid-stage trial of 272 patients met its main goal of showing a statistically significant change in clinical decline over 18 months. Donanemab targets a type of beta amyloid known as N3pG which Lilly believes can be rapidly cleared, enabling short-term, but durable, treatment. Patients in the study stopped receiving donanemab and were switched to placebo once their brain plaques reached levels seen in healthy people - a process that took just a few months for some patients.

• HSBC Holdings Plc: Major HSBC shareholders are calling on Europe's biggest bank to toughen its commitment to cut lending linked to fossil fuels and to turn its climate "ambitions" into targets. Investors collectively managing some $2.4 trillion in assets have filed the resolution to be voted on at HSBC's annual general meeting, after HSBC in October stated its ambition to get to net zero carbon emissions by 2050. That pledge was criticised by campaigners for not directly addressing HSBC's lending to fossil fuel firms, including a relatively large share of clients involved in the coal sector. But after a four-year period of engagement with HSBC, the investors coordinated by responsible investment group ShareAction and including Europe's largest asset manager Amundi said they wanted to see the bank go further.

• Gilead Sciences Inc: The company raised its full-year profit forecast, as a recent resurgence in COVID-19 cases boosted demand for its COVID-19 treatment, remdesivir. The level of new COVID-19 cases in the United States is starting to rise again, amidst the slow rollout of vaccine. Gilead said it was raising its total product sales forecast to the range of $24.30 billion to $24.35 billion, reflecting increased sales of remdesivir. The company also said there was a higher uptake of its HIV drug, Biktarvy. The U.S. drugmaker expects adjusted earnings for 2020 in the range of $6.98-$7.08 per share, compared with the earlier forecast of $6.25- $6.60 per share.

• Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Morgan Stanley, & JPMorgan & Chase Co: The bank’s units will delist a total of 500 Hong Kong-listed structured products, Hong Kong stock exchange filings on Sunday showed. The delistings are because of statements last week by the U.S. Office of Foreign Assets Control clarifying a November order from President Donald Trump which banned Americans from investing in Chinese companies that the U.S. deems to have links with China's military, the filings said. Bourse operator Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing said in a statement it was "working closely with the relevant issuers to ensure orderly delisting and facilitate buyback arrangements being arranged by the issuers."

• KKR & Co: U.S.-based investment powerhouse KKR & Co said it has closed a fund targeting infrastructure-related investments in Asia Pacific at $3.9 billion. The fund, KKR's first in the region for the sector, closed at its hard cap to become the largest pan-regional infrastructure fund for Asia Pacific, the firm said in a press release. The firm has committed US$1.8 billion across six investments in the infrastructure sector, including a roughly $400 million acquisition of a controlling stake in India Grid Trust, India’s leading infrastructure investment trust and a $192 million purchase of a minor stake in First Gen, a leading Philippines power producer.

• NCR Corporation & Cardtronics Plc: The company, a technology provider for the financial, retail and hospitality industries, said it has offered to buy non-bank ATM operator Cardtronics for about $1.73 billion in cash. NCR's offer comes weeks after Cardtronics said it had agreed to be bought by funds managed by affiliates of private equity firm Apollo Global Management and Hudson Executive Capital LP for $35 per share in cash. NCR has offered to buy all outstanding shares of Cardtronics for $39 per share in cash, representing a discount of about 5% to Cardtronics' share close of Friday. Cardtronics' debit network combined with NCR's payments platform will enable the company to connect their retail and bank customers, NCR Chief Executive Officer Michael Hayford said.

• Marriott International Inc: The company and Blue Cross Blue Shield Association said on Sunday that they will suspend donations to U.S. lawmakers who voted last week against certifying President-elect Joe Biden's victory. "We have taken the destructive events at the Capitol to undermine a legitimate and fair election into consideration and will be pausing political giving from our Political Action Committee to those who voted against certification of the election," Marriott spokeswoman Connie Kim said, confirming a report in Popular Information, a political newsletter.

• Nio Inc: China's electric vehicle maker Nio, which competes with conventional premium automakers including Daimler AG and BMW, may make mass market products under another marque, its chief executive said. As EV technologies advance and battery cost lowers, it is possible that we may enter the massive market, but definitely not with Nio brand," William Li, chief executive of Nio told reporters on Sunday. Nio did not immediately respond to a request for further details.

• Tesla Inc: The carmaker is searching for a design director in China, part of efforts to open a "full-function" studio in Shanghai or Beijing and design electric cars tailored to Chinese consumer tastes, according to three people with knowledge of the matter. The U.S. carmaker's human resources managers, as well as several headhunters, have been trawling the industry over the past four months, the sources said. They are looking for "bi-cultural" candidates with 20 or more years of experience who are familiar with Chinese tastes and can bridge the gaps between China and the United States, they added. Some candidates have been interviewed by Tesla's global design chief Franz von Holzhausen, according to the people, though it was not clear how many potential candidates had been approached by the company and recruiters. All three sources spoke to Reuters on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity and confidential nature of the matter.

• Twitter Inc: The microblogging website said on Friday that it has permanently suspended U.S. President Donald Trump's account due to the risk of further incitement of violence following the storming of the U.S. Capitol on Wednesday. The suspension of Trump's account, which had more than 88 million followers, silences his primary megaphone days before the end of his term and follows years of debate about how social media companies should moderate the accounts of powerful global leaders. It was the first time Twitter has banned a head of state, the company confirmed. Separately, Twitter on Friday deleted new tweets posted by U.S. President Donald Trump on official government account @POTUS and suspended the account of his presidential campaign, after booting his personal account off the platform permanently.


ANALYSIS
Cancel your weekends! Bitcoin doesn't rest, and neither can you
On the first sluggish Saturday of 2021, Jan. 2, many people were still nursing New Year hangovers. But there was no breather for bitcoin, which powered past $30,000 for the first time. Its 10% single-day jump was one of several weekend and public holiday price surges that helped the cryptocurrency soar by two-thirds from the start of December to early January. Trading volumes across six major cryptocurrency exchanges have been 10% higher at weekends than weekdays in that period, data from researcher CryptoCompare shows. That represents a major shift from the previous 11 months, when weekend volumes were 13% lower than traditional trading hours.


ANALYSTS' RECOMMENDATION
• Alphabet Inc: Jefferies raises target price to $2150 from $2000, on a belief that the company is uniquely positioned to benefit from the growth of both the IaaS/PaaS (Infrastructure as a Service/Platform as a Service) market as well as the SaaS (Software as a Service) market and expecting double-digit revenue growth for the foreseeable future.
• BlackRock Inc: JPMorgan raises target price to $793 from $707, on a belief that the company is one of the few growth stocks in asset management, driven by strong organic growth in its iShares franchise.
• Constellation Brands Inc: JPMorgan raises target price to $263 from $248, after the company reported strong third-quarter results.
• Jack Henry & Associates Inc: Evercore ISI raises to in line from underperform, to reflect positive demand & pricing trends and best-in-class, 91% customer satisfaction.
• Nasdaq Inc: Jefferies raises target price to $140 from $130, to reflect on increase in transactional revenue as a result of better-than-expected U.S. cash equities and U.S. equity options volume.​


ECONOMIC EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
1000 Employment Trends for Dec: Prior 98.81


COMPANIES REPORTING RESULTS
Carnival Corp: Expected Q4 loss of $1.86 per share


CORPORATE EVENTS (All timings in U.S. Eastern Time)
1100 AZZ Inc: Q3 earnings conference call
1100 Commercial Metals Co: Q1 earnings conference call
1615 Simulations Plus Inc: Q1 earnings conference call
1700 SYNNEX Corp: Q4 earnings conference call


EX-DIVIDENDS
Macquarie Infrastructure Corp: Amount $11.0
MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc: Amount $0.75
PC Connection Inc: Amount $0.32

Goedemorgen
Het lijkt erop dat Europa de week lager wil starten want de blik wordt nu opnieuw gericht op de omstandigheden rondom het virus. Eerst werd de lockdown al verlengd in Duitsland, nu komt Nederland er ook mee want we gaan hier op zijn minst 3 weken langer dicht. Vanaf deze week begint ook het cijferseizoen met aan het einde van de week de banken in op Wall Street. Het kan weer een volatiele week gaan worden schat ik in.

Vrijdag deed vooral de hoop op meer corona steun in de VS de markt nog fors opleven zodat de eerste week van het nieuwe jaar sterk werd maar zoals ik al aangaf blijft de markt gevaarlijk hoog en dan vooral de tech aandelen die nog steeds nieuwe records maken. De nieuwe president Joe Biden wil veel geld uitgeven om de VS ter hulp te schieten in ieder geval. Ook het rapport over de banen van afgelopen vrijdag liet zien dat het nodig blijft zei hij ook nog erbij.

Deze week moeten we hoe dan ook alert blijven, de markten zetten tot afgelopen vrijdag verder door omhoog na dat er weer werd gekocht na een DIP, aan de andere kant blijven de waarderingen veel te hoog. De gemiddelde waardering van de brede S&P 500 in de VS is gestegen naar 38.5 na het slot van vrijdag. Ik blijf de markt uiteraard respecteren want dat moet je altijd doen, daarom blijf ik flexibel wat betreft de handel en dus de signalen. Hier en daar probeer ik iets, anticipeer op momenten met posities rond steun of weerstand.

Afgelopen vrijdag heb ik 2 posities gesloten om het risico wat omlaag te brengen, het plan is om waar het kan ze begin deze week weer op te nemen op meer interessante niveau's. In deze markt moet je af en toe herschikken en het verlies als dat er is zien te beperken. Als ik dan beter kan instappen dan zijn dit soort herschikkingen waardevol. Dus de komende week zal ik weer 1 of 2 posities. Meedoen kan door lid te worden uiteraard ...

U kunt mij en dus @USMarkets uiteraard ook volgen via onze Twitter account, ga naar ... https://twitter.com/USMarkets waar ik tussentijds wat charts over de markt en sentiment plaats, ook opvallende beursfeiten komen er vaak langs !

Euro, olie en goud:
De euro zien we nu rond de 1.218 dollar, de prijs van een vat Brent olie komt uit op 55,1 dollar terwijl een troy ounce goud nu op 1844 dollar staat. Opvallend is dat de Bitcoin. nu een diepe duik maakt, tijdens het weekend stond de digitale munt nog even boven de 41.000 dollar, vanmorgen is de munt al gedaald tot rond de 34.000 dollar. Zou er dan toch een einde komen aan deze waanzin van de afgelopen weken?

Strategische posities:
Er lopen nu wat posities die in de loop van vorige week werden opgenomen en er komen er zoals ik al aangaf nog 1 of 2 bij. Zodra u lid wordt ontvangt u de signalen en kunt u alles inzien via onze Tradershop op de website. We proberen in ieder geval met de markt mee te gaan, wat ik verwacht is dat de markt volatiel zal blijven, ook dit jaar zullen we moeten schakelen tussen long en short.

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Tussenstand deze maand januari 2021:

Resultaat afgelopen maand december 2020:

Met vriendelijke groet,
Guy Boscart

GLOBAL TOP NEWS
U.S. House of Representatives Democrats plan a vote to urge Vice President Mike Pence to take steps to remove President Donald Trump from office after his supporters' deadly storming of the Capitol, before attempting to impeach him again.

British minister Rishi Sunak expressed concern that higher interest rates might one day jack up the cost of servicing government debt, in comments published on Sunday.​

Britain will open seven large-scale vaccination centres, helping to accelerate the rollout of COVID-19 shots that the government wants to deliver to all vulnerable people by mid-February.


EUROPEAN COMPANY NEWS
Major HSBC shareholders are calling on Europe's biggest bank to toughen its commitment to cut lending linked to fossil fuels and to turn its climate "ambitions" into targets.

Royal Mail will name board member Simon Thompson as its next chief executive in the coming days, Sky News reported on Sunday, citing sources.

Malaysia signed a deal to buy an additional 12.2 million doses of a COVID-19 vaccine manufactured by U.S. and German drugmakers Pfizer and BioNTech, the health ministry said in a statement.​


TODAY'S COMPANY ANNOUNCEMENTSCarnival PLC Earnings ReleaseSafe Lane Gaming AB (publ) Annual Shareholders MeetingSjostrand Coffee Int AB Annual Shareholders Meeting

ECONOMIC EVENTS (All times GMT)
0530 Sweden Expected Price Development for Jan: Prior 50.0%
0530 Sweden Expected Price Development Increase for Jan: Prior 59.0%
0530 Sweden Expected Price Development Decrease for Jan: Prior 9.0%
0800 Spain Industrial Output Calendar Adjusted yy for Nov: Prior -1.6%
0930 (approx.) Euro Zone Sentix Index for Jan: Expected 0.7; Prior -2.7


DEBT AUCTIONS
France - Reopening of 3-month, 5-month and 11-month government debt auctions.
Germany - Reopening of 5-month and 11-month government debt auctions.​